EXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.6% median,
60% of the last 25 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.20%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.60 +1.6%
$18.9B market cap (#866 US)
$140M/day volume
34% volatility
+65% 1-year
-2% from ATH
52-week range · 96% of the way up · -2% from the high
$36.00$67.52
Congressional trades in EXEL Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 2 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.90.
1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+20.8%
Biggest drop
-16.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +5.2% | -6.7% | -7.9% | -10.7% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.0% | +7.3% | +9.6% | +15.5% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 0.81 | 0.94 | +16.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +2.7% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.2% | +5.5% | +6.5% | +15.0% |
| 2025-07-28 | beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +16.2% | -13.8% | -16.8% | -15.6% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | 0.44 | 0.62 | +39.8% | +10.0% | +20.8% | +18.3% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +11.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.0% | +9.3% | +12.9% | +23.6% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.84 | +129.8% | +6.6% | +13.1% | +12.2% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | 0.29 | 0.17 | -40.6% | -7.8% | -6.5% | -8.0% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.8% | -3.4% | -7.6% | -6.6% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -46.4% | -2.6% | -4.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.3% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +5.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 0.22 | 0.16 | -27.6% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +0.1% |
| 2023-02-07 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.9% | -1.7% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +30.8% | -0.6% | +1.2% | -2.4% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +14.6% | +3.1% | -7.4% | -8.3% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +15.6% | -2.8% | +0.4% | -1.4% |
| 2022-02-17 | beat | 0.16 | 0.35 | +125.0% | +2.9% | +6.7% | +11.9% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.27 | 0.20 | -24.5% | -10.4% | -12.1% | -16.2% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.37 | +166.7% | +5.5% | +1.5% | +7.5% |
| 2021-05-06 | 0.09 | 0.09 | — | +0.8% | +8.1% | +10.1% | |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +37.0% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -3.6% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -6.4% | -5.2% | -6.5% | -9.0% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.25 | +77.2% | +1.5% | -2.0% | -3.6% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +10.1% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +4.9% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +22.1% | -4.5% | -3.7% | +2.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.22 | 0.34 | +51.6% | -2.2% | -11.1% | -12.8% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +4.7% | +1.9% | -4.1% | -1.3% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +2.1% | +1.0% | +4.4% | +1.6% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +61.9% | +6.8% | +1.7% | -2.1% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.17 | 0.41 | +141.2% | +19.1% | +16.5% | +11.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.16 | 0.28 | +75.0% | +2.4% | +9.2% | +0.9% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.15 | 0.37 | +146.7% | +7.1% | +7.8% | -10.0% |
| 2018-02-26 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.0% | -3.2% | -8.2% | -16.6% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.26 | +288.6% | +9.5% | +5.3% | +6.3% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +168.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% | -0.7% |
| 2017-05-01 | beat | — | 0.05 | +1260.1% | +3.7% | +0.0% | -5.7% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | -0.04 | 0.12 | +392.8% | -6.0% | -6.8% | -3.7% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | -0.12 | 0.01 | +108.0% | +6.9% | +16.8% | +60.8% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.25 | -0.16 | +38.4% | +6.8% | +17.9% | +13.5% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | -0.21 | -0.27 | -27.8% | -0.9% | +8.3% | +19.9% |
| 2016-02-29 | beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +12.7% | +16.2% | +5.2% | +6.3% |
| 2015-11-10 | miss | -0.16 | -0.22 | -35.8% | -4.4% | -9.3% | -8.4% |
| 2015-08-11 | miss | -0.21 | -0.22 | -3.8% | -1.0% | +2.3% | +0.0% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -0.24 | -0.18 | +25.0% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +33.5% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | -0.30 | -0.30 | +1.3% | -7.1% | +0.0% | +13.4% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | -0.35 | -0.30 | +15.1% | +4.2% | +3.0% | +9.7% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | -0.37 | -0.37 | -0.4% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +4.5% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | -0.35 | -0.39 | -12.2% | -0.6% | -5.7% | -2.0% |
| 2014-02-20 | miss | -0.38 | -0.38 | -0.5% | -2.8% | -2.0% | -1.4% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | -0.37 | -0.36 | +1.7% | +0.6% | -3.0% | -6.9% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | -0.28 | -0.33 | -21.8% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | -0.27 | -0.24 | +10.7% | +1.7% | +7.4% | +2.4% |
| 2013-02-21 | beat | -0.26 | -0.24 | +5.4% | -1.9% | -5.2% | -2.4% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | -0.32 | -0.19 | +39.7% | -0.2% | -2.8% | +0.0% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | -0.28 | -0.24 | +15.1% | -0.3% | -5.7% | -24.7% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | -0.20 | -0.18 | +12.2% | -1.5% | -1.3% | +11.4% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | -0.18 | 0.37 | +304.2% | +1.3% | -7.7% | -3.6% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +4.9% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -45.5% |
Not investment advice.
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