AA

Alcoa Corporation $39.89 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.1% median, 59% of the last 63 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 57
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.61 +4.6% · Seasonal tilt -1.1%
$10.3B market cap (#817 US) $214M/day volume 53% volatility +2% 1-year -66% from ATH
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -53% from the high
$35.12$84.38

Congressional trades in AA Full tracker →

10 members · 18 buys / 19 sells · $459K–$1.5M disclosed · latest filing Jan 13, 2026.

BUY JL Julia Letlow · traded Oct 23, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL VF Virginia Foxx · traded Sep 28, 2022 $15K–$50K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Sep 1, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Aug 22, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Aug 4, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Aug 19, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Aug 2, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Aug 30, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Aug 31, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Oct 18, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Oct 15, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Jul 29, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Jul 19, 2021 $50K–$100K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Mar 16, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Apr 19, 2021 $50K–$100K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Mar 16, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Mar 16, 2021 $15K–$50K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Mar 16, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Jan 6, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Jan 6, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Jan 6, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Jan 6, 2021 $15K–$50K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Jan 6, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL KL Kelly Loeffler · traded Apr 13, 2020 $15K–$50K
SELL DP David E. Price · traded Nov 24, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL KC Kathy Castor · traded Nov 1, 2016 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Aug 11, 2016 $1K–$15K
SELL VF Virginia Foxx · traded Aug 7, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Apr 1, 2015 $1K–$15K
SELL VF Virginia Foxx · traded Mar 4, 2015 $15K–$50K
SELL KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Feb 9, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Dec 5, 2014 $15K–$50K
SELL NP Nancy Pelosi · traded Oct 23, 2014 $15K–$50K
BUY KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Jul 14, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Jul 15, 2014 $1K–$15K
SELL RG Raúl M. Grijalva · traded May 8, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY RG Raúl M. Grijalva · traded Jan 15, 2014 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 83 days) · EPS est. 1.56.

1-day std dev
6.8%
Finished up
41%
Biggest pop
+15.2%
Biggest drop
-16.9%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-15 beat 1.51 1.82 +20.2% +3.0% +2.5% -6.2%
2026-07-16 miss 2.19 2.12 -3.2% -0.7% -6.1% -5.6%
2026-04-16 miss 1.55 1.40 -9.6% -7.6% -6.8% -6.2%
2026-01-22 beat 1.01 1.26 +24.7% -3.7% -1.5% -10.0%
2025-10-22 beat -0.05 -0.02 +63.0% +5.7% +12.6% +3.1%
2025-07-16 beat 0.39 0.39 +1.1% +2.0% +2.9% +11.6%
2025-04-16 beat 1.41 2.15 +52.9% -5.1% -7.0% +2.6%
2025-01-22 beat 1.01 1.04 +2.8% -3.0% -3.7% -8.4%
2024-10-16 beat 0.30 0.57 +92.2% +1.7% -4.1% -0.1%
2024-07-17 beat 0.09 0.16 +84.6% -0.3% -3.2% -10.6%
2024-04-17 miss -0.44 -0.81 -86.0% -0.1% -0.2% +1.1%
2024-01-17 beat -0.86 -0.56 +35.1% +1.6% -1.6% +9.9%
2023-10-18 miss -1.07 -1.14 -6.7% -1.4% -8.6% -11.3%
2023-07-19 beat -0.44 -0.35 +19.8% +1.4% -6.2% -2.7%
2023-04-19 miss — -0.23 -4813.1% -3.0% -2.4% -12.0%
2023-01-18 miss -0.70 -0.70 -0.4% -4.3% -7.4% -2.5%
2022-10-19 miss 0.18 -0.33 -286.9% -4.8% +3.4% +10.1%
2022-07-20 beat 2.49 2.67 +7.3% +5.0% +0.2% +8.9%
2022-04-20 beat 2.79 3.06 +9.8% -7.2% -16.9% -18.9%
2022-01-19 beat 1.91 2.50 +30.9% +4.1% +2.7% -2.7%
2021-10-14 beat 1.80 2.05 +13.6% +6.8% +15.2% +1.3%
2021-07-15 beat 1.31 1.49 +13.3% +2.3% -4.6% +7.3%
2021-04-15 beat 0.46 0.79 +73.1% +3.6% +8.5% +5.7%
2021-01-20 beat 0.07 0.26 +264.8% -8.4% -12.4% -19.0%
2020-10-14 beat -1.25 -1.17 +6.1% -11.9% -5.4% +5.1%
2020-07-15 beat -0.05 -0.02 +61.1% +0.9% +6.3% +0.2%
2020-04-22 miss -0.17 -0.23 -34.8% +4.8% -3.4% +7.9%
2020-01-15 miss -0.22 -0.31 -44.1% -3.8% -11.9% -23.1%
2019-10-16 miss -0.29 -0.44 -50.4% +7.3% +5.9% +8.2%
2019-07-17 beat -0.06 -0.01 +84.2% -1.1% +1.1% -1.3%
2019-04-17 miss -0.13 -0.23 -72.3% -1.3% -3.8% -2.9%
2019-01-16 beat 0.50 0.66 +33.1% -2.7% +2.1% +0.1%
2018-10-17 beat 0.34 0.63 +83.8% +5.2% +5.9% -5.8%
2018-07-18 beat 1.32 1.52 +15.2% -4.6% -13.3% -10.7%
2018-04-18 beat 0.73 0.77 +6.2% +1.9% +1.4% -10.9%
2018-01-17 miss 1.23 1.04 -15.5% -5.8% -7.0% -6.8%
2017-10-18 miss 0.75 0.72 -4.0% -2.6% -2.5% +2.9%
2017-07-19 beat 0.58 0.62 +6.6% -1.5% +0.6% -0.4%
2017-04-24 beat 0.48 0.63 +32.6% +2.8% +9.5% +0.1%
2017-01-24 miss 0.24 0.14 -40.6% +2.9% -2.6% -3.3%
2016-12-01 miss 0.11 -0.04 -137.4% -0.1% +0.6% +11.0%

Not investment advice.