FHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.7% median,
69% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 14
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.65 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$12.3B market cap (#915 US)
$162M/day volume
22% volatility
+11% 1-year
-50% from ATH
52-week range · 46% of the way up · -13% from the high
$20.40$26.56
Congressional trades in FHN Full tracker →
4 members · 7 buys / 8 sells · $71K–$365K disclosed · latest filing Jun 26, 2023.
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-13 (Wednesday, before open, in 76 days) · EPS est. 0.54.
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+6.7%
Biggest drop
-9.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.1% | -1.5% | +0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.8% | -3.6% | -3.0% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-15 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.7% | -2.0% | -0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2026-01-15 | beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +12.1% | +1.2% | +1.6% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-15 | beat | 0.45 | 0.51 | +14.6% | +1.9% | -9.4% | -10.4% |
| 2025-07-16 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +8.2% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +6.3% |
| 2025-04-16 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.3% | -3.2% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2025-01-16 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.0% | -1.8% | -0.4% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-16 | beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.1% | +2.3% | +4.1% | +3.0% |
| 2024-07-17 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.4% | -5.4% | -5.8% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-17 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.6% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +7.3% |
| 2024-01-18 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +4.1% | +1.9% | +5.1% | +11.3% |
| 2023-10-18 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +10.6% | -0.7% | +1.8% | -4.4% |
| 2023-07-19 | miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -4.2% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +6.3% |
| 2023-04-18 | miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -4.7% | +0.9% | +1.3% | -4.8% |
| 2023-01-18 | beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +5.5% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2022-10-18 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +3.2% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +1.2% |
| 2022-07-19 | miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -3.3% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2022-04-19 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +9.3% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -2.4% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 0.38 | 0.48 | +28.0% | +1.4% | -1.1% | -2.7% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 0.41 | 0.50 | +22.7% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2021-07-16 | beat | 0.44 | 0.58 | +32.7% | -3.6% | -5.5% | -6.3% |
| 2021-04-21 | beat | 0.37 | 0.51 | +37.6% | -1.2% | +5.4% | +9.3% |
| 2021-01-22 | beat | 0.34 | 0.46 | +37.2% | -2.4% | +1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2020-10-23 | beat | 0.23 | 0.35 | +52.6% | +1.4% | -3.2% | -9.1% |
| 2020-07-17 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -2.8% | +3.8% | -0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2020-04-21 | miss | 0.34 | 0.05 | -85.2% | -5.8% | -3.6% | +13.1% |
| 2020-01-17 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.1% | +2.7% | +4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2019-10-16 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.8% | -4.0% | -3.6% | -0.7% |
| 2019-07-16 | beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +15.3% | +2.4% | +6.7% | +8.2% |
| 2019-04-16 | beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +1.0% | -1.2% | +2.9% | +4.9% |
| 2019-01-18 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -2.7% | -2.7% | -1.8% | +1.5% |
| 2018-10-16 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.2% | -1.4% | -2.5% | -3.4% |
| 2018-07-17 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +1.5% | -1.9% | -4.0% | -1.0% |
| 2018-04-13 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +10.4% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2018-01-19 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.2% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2017-10-13 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +2.6% |
| 2017-07-14 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.8% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2017-04-13 | beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +0.1% | -2.0% | -2.8% | +1.2% |
| 2017-01-13 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -9.2% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -4.6% |
| 2016-10-14 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +9.2% | +0.6% | -1.7% | +1.1% |
| 2016-07-15 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.7% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2016-04-15 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +1.7% | -0.3% | +0.9% | +5.6% |
| 2016-01-19 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -7.0% | +1.2% | -1.8% | -3.5% |
| 2015-10-16 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.7% | -13.5% | -1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2015-07-17 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.6% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.5% |
| 2015-04-17 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +2.4% | -2.1% | -1.9% | -2.5% |
| 2015-01-23 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +14.7% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2014-10-17 | miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -7.1% | +1.8% | +0.6% | +5.6% |
| 2014-07-18 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +10.1% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2014-04-17 | beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +29.9% | +0.8% | -3.4% | -1.5% |
| 2014-01-17 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.9% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2013-10-18 | miss | 0.19 | 0.19 | -0.6% | -3.6% | -3.8% | -5.9% |
| 2013-07-19 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -11.6% | -4.0% | -0.3% | +1.6% |
| 2013-04-19 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -1.9% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +7.6% |
| 2013-01-18 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -7.7% | -2.6% | -2.9% | -1.1% |
| 2012-10-19 | miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -46.0% | -2.5% | -3.6% | -5.0% |
| 2012-07-20 | miss | -0.49 | -0.50 | -1.7% | -6.0% | -5.4% | -3.9% |
| 2012-04-19 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.8% | -5.1% | -7.8% | -7.6% |
| 2012-01-20 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -5.3% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +0.2% |
Not investment advice.
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