CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+2.7%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.3% median,
58% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.23 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$42M/day volume
38% volatility
+16% 1-year
-18% from ATH
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -14% from the high
$401.90$668.86
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
7.6%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+20.2%
Biggest drop
-14.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 12.34 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 11.85 | 12.12 | +2.2% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 10.51 | 10.71 | +1.9% | +3.7% | +2.7% | -0.1% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 9.85 | 11.35 | +15.2% | +7.5% | +10.4% | +12.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 9.45 | 10.28 | +8.8% | +4.1% | -1.1% | -6.6% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | 9.83 | 8.56 | -12.9% | -8.2% | -8.7% | -5.5% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 9.67 | 9.35 | -3.3% | -5.4% | -4.0% | +1.2% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 7.93 | 10.17 | +28.2% | +7.0% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 9.05 | 8.79 | -2.9% | +1.0% | -8.0% | -1.6% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 8.91 | 10.29 | +15.4% | -8.7% | -14.9% | -19.4% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 9.13 | 9.28 | +1.6% | -4.5% | -4.1% | +0.1% |
| 2024-01-31 | beat | 7.34 | 10.06 | +37.1% | +5.0% | +7.5% | +2.7% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 8.75 | 10.70 | +22.3% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +7.4% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 9.79 | 10.69 | +9.2% | -6.9% | -12.6% | -8.9% |
| 2023-05-01 | miss | 10.33 | 9.71 | -6.0% | -12.5% | -13.8% | -12.3% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 10.06 | 11.74 | +16.7% | +1.8% | +13.7% | +4.4% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 12.93 | 13.36 | +3.3% | -8.4% | -7.3% | -5.6% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 12.20 | 13.92 | +14.1% | -3.1% | -9.1% | -6.1% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | 11.97 | 13.76 | +14.9% | +2.4% | +20.2% | +10.9% |
| 2022-01-31 | beat | 12.37 | 14.26 | +15.3% | -2.7% | -2.5% | -0.2% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 12.16 | 13.84 | +13.8% | -1.2% | +12.5% | +10.6% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 10.47 | 13.71 | +31.0% | -3.4% | +0.7% | +14.7% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 8.30 | 9.64 | +16.2% | -1.7% | +0.8% | +8.3% |
| 2021-02-01 | beat | 7.44 | 10.75 | +44.5% | -4.1% | -10.5% | -5.4% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 6.87 | 9.36 | +36.3% | +0.0% | -6.5% | -2.0% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 6.78 | 8.63 | +27.2% | +3.3% | -3.3% | +6.1% |
| 2020-05-27 | beat | 4.14 | 9.66 | +133.5% | +0.3% | -2.7% | +18.6% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 8.91 | 9.22 | +3.4% | -5.6% | -8.1% | -4.3% |
| 2019-11-01 | miss | 8.90 | 8.89 | -0.1% | -4.5% | -7.1% | -2.0% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 8.47 | 8.60 | +1.6% | -2.2% | -1.8% | -5.3% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 7.86 | 8.08 | +2.8% | +2.4% | -0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2019-01-30 | beat | 7.41 | 7.85 | +5.9% | -6.4% | -3.9% | +2.4% |
| 2018-10-29 | beat | 6.98 | 7.56 | +8.2% | +4.9% | +10.0% | +6.7% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 6.55 | 6.95 | +6.1% | +3.0% | +11.3% | +13.9% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | 6.19 | 6.11 | -1.3% | -7.0% | +0.1% | +7.0% |
| 2018-01-30 | miss | 5.37 | 5.16 | -4.0% | -11.7% | -9.0% | -13.2% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 5.04 | 5.43 | +7.7% | -0.2% | -3.1% | -4.0% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 4.74 | 5.22 | +10.2% | +6.0% | +8.8% | +12.4% |
| 2017-05-01 | beat | 4.42 | 4.67 | +5.7% | +4.2% | +6.1% | +5.2% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | 4.35 | 4.79 | +10.1% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -4.1% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 4.23 | 4.53 | +7.1% | -1.0% | -11.9% | -4.0% |
| 2016-07-29 | beat | 3.80 | 4.38 | +15.3% | +6.2% | +7.5% | +13.8% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 3.81 | 4.02 | +5.6% | -2.6% | -3.8% | -4.8% |
| 2016-02-01 | beat | 3.73 | 4.00 | +7.2% | +1.6% | -6.2% | -3.4% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 3.70 | 3.77 | +2.0% | -2.1% | -9.8% | -14.6% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 3.46 | 3.60 | +4.1% | +4.6% | +7.0% | -0.5% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 3.27 | 3.44 | +5.2% | +1.1% | +9.0% | +5.2% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 3.32 | 3.28 | -1.2% | +0.8% | +10.5% | +19.4% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 3.14 | 3.26 | +3.8% | +0.2% | +5.8% | +11.6% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 2.91 | 2.98 | +2.4% | -1.9% | -3.5% | +1.8% |
| 2014-04-29 | miss | 2.80 | 2.69 | -4.0% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -4.2% |
| 2014-01-30 | miss | 2.76 | 2.73 | -1.0% | -1.2% | +5.3% | -1.7% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 2.59 | 2.72 | +4.9% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 2.45 | 2.53 | +3.1% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | 2.42 | 2.41 | -0.6% | +0.8% | -2.4% | +3.6% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 2.24 | 2.30 | +2.7% | +0.3% | +1.0% | +7.9% |
| 2012-11-01 | miss | 2.24 | 2.23 | -0.5% | +0.6% | -2.0% | +2.1% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 1.94 | 2.09 | +7.7% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +4.8% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | 2.01 | 1.86 | -7.5% | -0.8% | -6.1% | -8.5% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | 1.86 | 1.96 | +5.4% | +5.5% | +8.6% | +8.7% |
Not investment advice.
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