XOM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -1.0% | 2.7% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.7% | 4.5% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.63 | 4.11 | +13.3% | -2.1% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +3.5% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.16 | +15.1% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -5.4% | -2.1% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 1.69 | 1.71 | +1.1% | -1.3% | +0.6% | +5.4% | +7.4% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 1.82 | 1.88 | +3.0% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +2.5% | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 1.56 | 1.64 | +4.9% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -2.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 1.74 | 1.76 | +1.2% | +1.8% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 1.55 | 1.67 | +7.9% | +0.9% | -2.5% | +1.9% | +0.7% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.6% | +2.7% | -1.6% | +5.4% | +2.4% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.01 | 2.14 | +6.5% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +1.7% | -1.2% |
| 2024-04-26 miss | 2.16 | 2.06 | -4.8% | -1.9% | -2.8% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
| 2024-02-02 beat | 2.19 | 2.48 | +13.0% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +3.6% |
| 2023-10-27 miss | 2.36 | 2.27 | -3.8% | +1.2% | -1.9% | +2.1% | -1.6% |
| 2023-07-28 miss | 2.02 | 1.94 | -3.9% | -0.3% | -1.2% | +3.1% | +4.8% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 2.59 | 2.83 | +9.3% | +0.4% | +1.3% | -8.2% | -12.1% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 3.28 | 3.40 | +3.6% | -1.3% | +2.2% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 3.82 | 4.45 | +16.5% | +1.8% | +2.9% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 3.89 | 4.14 | +6.5% | +2.0% | +4.6% | -8.7% | +3.3% |
| 2022-04-29 miss | 2.22 | 2.07 | -7.0% | +1.1% | -2.2% | +7.6% | +12.6% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 1.93 | 2.05 | +6.3% | +0.6% | +6.4% | -0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 1.52 | 1.58 | +3.8% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -7.2% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +10.6% | -0.1% | -2.3% | +0.5% | -4.2% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.65 | +8.2% | -1.0% | -2.9% | +9.1% | +5.6% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.0% | +2.0% | +1.6% | +11.0% | +28.7% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | -0.25 | -0.18 | +27.8% | -1.7% | -1.1% | +0.5% | +18.0% |
| 2020-07-31 miss | -0.60 | -0.70 | -17.1% | -1.7% | +0.5% | +3.2% | -5.1% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | 0.05 | 0.53 | +988.3% | -1.8% | -7.2% | +7.0% | +9.7% |
| 2020-01-31 miss | 0.45 | 0.41 | -9.6% | -2.5% | -4.1% | -1.0% | -17.4% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.6% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +1.7% | -2.5% |
| 2019-08-02 miss | 0.71 | 0.61 | -13.6% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -4.4% |
| 2019-04-26 miss | 0.73 | 0.55 | -24.5% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -3.8% | -9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.