MCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+0.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.5% median,
78% of the last 59 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 93
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.02 -0.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.9%
$184.6B market cap (#45 US)
$1.3B/day volume
20% volatility
-16% 1-year
-25% from ATH
52-week range · 25% of the way up · -25% from the high
$229.20$341.75
Congressional trades in MCD Full tracker →
53 members · 72 buys / 90 sells · $2.0M–$6.4M disclosed · latest filing Oct 27, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Showing the 60 most recent filings of 162 — full tracker.
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 3.38.
1-day std dev
2.8%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+8.1%
Biggest drop
-5.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 3.32 | 3.38 | +1.8% | +1.9% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 2.74 | 2.83 | +3.1% | +1.3% | -0.1% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 3.05 | 3.12 | +2.2% | +2.0% | +2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 3.33 | 3.22 | -3.4% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +2.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 3.15 | 3.19 | +1.4% | +2.8% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | 2.67 | 2.67 | -0.0% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 2025-02-10 | miss | 2.86 | 2.83 | -1.0% | +2.7% | +4.8% | +3.6% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 3.20 | 3.23 | +0.9% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2024-07-29 | miss | 3.07 | 2.97 | -3.2% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +6.5% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | 2.73 | 2.70 | -0.9% | -3.4% | -0.2% | -2.2% |
| 2024-02-05 | beat | 2.83 | 2.95 | +4.4% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -2.6% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 2.99 | 3.19 | +6.5% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +5.1% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 2.79 | 3.17 | +13.7% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 2.34 | 2.63 | +12.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +1.7% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 2.46 | 2.59 | +5.2% | -2.1% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 2.58 | 2.68 | +3.9% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +6.4% |
| 2022-07-26 | beat | 2.47 | 2.55 | +3.4% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +4.3% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 2.18 | 2.28 | +4.7% | +1.1% | +2.9% | +0.7% |
| 2022-01-27 | miss | 2.34 | 2.23 | -4.8% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +4.3% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 2.47 | 2.76 | +11.9% | +2.0% | +2.7% | +5.9% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 2.12 | 2.37 | +11.8% | -1.6% | -1.9% | -4.7% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 1.82 | 1.92 | +5.3% | +0.7% | +1.2% | +1.1% |
| 2021-01-28 | miss | 1.78 | 1.70 | -4.5% | +0.8% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 1.90 | 2.22 | +16.9% | +4.7% | -1.5% | +0.1% |
| 2020-07-28 | miss | 0.75 | 0.66 | -12.4% | -1.3% | -2.5% | -0.9% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 1.54 | 1.47 | -4.8% | -3.1% | -0.1% | -3.6% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 1.97 | 1.97 | +0.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +1.9% |
| 2019-10-22 | miss | 2.21 | 2.11 | -4.4% | -2.3% | -5.0% | -8.2% |
| 2019-07-26 | miss | 2.05 | 2.05 | -0.1% | +1.6% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | 1.76 | 1.72 | -2.4% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2019-01-30 | beat | 1.89 | 1.97 | +4.1% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -3.3% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 1.99 | 2.10 | +5.4% | +2.7% | +6.3% | +7.1% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.93 | 1.99 | +3.3% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -2.2% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 1.67 | 1.79 | +7.2% | +4.0% | +5.8% | +4.2% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 1.59 | 1.71 | +7.5% | -0.4% | -3.0% | -7.1% |
| 2017-10-24 | miss | 1.77 | 1.76 | -0.3% | +1.2% | +0.3% | +2.2% |
| 2017-07-25 | beat | 1.62 | 1.73 | +7.0% | +3.9% | +4.8% | +1.4% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 1.33 | 1.47 | +10.1% | +2.9% | +5.6% | +5.2% |
| 2017-01-23 | beat | 1.41 | 1.43 | +0.8% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2016-10-21 | beat | 1.48 | 1.62 | +9.3% | +2.4% | +3.0% | +1.4% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 1.38 | 1.45 | +4.9% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -7.6% |
| 2016-04-22 | beat | 1.16 | 1.23 | +5.6% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2016-01-25 | beat | 1.23 | 1.28 | +4.0% | +2.9% | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 1.28 | 1.40 | +9.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +9.8% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +4.5% | +1.4% | -0.5% | +1.6% |
| 2015-04-22 | miss | 1.06 | 1.01 | -4.6% | +2.2% | +3.1% | +2.3% |
| 2015-01-23 | miss | 1.22 | 1.17 | -4.4% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +1.7% |
| 2014-10-21 | miss | 1.37 | 1.35 | -1.7% | -1.8% | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2014-07-22 | miss | 1.44 | 1.40 | -2.6% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -1.8% |
| 2014-04-22 | miss | 1.24 | 1.21 | -2.3% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2014-01-23 | beat | 1.39 | 1.40 | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2013-10-21 | beat | 1.51 | 1.52 | +0.9% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2013-07-22 | miss | 1.40 | 1.38 | -1.7% | -2.5% | -2.7% | -2.4% |
| 2013-04-19 | miss | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.1% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -1.0% |
| 2013-01-23 | beat | 1.33 | 1.38 | +3.8% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +1.9% |
| 2012-10-19 | miss | 1.47 | 1.43 | -2.9% | -3.0% | -4.5% | -6.6% |
| 2012-07-23 | miss | 1.38 | 1.32 | -4.2% | -2.6% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2012-04-20 | beat | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| 2012-01-24 | beat | 1.30 | 1.33 | +2.6% | +0.1% | -2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2011-10-21 | beat | 1.42 | 1.45 | +1.8% | +2.5% | +3.7% | +4.8% |
Posted about MCD
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