XOM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -1.0% | 1.2% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | +0.4% | 4.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.63 | 4.11 | +13.3% | -2.1% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +3.5% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.16 | +15.1% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -5.4% | -2.1% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 1.69 | 1.71 | +1.1% | -1.3% | +0.6% | +5.4% | +7.4% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 1.82 | 1.88 | +3.0% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +2.5% | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 1.56 | 1.64 | +4.9% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -2.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 1.74 | 1.76 | +1.2% | +1.8% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 1.55 | 1.67 | +7.9% | +0.9% | -2.5% | +1.9% | +0.7% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.6% | +2.7% | -1.6% | +5.4% | +2.4% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.01 | 2.14 | +6.5% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +1.7% | -1.2% |
| 2024-04-26 miss | 2.16 | 2.06 | -4.8% | -1.9% | -2.8% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.