X chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.9% | 7.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.1% | 3.6% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 3.0% | 59% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.2% | 10.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-31 | 0.43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.47 | -0.39 | +16.6% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -3.7% | +22.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | -0.46 | -0.39 | +15.3% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.47 | 0.56 | +17.9% | -0.7% | -0.6% | +6.8% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.5% | -4.1% | -0.9% | +2.7% | -11.6% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.93 | 0.82 | -11.4% | -1.2% | -1.6% | +4.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.27 | 0.67 | +145.9% | +0.8% | -1.7% | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.15 | 1.40 | +21.9% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +1.9% | +5.4% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.77 | 1.92 | +8.2% | -3.1% | -1.4% | -2.3% | +21.3% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.56 | 0.77 | +37.5% | -1.1% | -3.6% | -5.2% | -7.0% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +39.0% | +2.2% | +2.8% | -7.0% | -3.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.93 | 1.95 | +1.1% | -4.3% | -4.2% | +0.5% | +25.5% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 3.86 | 3.86 | +0.0% | +2.7% | +9.0% | -1.4% | +7.4% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 3.19 | 3.05 | -4.3% | +2.4% | -5.4% | -10.7% | -17.8% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 4.25 | 3.64 | -14.4% | +3.6% | +5.1% | +13.6% | +41.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 4.93 | 5.36 | +8.8% | +12.3% | +12.9% | -0.8% | -14.3% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 3.09 | 3.37 | +8.9% | +0.5% | +4.0% | -2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 1.13 | 1.08 | -4.3% | -4.4% | +2.3% | +21.0% | +15.9% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | -0.65 | -0.27 | +58.1% | +6.2% | -5.2% | -6.8% | +4.6% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | -1.40 | -1.21 | +13.3% | -0.7% | -1.7% | +2.5% | +55.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -2.79 | -2.67 | +4.2% | -0.1% | -9.5% | +9.0% | +17.6% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | -0.82 | -0.73 | +10.5% | -3.5% | -2.2% | +13.7% | +12.6% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | -1.08 | -0.64 | +40.5% | +1.6% | -3.5% | -0.1% | -12.8% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | -0.25 | -0.21 | +17.4% | +6.9% | +14.8% | +2.7% | -0.5% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +14.6% | -2.6% | -8.6% | -9.2% | -19.5% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.19 | 0.47 | +152.6% | +4.7% | +17.3% | -7.2% | -21.3% |
| 2019-01-30 miss | 1.83 | 1.82 | -0.6% | -7.7% | +1.4% | +0.1% | -1.3% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 1.73 | 1.79 | +3.4% | +2.0% | +2.9% | -1.0% | -19.3% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 1.12 | 1.46 | +30.5% | -1.8% | -10.3% | -5.8% | -7.6% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +8.0% | -3.3% | -14.1% | +6.6% | +8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.