X chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.9% | 2.0% | 33% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.8% | 2.6% | 33% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 78% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.2% | 4.6% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-31 | 0.43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.47 | -0.39 | +16.6% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -3.7% | +22.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | -0.46 | -0.39 | +15.3% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.47 | 0.56 | +17.9% | -0.7% | -0.6% | +6.8% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.5% | -4.1% | -0.9% | +2.7% | -11.6% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.93 | 0.82 | -11.4% | -1.2% | -1.6% | +4.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.27 | 0.67 | +145.9% | +0.8% | -1.7% | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.15 | 1.40 | +21.9% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +1.9% | +5.4% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.77 | 1.92 | +8.2% | -3.1% | -1.4% | -2.3% | +21.3% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.56 | 0.77 | +37.5% | -1.1% | -3.6% | -5.2% | -7.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.