CF

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. $119.92 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.4%
Next 1 month
-2.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -0.5% median, 45% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 35
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -1.08 -2.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$20.9B market cap (#668 US) $267M/day volume 43% volatility +39% 1-year -16% from ATH
52-week range · 67% of the way up · -16% from the high
$75.42$141.96

Congressional trades in CF Full tracker →

10 members · 12 buys / 10 sells · $127K–$555K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.

BUY AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 27, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jan 9, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JL Julia Letlow · traded Aug 8, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JL Julia Letlow · traded Oct 23, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Oct 29, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JR John P Ricketts · traded Sep 21, 2023 $50K–$100K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Mar 1, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Feb 3, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL VF Virginia Foxx · traded Feb 16, 2023 $15K–$50K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Sep 16, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Sep 12, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Sep 7, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Sep 1, 2022 $15K–$50K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Apr 29, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DS Donna Shalala · traded Apr 30, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL DS Donna Shalala · traded Apr 16, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 18, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL PS Pete Sessions · traded Feb 5, 2018 $15K–$50K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Mar 7, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Sep 12, 2016 $1K–$15K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Jul 22, 2016 $1K–$15K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded May 12, 2016 $15K–$50K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 2.98.

1-day std dev
4.7%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+12.2%
Biggest drop
-12.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-05 miss 5.57 4.73 -15.1% -4.0% +0.0% +0.3%
2026-05-06 beat 2.66 2.89 +8.7% -4.7% -0.9% +2.7%
2026-02-18 beat 2.47 3.06 +23.9% +1.2% +3.8% +1.4%
2025-11-05 beat 2.07 2.19 +5.6% -2.2% -4.2% -0.8%
2025-08-06 miss 2.47 2.39 -3.4% -6.3% -7.8% -5.2%
2025-05-07 beat 1.50 1.98 +31.6% +4.4% +0.8% +6.9%
2025-02-19 beat 1.51 1.79 +18.1% -1.2% -4.2% -5.0%
2024-10-30 beat 1.16 1.55 +34.3% +2.0% +0.6% +3.5%
2024-08-07 beat 1.91 2.30 +20.5% +5.3% +8.5% +8.8%
2024-05-01 miss 1.62 1.03 -36.3% -1.9% -5.3% -4.7%
2024-02-14 beat 1.56 1.58 +1.6% +0.4% -1.0% +3.6%
2023-11-01 beat 1.01 1.14 +12.6% -1.0% +1.3% +1.3%
2023-08-02 beat 2.15 2.71 +26.3% +4.5% +0.7% -0.9%
2023-05-01 beat 2.54 2.55 +0.5% +0.4% +2.9% -5.8%
2023-02-15 beat 4.20 4.55 +8.4% -2.0% +0.4% +0.7%
2022-11-02 miss 3.50 2.18 -37.8% -5.5% +2.0% +5.2%
2022-08-01 beat 5.79 6.15 +6.2% -0.5% +3.9% +8.6%
2022-05-04 miss 4.39 4.11 -6.4% +0.5% -1.7% -3.3%
2022-02-15 miss 3.67 3.27 -10.9% -4.3% +3.0% +8.8%
2021-11-03 miss 0.95 0.68 -28.5% +1.2% +0.7% +9.8%
2021-08-09 miss 1.58 1.15 -27.3% -1.5% +1.6% -3.2%
2021-05-05 beat 0.56 0.70 +25.6% -2.9% +4.2% +7.0%
2021-02-17 beat 0.15 0.42 +182.3% +0.6% -2.6% +3.6%
2020-11-04 miss 0.05 -0.10 -306.0% -2.6% +2.6% +13.1%
2020-08-05 beat 0.59 0.96 +62.7% +2.7% +1.4% +6.2%
2020-05-06 beat 0.27 0.33 +22.4% +7.3% +4.8% -6.2%
2020-02-12 miss 0.26 0.25 -3.9% -0.7% -5.5% -5.4%
2019-10-30 miss 0.36 0.26 -27.4% -2.2% -3.6% -0.9%
2019-07-31 beat 0.84 1.13 +35.1% +5.4% +5.6% +5.2%
2019-05-01 miss 0.33 0.28 -12.8% -0.2% +0.4% -4.9%
2019-02-13 miss 0.45 0.19 -58.0% -0.7% -0.2% +3.4%
2018-10-31 miss 0.17 0.10 -42.1% -0.1% +6.3% +11.7%
2018-08-01 beat 0.46 0.63 +37.0% +6.6% +12.2% +12.7%
2018-05-02 beat 0.27 0.27 +0.9% -4.2% -2.0% +0.9%
2018-02-14 beat -0.08 -0.02 +74.4% +3.1% +3.1% +11.2%
2017-11-01 beat -0.54 -0.39 +27.4% +1.8% +1.3% -2.4%
2017-08-02 beat -0.05 0.01 +121.7% -1.1% +6.9% +7.1%
2017-05-03 beat 0.02 0.05 +157.7% +2.7% +6.1% +6.6%
2017-02-15 miss -0.11 -0.39 -256.6% -2.3% -2.8% -9.7%
2016-11-02 beat -0.01 0.13 +2203.6% -4.6% -8.5% +9.8%
2016-08-03 miss 0.68 0.33 -51.6% -7.3% -12.6% -9.2%
2016-05-04 miss 0.46 0.40 -12.3% -3.5% -4.1% -13.3%
2016-02-17 miss 0.86 0.76 -11.9% +4.1% +8.4% +4.6%
2015-11-04 miss 0.73 0.49 -32.9% -6.1% -9.5% -9.0%
2015-08-05 beat 1.50 1.59 +6.0% +7.0% +2.2% +2.6%
2015-05-06 beat 0.90 0.97 +6.8% -0.1% +1.9% +3.3%
2015-02-17 beat 1.01 1.13 +11.7% -2.4% -0.8% +2.9%
2014-11-05 miss 0.69 0.52 -23.8% -4.4% -0.8% +5.3%
2014-08-06 miss 1.29 1.22 -5.8% +0.4% -3.7% -2.2%
2014-05-07 beat 0.89 2.58 +188.6% -1.5% -1.4% -2.3%
2014-02-18 beat 0.91 1.01 +11.3% +4.7% +5.1% +8.0%
2013-11-04 beat 0.77 0.81 +6.2% -2.6% -3.7% +0.3%
2013-08-06 beat 1.53 1.71 +11.8% +1.6% +0.2% -0.8%
2013-05-08 beat 1.18 1.21 +1.8% +0.2% +2.2% +0.0%
2013-02-19 beat 1.38 1.45 +5.5% -0.7% -5.2% -9.0%
2012-11-05 beat 1.15 1.17 +1.4% +1.2% +0.4% -4.0%
2012-08-06 1.74 1.74 — -0.4% +1.3% +2.3%
2012-05-03 beat 0.97 1.21 +24.4% -1.6% -6.9% -12.8%
2012-02-15 beat 1.36 1.43 +5.2% +0.0% -1.8% +2.6%
2011-11-01 beat 0.97 1.03 +6.2% +1.3% +6.7% +4.7%

Not investment advice.