ZTO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -1.1% | 5.6% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 3.1% | 42% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 2.6% | 38% |
| 5-day | -2.3% | -2.8% | 7.4% | 32% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 beat | 3.41 | 3.79 | +11.3% | -7.0% | -7.0% | -0.9% | — |
| 2026-05-19 miss | 3.08 | 2.95 | -4.1% | -3.7% | -1.4% | -4.2% | -4.3% |
| 2026-03-17 beat | 3.15 | 3.31 | +5.2% | +4.8% | +7.5% | -4.7% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 2.51 | 3.06 | +22.0% | +3.7% | -0.1% | +9.0% | +12.3% |
| 2025-08-19 miss | 2.86 | 2.48 | -13.4% | +0.6% | -1.1% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| 2025-05-20 miss | 2.90 | 2.71 | -6.5% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +4.9% | +1.9% |
| 2025-03-18 miss | 3.28 | 3.24 | -1.3% | +2.8% | +2.2% | -8.6% | -13.6% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 2.84 | 2.91 | +2.4% | -2.5% | -4.9% | -3.9% | -0.9% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 3.24 | 3.38 | +4.3% | +3.1% | +6.1% | -1.0% | +4.0% |
| 2024-05-15 beat | 2.35 | 2.68 | +14.3% | +10.0% | +10.2% | +3.9% | -5.0% |
| 2024-03-19 miss | 2.70 | 2.67 | -1.0% | +4.2% | +4.4% | -5.9% | -11.8% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 2.75 | 2.83 | +3.0% | -6.2% | -6.2% | -1.0% | -11.6% |
| 2023-08-29 beat | 2.77 | 3.07 | +11.0% | -6.0% | -2.0% | -0.8% | -1.3% |
| 2023-05-17 beat | 1.78 | 2.33 | +30.9% | +4.7% | +2.0% | -6.2% | -11.1% |
| 2023-03-15 beat | 2.59 | 2.60 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +7.9% | +1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2022-11-21 beat | 1.92 | 2.34 | +21.6% | -0.3% | +3.6% | +12.5% | +19.7% |
| 2022-08-17 beat | 1.83 | 2.23 | +22.2% | +3.5% | +0.4% | -5.2% | -1.7% |
| 2022-05-25 miss | 1.47 | 1.34 | -9.0% | -2.6% | -1.8% | +4.3% | +5.1% |
| 2022-03-16 beat | 2.06 | 2.18 | +6.0% | -10.6% | -4.8% | +3.6% | +5.5% |
| 2021-11-17 beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +1.0% | +15.4% | +9.6% | -2.3% | -14.8% |
| 2021-08-18 beat | 1.50 | 1.56 | +4.0% | -1.2% | -3.0% | +1.4% | +18.1% |
| 2021-05-19 miss | 1.06 | 0.94 | -11.7% | +4.3% | +3.1% | -3.7% | -10.0% |
| 2021-03-17 miss | 1.77 | 1.55 | -12.2% | -7.6% | -10.6% | -2.7% | +1.7% |
| 2020-11-18 beat | 1.49 | 1.53 | +2.5% | -7.2% | -8.0% | -1.6% | -6.3% |
| 2020-08-12 miss | 1.93 | 1.85 | -3.9% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -8.1% | -8.7% |
| 2020-05-20 beat | 0.71 | 0.82 | +16.2% | -9.3% | -5.3% | +0.5% | +14.9% |
| 2020-03-16 beat | 1.86 | 2.10 | +12.7% | +0.5% | +3.5% | -5.7% | +11.6% |
| 2019-11-18 beat | 1.53 | 1.69 | +10.5% | -1.1% | -6.2% | +1.0% | +8.1% |
| 2019-08-15 beat | 1.61 | 1.74 | +7.9% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +7.9% |
| 2019-05-15 beat | 1.18 | 1.23 | +4.3% | -1.8% | +3.8% | -7.6% | -4.8% |
| 2019-03-12 beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.6% | -5.8% | -3.6% | -5.0% | -0.4% |
| 2018-11-14 beat | 1.30 | 1.34 | +3.1% | +1.9% | +5.0% | -2.4% | -5.0% |
| 2018-08-08 beat | 1.39 | 1.52 | +8.7% | +6.3% | +6.5% | -8.2% | -16.3% |
| 2018-05-09 beat | 0.92 | 1.06 | +15.4% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +3.3% | +26.6% |
| 2018-03-08 miss | 1.60 | 1.37 | -14.2% | -8.1% | -9.6% | -1.8% | -4.1% |
| 2017-11-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.02 | +0.4% | -2.6% | +0.2% | -6.6% | -6.8% |
| 2017-08-22 beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.7% | -5.5% | -6.2% | +3.6% | +12.9% |
| 2017-05-17 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +3.7% | -4.6% | -5.3% | +7.2% | +7.5% |
| 2017-02-27 miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -1.7% | -7.3% | -11.5% | -4.7% | +2.9% |
| 2016-11-28 beat | 0.74 | 0.85 | +14.8% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -13.1% | -20.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.