ZTO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | -0.6% | 5.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 1.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | -1.3% | 7.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 beat | 3.41 | 3.79 | +11.3% | -7.0% | -7.0% | -0.9% | — |
| 2026-05-19 miss | 3.08 | 2.95 | -4.1% | -3.7% | -1.4% | -4.2% | -4.3% |
| 2026-03-17 beat | 3.15 | 3.31 | +5.2% | +4.8% | +7.5% | -4.7% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 2.51 | 3.06 | +22.0% | +3.7% | -0.1% | +9.0% | +12.3% |
| 2025-08-19 miss | 2.86 | 2.48 | -13.4% | +0.6% | -1.1% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| 2025-05-20 miss | 2.90 | 2.71 | -6.5% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +4.9% | +1.9% |
| 2025-03-18 miss | 3.28 | 3.24 | -1.3% | +2.8% | +2.2% | -8.6% | -13.6% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 2.84 | 2.91 | +2.4% | -2.5% | -4.9% | -3.9% | -0.9% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 3.24 | 3.38 | +4.3% | +3.1% | +6.1% | -1.0% | +4.0% |
| 2024-05-15 beat | 2.35 | 2.68 | +14.3% | +10.0% | +10.2% | +3.9% | -5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.