XYZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.4% | -2.9% | 10.9% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.1% | 4.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 2.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -0.5% | 12.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.87 | 1.02 | +16.7% | -0.5% | -6.2% | +5.2% | +4.7% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.68 | 0.85 | +25.6% | +7.8% | +6.7% | -6.0% | -8.8% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.1% | +15.7% | +16.8% | +4.1% | -10.5% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.66 | 0.54 | -18.1% | -13.5% | -7.7% | -7.6% | -5.9% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.67 | 0.62 | -8.0% | +6.9% | -4.5% | +3.3% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.93 | 0.56 | -39.7% | -22.5% | -20.4% | +8.2% | +36.5% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.87 | 0.71 | -18.8% | -9.7% | -17.7% | -4.5% | -8.4% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.89 | 0.88 | -1.3% | -4.5% | -0.9% | +13.1% | +26.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.84 | 0.93 | +11.4% | -2.4% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +6.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.73 | 0.85 | +16.4% | +8.8% | -1.2% | +2.6% | -7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.