MGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.8% median,
51% of the last 37 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 74
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.83 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$8.6B market cap (#829 US)
$152M/day volume
40% volatility
-10% 1-year
-71% from ATH
52-week range · 9% of the way up · -44% from the high
$26.71$51.59
Congressional trades in MGM Full tracker →
6 members · 5 buys / 3 sells · $36K–$190K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-04 (Thursday, after close, in 97 days) · EPS est. 0.41.
1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+17.5%
Biggest drop
-13.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | miss | 0.08 | -0.11 | -231.7% | -0.2% | +5.7% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +2.2% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 0.53 | 0.49 | -7.8% | +1.0% | -0.8% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.55 | 1.60 | +189.6% | -0.1% | +3.3% | -5.9% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -19.9% | -6.3% | -1.6% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.55 | 0.79 | +44.0% | -3.1% | -3.8% | -8.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.69 | +54.3% | +5.0% | -1.9% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 0.34 | 0.45 | +33.0% | +12.2% | +17.5% | +4.7% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 0.61 | 0.54 | -11.0% | -6.4% | -11.0% | -9.0% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.59 | 0.86 | +46.3% | -6.8% | -13.2% | -12.8% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +28.6% | +9.4% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 0.71 | 1.06 | +49.7% | -3.4% | -6.3% | -7.1% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.49 | 0.64 | +29.9% | +3.8% | -1.1% | +4.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +13.9% | -2.8% | -7.1% | -5.6% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | 0.16 | 0.44 | +169.5% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -5.8% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | -1.57 | -1.53 | +2.2% | +7.1% | +6.4% | +6.7% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.13 | -1.39 | -1153.3% | -5.9% | -10.5% | +0.6% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.33 | 0.03 | -90.9% | +4.2% | +3.7% | +2.1% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +122.1% | +0.4% | -2.7% | -13.7% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.02 | 0.12 | +663.8% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -10.0% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +192.1% | +1.6% | -2.7% | -6.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.37 | -0.13 | +64.9% | -0.7% | +6.4% | +9.2% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | -0.87 | -0.68 | +21.6% | +1.6% | -3.8% | -7.4% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | -0.94 | -0.90 | +4.1% | -2.2% | -3.2% | -0.1% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | -1.02 | -1.08 | -5.6% | -4.7% | -3.4% | +3.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -1.70 | -1.52 | +10.6% | -3.9% | -3.3% | +14.4% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | -0.42 | -0.45 | -6.7% | -7.5% | -10.8% | -7.4% |
| 2020-02-12 | miss | 0.27 | 0.08 | -70.0% | -4.2% | -5.5% | -6.7% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.1% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +7.6% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -11.4% | +3.3% | +3.7% | -2.5% |
| 2019-04-29 | miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -15.6% | -4.1% | -6.9% | -13.0% |
| 2019-02-13 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -2.2% | -5.6% | -6.4% | -5.2% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.2% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +10.9% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -5.7% | -5.0% | +1.6% | +2.1% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -3.0% | -5.7% | -8.6% | -11.5% |
| 2018-02-20 | miss | 0.11 | — | -100.0% | -4.3% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -7.8% | +1.1% | +5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.3% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -6.8% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.31 | 0.38 | +22.6% | +1.3% | +4.1% | +3.1% |
| 2017-02-16 | miss | 0.19 | 0.11 | -41.6% | -5.3% | -9.3% | -10.8% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.16 | 0.58 | +257.2% | +6.3% | +2.9% | +3.6% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +16.1% | +2.4% | +1.2% | +4.7% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +47.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2016-02-18 | miss | 0.09 | -0.01 | -110.8% | -3.4% | -8.3% | -8.6% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +295.6% | +6.1% | +4.8% | +9.9% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.10 | 0.19 | +85.9% | +1.5% | +9.6% | +11.7% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | 0.13 | 0.26 | +99.6% | -2.3% | -0.6% | -9.6% |
| 2015-02-17 | miss | 0.07 | -0.66 | -1029.5% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +2.0% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.06 | -0.02 | -132.3% | -2.4% | +0.4% | -4.5% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.21 | +104.4% | +1.8% | -2.2% | -6.2% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.22 | +137.1% | +3.8% | +8.5% | +11.6% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | -0.01 | 0.11 | +1547.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +6.3% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +169.4% | -3.9% | -6.2% | -8.4% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | 0.01 | -0.02 | -374.7% | +6.0% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | -0.10 | 0.03 | +129.5% | +4.4% | +5.4% | +9.7% |
| 2013-02-20 | miss | -0.22 | -0.23 | -2.3% | +1.3% | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| 2012-10-31 | miss | -0.16 | -0.23 | -42.5% | -1.8% | -2.6% | -5.0% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +17.8% | +4.4% | +7.5% | +6.2% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | -0.15 | -0.09 | +41.6% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -13.9% |
| 2012-02-22 | miss | -0.20 | -0.21 | -3.6% | -3.2% | -3.0% | -3.0% |
Posted about MGM
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