AAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.8%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.5% median,
79% of the last 24 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 40
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.19 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$64M/day volume
57% volatility
-20% 1-year
-81% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -30% from the high
$37.89$65.20
Congressional trades in AAP Full tracker →
4 members · 4 buys / 4 sells · $36K–$190K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.78.
1-day std dev
12.3%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+57.0%
Biggest drop
-35.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | beat | 0.80 | 1.03 | +28.2% | -16.6% | -24.5% | -22.3% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 0.44 | 0.77 | +75.6% | +12.4% | +14.4% | +17.6% |
| 2026-02-13 | beat | 0.41 | 0.86 | +109.3% | +8.2% | +1.1% | -4.9% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.74 | 0.92 | +23.5% | +7.8% | -8.0% | -13.9% |
| 2025-08-14 | beat | 0.58 | 0.69 | +18.3% | -12.6% | -8.0% | -10.0% |
| 2025-05-22 | beat | -0.69 | -0.22 | +68.0% | +37.6% | +57.0% | +53.1% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | -1.23 | -1.18 | +4.2% | -5.2% | -17.8% | -25.1% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | 0.44 | -0.04 | -109.1% | +6.2% | +0.6% | -5.5% |
| 2024-08-22 | miss | 0.94 | 0.75 | -19.9% | -21.8% | -17.5% | -25.5% |
| 2024-05-29 | beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +6.5% | -8.3% | -11.0% | -7.0% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | 0.22 | -0.59 | -371.9% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +11.0% |
| 2023-11-15 | miss | 1.45 | -0.82 | -156.6% | -6.2% | -4.7% | -9.9% |
| 2023-08-23 | miss | 1.67 | 1.43 | -14.2% | +0.2% | +3.1% | +1.1% |
| 2023-05-31 | miss | 2.56 | 0.72 | -71.9% | -29.4% | -35.0% | -41.6% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | 2.42 | 2.88 | +18.8% | +3.1% | +3.1% | -4.9% |
| 2022-11-15 | miss | 3.34 | 2.84 | -14.9% | -15.7% | -15.1% | -18.2% |
| 2022-08-23 | miss | 3.75 | 3.74 | -0.4% | -8.2% | -9.6% | -15.3% |
| 2022-05-23 | miss | 3.59 | 3.57 | -0.5% | -4.3% | -1.6% | +2.4% |
| 2022-02-14 | beat | 1.97 | 2.07 | +5.0% | -3.5% | -0.7% | -12.3% |
| 2021-11-15 | beat | 2.85 | 3.21 | +12.6% | -1.3% | -2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2021-08-24 | beat | 3.05 | 3.40 | +11.4% | -0.6% | +0.0% | -2.4% |
| 2021-06-02 | beat | 3.08 | 3.34 | +8.6% | +0.6% | -1.7% | +1.2% |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | 1.99 | 1.87 | -6.1% | -1.2% | +1.8% | +8.8% |
| 2020-11-10 | beat | 2.67 | 2.81 | +5.2% | -2.2% | -0.8% | -4.7% |
| 2020-08-18 | beat | 1.97 | 2.92 | +48.6% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -3.9% |
| 2020-05-19 | miss | 1.59 | 0.91 | -42.7% | +7.0% | +3.6% | +8.1% |
| 2020-02-18 | beat | 1.35 | 1.64 | +21.5% | +8.8% | +6.2% | +3.0% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | 2.05 | 2.10 | +2.2% | -6.4% | -7.5% | -4.1% |
| 2019-08-13 | miss | 2.21 | 2.00 | -9.4% | -8.0% | +0.0% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-22 | beat | 2.37 | 2.46 | +3.7% | +2.7% | +3.1% | -1.2% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 1.13 | 1.17 | +3.7% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -4.2% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | 1.76 | 1.89 | +7.6% | +10.2% | +10.6% | +2.7% |
| 2018-08-14 | beat | 1.86 | 1.97 | +6.1% | +5.9% | +7.8% | +10.6% |
| 2018-05-22 | beat | 1.96 | 2.10 | +6.9% | +3.7% | -3.2% | +7.9% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.65 | 0.77 | +19.4% | +11.0% | +8.2% | +8.4% |
| 2017-11-14 | beat | 1.21 | 1.43 | +18.5% | +15.3% | +16.3% | +8.1% |
| 2017-08-15 | miss | 1.66 | 1.58 | -4.6% | -15.9% | -20.3% | -12.4% |
| 2017-05-24 | miss | 2.14 | 1.60 | -25.1% | -6.4% | -5.4% | -2.5% |
| 2017-02-21 | miss | 1.09 | 1.00 | -7.9% | +1.8% | -0.3% | -3.1% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +1.1% | +14.8% | +15.0% | +19.2% |
| 2016-08-16 | miss | 2.11 | 1.90 | -9.9% | -3.4% | -4.4% | -5.9% |
| 2016-05-19 | miss | 2.61 | 2.51 | -3.8% | -6.7% | -0.2% | +8.9% |
| 2016-02-11 | beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.4% | -1.1% | -0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | 2.09 | 1.95 | -6.6% | -10.7% | -15.4% | -16.6% |
| 2015-08-13 | beat | 2.25 | 2.27 | +0.7% | +1.1% | +9.2% | +7.2% |
| 2015-05-21 | miss | 2.48 | 2.39 | -3.8% | -3.8% | +5.1% | +2.2% |
| 2015-02-12 | miss | 1.47 | 1.37 | -6.6% | -4.6% | -6.8% | -4.5% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 1.88 | 1.89 | +0.6% | -7.3% | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2014-08-14 | beat | 2.01 | 2.08 | +3.5% | +4.9% | +7.0% | +9.4% |
| 2014-05-15 | beat | 2.16 | 2.25 | +4.0% | +3.8% | +0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.80 | 0.94 | +16.8% | +9.7% | +12.7% | +14.0% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 1.42 | 1.48 | +4.2% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -3.3% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 1.49 | 1.59 | +6.7% | +0.9% | -0.8% | -0.5% |
| 2013-05-23 | beat | 1.62 | 1.65 | +2.1% | -1.4% | -2.0% | -5.0% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.75 | 0.88 | +17.2% | +9.5% | +5.8% | +8.1% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -2.8% |
| 2012-08-09 | miss | 1.40 | 1.34 | -4.5% | -4.9% | -3.8% | +2.7% |
| 2012-05-17 | miss | 1.82 | 1.79 | -1.4% | -12.0% | -17.0% | -11.2% |
| 2012-02-16 | beat | 0.74 | 0.90 | +21.9% | +5.9% | +8.2% | +6.5% |
| 2011-11-09 | beat | 1.19 | 1.41 | +18.9% | +1.6% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
Not investment advice.
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