MFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +7.1% median,
69% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 45
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.74 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt +1.1%
$78.2B market cap (#254 US)
$60M/day volume
20% volatility
+36% 1-year
-4% from ATH
52-week range · 93% of the way up · -2% from the high
$31.92$45.68
Congressional trades in MFC Full tracker →
4 members · 8 buys / 6 sells · $190K–$600K disclosed · latest filing May 14, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.18.
1-day std dev
3.7%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+9.5%
Biggest drop
-10.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.9% | +1.2% | +0.3% | -1.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | miss | 1.09 | 1.06 | -3.0% | -5.7% | -5.8% | -2.0% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 1.06 | 1.12 | +5.2% | -0.3% | -5.5% | -3.2% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | 1.04 | 1.16 | +11.8% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -1.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.8% | -0.9% | -3.8% | -2.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.48 | 0.25 | -47.7% | -2.2% | -0.7% | +1.6% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 0.95 | 1.03 | +8.9% | +3.8% | +6.9% | +3.3% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.94 | 1.00 | +6.4% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.5% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +7.7% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.2% | +0.9% | +5.1% | +7.8% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.85 | 0.92 | +8.0% | +4.2% | +9.5% | +7.4% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.1% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +8.2% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | 0.80 | 0.79 | -0.8% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +9.0% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +0.8% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -5.7% | +3.8% | +5.0% | +6.7% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.9% | +0.3% | -1.4% | -0.7% |
| 2022-05-11 | miss | 0.82 | 0.77 | -6.6% | -4.1% | -10.5% | -5.4% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.6% | +0.4% | +3.1% | -0.1% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 0.79 | 0.76 | -3.9% | -0.8% | -4.3% | -1.1% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.78 | 0.83 | +6.1% | +1.6% | +2.4% | +6.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.77 | 0.82 | +6.3% | -0.3% | -2.6% | -4.0% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +3.2% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2020-11-11 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.2% | -1.3% | -4.0% | +1.5% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.61 | 0.78 | +28.3% | +1.8% | +3.2% | +8.9% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.59 | 0.51 | -13.4% | +2.2% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| 2020-02-12 | miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.7% | -0.8% | -1.9% | -3.0% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +4.0% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +2.6% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +0.9% | +2.7% | +2.3% | -0.1% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.4% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -1.5% |
| 2019-02-13 | miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -1.3% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +7.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +12.0% | +5.4% | +3.8% | +2.2% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +8.3% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +3.2% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.5% | +2.5% | +1.9% | +6.7% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.2% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.5% | +1.4% | +4.8% | +1.8% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +4.7% | -0.8% | -5.0% | -1.2% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.6% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | 0.51 | 0.63 | +24.1% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +2.0% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +9.6% | +3.7% | +8.1% | +13.0% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | 0.45 | 0.40 | -10.6% | -4.4% | -5.4% | -2.8% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.1% | +3.4% | +1.4% | +1.3% |
| 2016-02-11 | miss | 0.45 | 0.42 | -7.3% | -2.8% | -8.6% | +2.4% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -4.4% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.0% | +0.9% | +1.0% | -2.4% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -7.5% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +2.2% |
| 2015-02-12 | miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -11.1% | -1.7% | -1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2014-11-13 | miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -2.7% | +0.2% | -0.6% | +2.1% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -9.9% | +1.9% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -3.0% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +1.8% |
| 2014-02-13 | miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -5.9% | -1.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.54 | +66.7% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +5.1% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | 0.30 | 0.12 | -60.5% | -0.9% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2013-05-02 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -5.5% | +0.2% | +3.9% | +5.1% |
| 2013-02-07 | miss | 0.33 | 0.28 | -14.6% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -10.4% | +0.2% | -2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2012-08-09 | miss | 0.33 | 0.22 | -33.4% | -2.0% | +0.5% | +6.8% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 0.32 | 0.58 | +82.3% | +3.2% | -3.2% | -10.1% |
| 2012-02-09 | miss | 0.30 | 0.19 | -37.3% | -0.9% | -2.0% | +3.9% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.6% | -1.5% | +4.6% | -4.8% |
Not investment advice.
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