AMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.5%
Next 1 month
+7.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +15.3% median,
85% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 42
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.67 +7.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$91M/day volume
74% volatility
-23% 1-year
-71% from ATH
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -32% from the high
$48.30$96.69
Congressional trades in AMBA Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 2 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-01 (Tuesday, after close, in 33 days) · EPS est. 0.31.
1-day std dev
12.4%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+27.4%
Biggest drop
-31.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 56 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +5.3% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +0.9% |
| 2026-05-28 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +5.4% | -10.1% | -21.4% | -30.8% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +26.7% | -13.9% | -14.9% | -26.1% |
| 2025-11-25 | beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +29.6% | -12.1% | -18.8% | -21.9% |
| 2025-08-28 | beat | 0.05 | 0.15 | +177.1% | +18.2% | +16.8% | +18.9% |
| 2025-05-29 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +83.1% | -4.7% | -15.1% | -13.6% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | -0.02 | 0.11 | +651.4% | +7.0% | -17.1% | -29.4% |
| 2024-11-26 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +214.2% | +16.6% | +5.9% | +1.3% |
| 2024-08-27 | beat | -0.19 | -0.13 | +32.5% | +20.3% | +10.6% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-30 | beat | -0.31 | -0.26 | +16.9% | +20.1% | +20.6% | +17.8% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | -0.33 | -0.24 | +26.9% | +12.1% | +0.1% | -3.5% |
| 2023-11-30 | beat | -0.39 | -0.28 | +28.3% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -1.5% |
| 2023-08-29 | beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +18.9% | -22.8% | -20.4% | -20.3% |
| 2023-05-30 | beat | -0.21 | -0.15 | +27.3% | -16.2% | -11.8% | -1.8% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +54.9% | -7.5% | -11.5% | -11.9% |
| 2022-12-01 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.9% | -6.0% | +3.3% | +5.6% |
| 2022-08-30 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +3.2% | -9.3% | -19.7% | -19.0% |
| 2022-05-31 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +19.5% | -6.4% | -2.1% | -3.0% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +6.2% | -20.4% | -31.3% | -36.6% |
| 2021-11-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +16.6% | +14.8% | +14.1% | +20.8% |
| 2021-08-31 | beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +41.4% | +12.7% | +27.4% | +41.3% |
| 2021-06-01 | beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +32.9% | +2.4% | -1.5% | -4.8% |
| 2021-03-02 | beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +74.5% | +5.8% | -0.3% | -1.9% |
| 2020-11-23 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +67.2% | +6.9% | +15.3% | +29.1% |
| 2020-09-01 | beat | -0.02 | 0.06 | +343.7% | +1.7% | -3.2% | -16.0% |
| 2020-06-02 | beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +433.3% | -5.5% | -13.9% | -11.2% |
| 2020-03-03 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +22.2% | +7.0% | -5.0% | -24.3% |
| 2019-11-25 | beat | 0.21 | 0.32 | +55.8% | +4.0% | -7.3% | -9.4% |
| 2019-08-29 | beat | 0.02 | 0.21 | +755.4% | +18.1% | +17.9% | +37.1% |
| 2019-06-04 | beat | -0.06 | 0.01 | +117.7% | +7.0% | +0.1% | +6.0% |
| 2019-03-05 | beat | 0.04 | 0.14 | +257.4% | +9.3% | +3.7% | +8.0% |
| 2018-11-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.21 | +129.1% | +14.1% | +18.5% | +14.6% |
| 2018-08-30 | beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +90.7% | -12.5% | -3.6% | -2.7% |
| 2018-06-05 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +49.4% | -10.0% | -12.9% | -12.5% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +21.6% | +2.9% | +13.5% | +18.9% |
| 2017-11-30 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +12.8% | +8.5% | +14.3% | +8.7% |
| 2017-08-31 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.3% | -15.6% | -22.4% | -18.0% |
| 2017-06-06 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.1% | -5.2% | -10.2% | -17.2% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.75 | 0.92 | +23.2% | +2.7% | -4.4% | -8.4% |
| 2016-12-01 | beat | 0.94 | 1.11 | +18.0% | -7.2% | -11.3% | -11.3% |
| 2016-09-01 | beat | 0.38 | 0.54 | +43.8% | -2.1% | -6.7% | -7.6% |
| 2016-06-02 | beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +22.6% | +9.2% | +9.4% | +21.0% |
| 2016-03-03 | beat | 0.45 | 0.64 | +40.8% | -7.4% | -8.9% | -15.2% |
| 2015-12-03 | beat | 0.86 | 1.08 | +25.4% | -5.5% | -1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2015-09-01 | beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +9.3% | -7.8% | -8.5% | -21.7% |
| 2015-06-02 | beat | 0.58 | 0.71 | +21.6% | +3.2% | +3.7% | +22.5% |
| 2015-03-03 | beat | 0.49 | 0.68 | +37.9% | +6.2% | +7.0% | +7.2% |
| 2014-12-04 | beat | 0.54 | 0.68 | +25.0% | -3.3% | -1.7% | -16.7% |
| 2014-09-04 | beat | 0.28 | 0.37 | +32.7% | +7.3% | +3.2% | +3.1% |
| 2014-06-03 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +17.6% | +3.7% | +0.9% | +8.7% |
| 2014-03-06 | beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +36.8% | -2.6% | -7.4% | -18.0% |
| 2013-12-05 | beat | 0.29 | 0.37 | +27.6% | +5.1% | +3.1% | +3.5% |
| 2013-09-05 | beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +35.1% | +10.7% | +8.6% | +16.2% |
| 2013-06-04 | beat | 0.13 | 0.21 | +55.8% | +7.2% | +2.8% | +5.3% |
| 2013-03-07 | beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +38.5% | +12.4% | +13.5% | +12.7% |
| 2012-12-05 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +24.0% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +4.1% |
Not investment advice.
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