HMC (Honda Motor Co., Ltd.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

+0.2%

Next 1 week

+0.8%

Next 1 month

+1.5%

Seasonality

Mildly positive window

Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.4% median, 56% of the last 45 years finished up.

Mean reversion

Neutral — RSI(2) at 46

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.95 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%

$52.1B market cap (#288 US) $31M/day volume 29% volatility +6% 1-year -24% from ATH

52-week range · 93% of the way up · -2% from the high

$23.25$34.64

Congressional trades in HMC Full tracker →

9 members · 7 buys / 9 sells · $44K–$310K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.

BUY	AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 30, 2026	$1K–$15K
SELL	LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025	$1K–$15K
BUY	LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025	$1K–$15K
SELL	LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 31, 2025	$1K–$15K
BUY	LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 24, 2025	$1K–$15K
SELL	DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jul 10, 2023	$15K–$50K
BUY	GG Greg Gianforte · traded Mar 18, 2020	$1K–$15K
SELL	JR John Rutherford · traded Nov 19, 2019	$1K–$15K
SELL	NT Nicholas Van Taylor · traded Mar 25, 2019	$15K–$50K
BUY	JR John Rutherford · traded Aug 28, 2018	$1K–$15K
BUY	JR John Rutherford · traded Jul 11, 2017	$1K–$15K
BUY	SW Sheldon Whitehouse · traded Dec 23, 2013	$1K–$15K
SELL	SW Sheldon Whitehouse · traded May 9, 2014	$1K–$15K
SELL	TM Thomas MacArthur · traded May 27, 2015	$1K–$15K
SELL	SC Susan M Collins · traded May 7, 2014	$1K–$15K
SELL	SW Sheldon Whitehouse · traded May 9, 2014	$1K–$15K

Next report 2026-11-10 (Tuesday, before open, in 12 days).

1-day std dev

3.1%

Finished up

36%

Biggest pop

+3.3%

Biggest drop

-8.1%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 14 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2014-01-31	miss	0.87	0.85	-2.3%	-1.8%	-1.8%	-4.3%
2013-10-30	miss	0.84	0.68	-19.0%	-0.2%	-0.2%	-0.8%
2013-07-31	miss	0.93	0.69	-25.6%	-0.7%	-0.7%	+2.6%
2013-06-14	miss	0.58	0.44	-23.8%	-2.6%	-3.1%	-2.1%
2013-01-31	miss	0.64	0.47	-26.5%	-0.5%	-1.1%	+0.6%
2012-10-29	miss	0.85	0.57	-32.6%	-4.4%	-4.5%	-3.7%
2012-07-31	miss	1.16	0.94	-19.4%	+0.3%	-1.6%	+0.7%
2012-04-27	miss	0.54	0.49	-8.7%	+1.8%	+1.6%	-4.7%
2012-01-31	miss	0.44	0.35	-20.8%	+3.5%	+3.3%	+7.6%
2011-10-31	beat	0.41	0.44	+9.0%	-7.6%	-8.1%	-6.2%
2011-08-01	beat	-0.21	0.23	+206.6%	+2.1%	+0.5%	-13.4%
2011-04-28	miss	0.52	0.30	-41.9%	-0.3%	+0.6%	+2.3%
2011-01-31	beat	0.48	0.55	+14.6%	+0.1%	+3.1%	+1.8%
2010-10-29	beat	0.57	0.94	+64.3%	-3.1%	-4.7%	+0.9%