AIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.3% median,
67% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.10 +0.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$15.2B market cap (#873 US)
$95M/day volume
22% volatility
+41% 1-year
-4% from ATH
52-week range · 89% of the way up · -4% from the high
$206.03$303.94
Congressional trades in AIZ Full tracker →
3 members · 5 buys / 6 sells · $600K–$1.3M disclosed · latest filing Jan 13, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $250K–$500K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 4.71.
1-day std dev
5.1%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+14.1%
Biggest drop
-13.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 5.18 | 6.41 | +23.7% | +4.6% | +7.2% | -0.1% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 5.33 | 5.95 | +11.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +2.3% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 5.50 | 5.61 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -8.6% | -5.7% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 4.28 | 5.73 | +34.0% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 4.45 | 5.10 | +14.5% | +3.6% | +11.2% | +13.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 2.78 | 3.39 | +22.1% | +2.6% | -0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | 4.13 | 4.79 | +15.9% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -5.6% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 2.64 | 3.00 | +13.6% | +1.9% | +6.9% | +10.4% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 3.61 | 4.08 | +13.1% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +9.3% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 3.92 | 4.78 | +21.9% | +2.0% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 3.71 | 4.58 | +23.3% | +2.9% | +3.8% | +1.7% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 2.59 | 4.29 | +65.7% | +6.6% | +11.8% | +7.1% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 2.75 | 3.89 | +41.2% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 2.32 | 2.75 | +18.5% | +4.5% | +9.3% | +6.9% |
| 2023-02-07 | beat | 2.70 | 3.23 | +19.8% | -3.4% | -3.2% | -2.7% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.8% | -1.2% | -2.7% | -9.0% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | 3.22 | 2.95 | -8.3% | -2.7% | -10.2% | -5.6% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 2.80 | 3.75 | +33.7% | -0.4% | +2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 2.31 | 2.47 | +7.0% | +3.9% | +6.7% | +7.2% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 1.55 | 1.41 | -8.8% | -0.2% | +2.3% | -1.3% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 2.47 | 2.99 | +20.9% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +3.8% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.94 | 2.47 | +27.1% | -0.8% | +1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2021-02-09 | miss | 2.08 | 1.82 | -12.7% | -0.8% | -5.7% | -9.8% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.99 | 1.41 | +42.6% | +0.4% | -2.8% | +3.3% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 2.12 | 2.75 | +29.7% | +7.1% | +14.1% | +16.2% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 2.43 | 2.64 | +8.5% | +2.8% | -4.1% | -14.0% |
| 2020-02-11 | miss | 2.35 | 2.25 | -4.2% | -1.9% | -2.1% | +1.4% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 1.66 | 1.69 | +1.6% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +4.1% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 2.12 | 2.34 | +10.2% | +1.2% | +7.5% | +9.8% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | 2.15 | 2.21 | +2.7% | +2.9% | +2.4% | +1.9% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.42 | 0.77 | +83.3% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 1.01 | 1.06 | +5.0% | -0.7% | +4.3% | +1.8% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 1.75 | 2.13 | +21.6% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +1.2% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 1.89 | 2.00 | +6.1% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 1.57 | 1.84 | +16.8% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +5.6% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -1.79 | -1.40 | +21.6% | -1.2% | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 1.60 | 1.63 | +2.0% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -1.2% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 1.53 | 1.87 | +21.9% | +1.9% | +6.5% | +5.6% |
| 2017-02-07 | miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -12.6% | -2.1% | -6.8% | -0.8% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.3% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -4.3% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 1.35 | 1.42 | +5.2% | -1.2% | -3.2% | -2.8% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 1.21 | 1.52 | +25.3% | +1.7% | +7.6% | +8.5% |
| 2016-02-09 | miss | 1.55 | 0.97 | -37.4% | -4.8% | -13.4% | -10.5% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 1.57 | 1.71 | +8.9% | -1.3% | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 1.60 | 2.07 | +29.1% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +5.2% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.8% | -1.4% | +2.6% | +1.8% |
| 2015-02-12 | miss | 1.66 | 0.87 | -47.6% | -5.9% | -7.5% | -9.3% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.61 | 1.82 | +13.2% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2014-07-23 | beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +4.9% | +1.2% | -0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2014-04-23 | beat | 1.55 | 1.68 | +8.1% | -2.6% | +0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2014-02-05 | miss | 1.43 | 1.42 | -0.5% | -3.1% | -1.5% | -1.6% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 1.49 | 1.71 | +14.9% | -0.2% | -2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 1.43 | 1.53 | +7.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +3.2% |
| 2013-04-24 | miss | 1.54 | 1.35 | -12.4% | -5.6% | -2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | -0.28 | 0.07 | +125.4% | +2.6% | -1.1% | +8.2% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 1.43 | 1.55 | +8.7% | +1.0% | -2.2% | -3.6% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 1.38 | 1.81 | +30.9% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +8.0% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 1.43 | 1.76 | +23.4% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 1.36 | 1.65 | +21.0% | +2.9% | +2.2% | +6.7% |
| 2011-10-26 | miss | 0.79 | 0.79 | -0.6% | +4.3% | +2.5% | -0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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