XYZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.1% | 10.2% | 58% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 4.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.8% | 51% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +1.4% | 12.8% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.87 | 1.02 | +16.7% | -0.5% | -6.2% | +5.2% | +4.7% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.68 | 0.85 | +25.6% | +7.8% | +6.7% | -6.0% | -8.8% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.1% | +15.7% | +16.8% | +4.1% | -10.5% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.66 | 0.54 | -18.1% | -13.5% | -7.7% | -7.6% | -5.9% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.67 | 0.62 | -8.0% | +6.9% | -4.5% | +3.3% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.93 | 0.56 | -39.7% | -22.5% | -20.4% | +8.2% | +36.5% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.87 | 0.71 | -18.8% | -9.7% | -17.7% | -4.5% | -8.4% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.89 | 0.88 | -1.3% | -4.5% | -0.9% | +13.1% | +26.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.84 | 0.93 | +11.4% | -2.4% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +6.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.73 | 0.85 | +16.4% | +8.8% | -1.2% | +2.6% | -7.5% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 0.57 | 0.45 | -21.1% | +17.4% | +16.1% | +0.4% | +4.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +18.8% | +15.5% | +10.7% | +5.8% | +33.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.7% | -8.0% | -13.6% | -4.6% | -7.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +17.4% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -6.2% | +11.4% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.30 | 0.22 | -27.0% | +4.5% | +4.3% | +4.6% | -16.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.23 | 0.42 | +83.3% | +11.9% | +11.5% | +19.2% | +2.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +12.2% | -6.7% | -2.2% | +0.3% | -25.6% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -10.6% | +3.3% | +0.7% | -12.5% | -12.0% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +16.2% | +21.0% | +26.1% | -11.1% | +15.3% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -3.0% | +0.1% | -4.1% | -4.2% | -20.2% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 0.31 | 0.66 | +113.0% | +0.3% | +10.2% | +2.7% | -1.6% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.16 | 0.41 | +149.8% | +7.2% | +4.2% | -10.9% | -8.2% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 0.24 | 0.32 | +33.3% | -5.3% | -7.5% | -1.3% | -12.2% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.16 | 0.34 | +112.7% | +5.7% | +13.0% | -10.5% | +7.5% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | -0.05 | 0.18 | +453.4% | +11.9% | +7.1% | -5.1% | +4.3% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.13 | -0.02 | -115.6% | +2.6% | +9.6% | +4.8% | +20.1% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.8% | +6.3% | +3.6% | -3.8% | -32.7% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +23.5% | +0.9% | +5.0% | -2.2% | +4.1% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +28.7% | -12.6% | -14.1% | -6.6% | -12.2% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +40.5% | -5.2% | -8.0% | -2.0% | -10.5% |
| 2019-02-27 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +3.9% | -4.3% | +2.4% | -8.8% | -7.8% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +16.4% | -3.9% | -9.0% | -2.2% | -17.9% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +15.0% | -2.4% | +8.7% | -4.5% | +22.0% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +11.9% | -4.0% | +1.1% | +11.1% | +24.4% |
| 2018-02-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +18.1% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +10.1% | +6.8% |
| 2017-11-08 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +29.5% | -0.7% | +3.4% | +10.4% | +0.9% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +39.2% | -4.0% | -4.7% | -2.3% | +2.8% |
| 2017-05-03 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +130.9% | +5.2% | +8.9% | -1.0% | +17.5% |
| 2017-02-22 beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +38.7% | +10.8% | +14.0% | -0.9% | -3.3% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +22.2% | +3.4% | +6.4% | +1.9% | +10.9% |
| 2016-08-03 miss | -0.03 | -0.08 | -144.6% | +15.8% | +8.4% | +0.4% | +6.4% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | -0.08 | -0.29 | -250.3% | -16.6% | -21.7% | -8.4% | -6.4% |
| 2016-03-10 miss | -0.11 | -0.21 | -94.5% | +0.8% | -1.8% | +8.5% | +39.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.