GBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.4% median,
73% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.50 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.9%
$18M/day volume
20% volatility
-13% 1-year
-38% from ATH
52-week range · 26% of the way up · -14% from the high
$11.77$14.41
Congressional trades in GBDC Full tracker →
3 members · 3 buys / 7 sells · $122K–$430K disclosed · latest filing Aug 6, 2024.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, after close, in 19 days) · EPS est. 0.33.
1-day std dev
1.8%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+3.7%
Biggest drop
-5.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 0.33 | 0.33 | — | -0.5% | -0.8% | -0.1% | |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -9.5% | -5.3% | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-04 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -1.6% | -2.8% | -5.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-11-18 | miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -1.0% | +1.6% | -0.2% | +3.0% |
| 2025-08-04 | miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | 0.41 | 0.37 | -9.8% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +5.2% |
| 2025-02-04 | miss | 0.43 | 0.37 | -13.9% | -3.1% | -2.3% | +1.0% |
| 2024-11-19 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.8% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -0.3% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -5.0% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.8% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -2.5% |
| 2024-02-05 | beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.1% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2023-11-20 | beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +29.3% | +2.5% | +1.3% | -0.8% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.9% | +1.3% | +2.0% | +5.1% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.6% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -2.9% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.6% | +0.6% | -2.5% | -1.7% |
| 2022-11-21 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.6% | +0.5% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +8.5% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -2.5% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 0.30 | 0.25 | -15.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -6.9% |
| 2022-02-09 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -8.2% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -0.7% |
| 2021-11-29 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.8% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +2.6% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | 0.30 | 0.25 | -15.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -17.2% | -0.8% | -2.2% | +0.1% |
| 2021-02-08 | miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -16.1% | +0.6% | -2.3% | -1.5% |
| 2020-11-30 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -13.0% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -14.6% | +0.0% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | 0.33 | 0.24 | -27.8% | +0.9% | +3.5% | +3.7% |
| 2020-02-10 | miss | 0.32 | 0.24 | -25.6% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2019-11-25 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +13.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.1% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +2.2% |
| 2019-05-08 | 0.32 | 0.32 | — | +0.0% | -0.9% | -1.8% | |
| 2019-02-06 | 0.32 | 0.32 | — | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.4% | |
| 2018-11-28 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.0% | +1.0% | -1.4% | -2.8% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.8% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.6% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.5% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +0.6% |
| 2017-11-20 | miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.3% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2017-02-08 | miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.5% | +0.0% | -3.2% | -3.6% |
| 2016-11-16 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.8% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +2.5% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.6% | +1.4% | +1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +3.1% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
| 2016-02-05 | miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.4% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2015-11-17 | miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -6.1% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.5% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +3.4% |
| 2015-05-11 | miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -6.1% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -0.2% |
| 2015-02-06 | miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.0% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2014-11-18 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.1% | +1.1% | -0.7% | +1.1% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.0% | +0.7% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.5% | -0.9% | -3.0% | -1.6% |
| 2014-02-06 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.9% | +1.0% | +0.1% | +3.1% |
| 2013-12-03 | miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.3% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +0.6% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | -4.3% |
| 2013-05-03 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.6% | +1.5% | +2.3% | +2.0% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.6% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2012-11-29 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.0% | +1.2% | +2.2% | +1.0% |
| 2012-08-06 | miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -13.1% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -7.0% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2012-02-06 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -4.9% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2011-12-08 | miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.6% | +5.8% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
Not investment advice.
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