JBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
-1.0%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -1.9% median,
44% of the last 34 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.47%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.17 -0.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$8M/day volume
32% volatility
+9% 1-year
-48% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -28% from the high
$59.07$92.08
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, after close, in 91 days) · EPS est. 1.34.
1-day std dev
8.6%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+21.0%
Biggest drop
-14.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 37 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | miss | 1.53 | 1.11 | -27.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | miss | 1.17 | 0.71 | -39.5% | -7.1% | -6.8% | -9.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 1.16 | 1.43 | +23.7% | +1.3% | +6.7% | +1.9% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 1.36 | 1.53 | +12.7% | +1.0% | +7.1% | +4.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 1.28 | 1.59 | +23.9% | +10.5% | +15.3% | +14.3% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 1.31 | 1.35 | +3.0% | -0.2% | +6.9% | +7.2% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 1.33 | 1.45 | +9.0% | +2.6% | +9.7% | +7.5% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.99 | 1.02 | +3.0% | +0.0% | -5.4% | -12.0% |
| 2022-01-27 | miss | 1.41 | 1.14 | -19.1% | -1.1% | -4.3% | -3.5% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 1.39 | 1.51 | +8.7% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2021-08-18 | miss | 1.15 | 1.07 | -7.0% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.18 | 1.27 | +7.6% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +3.3% |
| 2021-01-27 | beat | 1.43 | 1.72 | +20.3% | +4.7% | +5.5% | +9.5% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 1.01 | 1.11 | +9.9% | +3.6% | -0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2020-08-19 | miss | 0.91 | 0.89 | -2.2% | -2.1% | -9.4% | -10.5% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.66 | 1.17 | +77.3% | +0.5% | -3.1% | +3.4% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 1.12 | 1.52 | +35.7% | +4.5% | +4.3% | -5.4% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 0.91 | 1.12 | +23.1% | +7.8% | +10.3% | +11.1% |
| 2019-08-21 | beat | 0.66 | 0.98 | +48.5% | +6.1% | +9.7% | +15.4% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.66 | 0.90 | +36.4% | +0.2% | +12.3% | +5.7% |
| 2019-01-30 | miss | 1.00 | 0.98 | -2.0% | +1.4% | +5.7% | +5.4% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | 0.94 | 0.57 | -39.4% | -10.0% | -14.7% | -12.4% |
| 2018-08-22 | miss | 0.82 | 0.49 | -40.2% | -3.8% | -7.6% | -8.5% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.9% | +1.9% | +11.7% | +12.9% |
| 2018-02-05 | miss | 1.11 | 0.68 | -38.7% | -3.0% | -2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.84 | 0.91 | +8.3% | -5.9% | -12.7% | -17.5% |
| 2017-08-23 | miss | 0.79 | 0.63 | -19.9% | +0.2% | +2.9% | -0.4% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.33 | 0.55 | +66.7% | -0.9% | -8.0% | -9.9% |
| 2017-02-01 | miss | 1.19 | 1.13 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -4.0% | -6.3% |
| 2016-10-31 | miss | 0.94 | 0.90 | -4.3% | +15.4% | +21.0% | +26.0% |
| 2016-08-24 | miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -1.5% | +0.1% | +14.1% | +13.4% |
| 2016-04-26 | miss | 0.70 | 0.27 | -61.4% | -4.3% | -6.9% | -9.2% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.93 | 1.07 | +15.1% | +10.8% | +14.2% | +14.3% |
| 2015-10-26 | 0.71 | 0.71 | — | +0.0% | +8.7% | +15.5% | |
| 2015-08-20 | beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.7% | -16.6% | +1.6% | +13.0% |
| 2015-04-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.58 | +52.6% | +4.1% | +7.2% | +3.7% |
| 2015-01-28 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.7% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +0.3% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 0.72 | 0.53 | -26.4% | -5.6% | -5.9% | +5.4% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google