MTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.8%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +9.6% median,
86% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.18%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.79 +2.1% · Seasonal tilt +1.5%
$36.0B market cap (#416 US)
$318M/day volume
31% volatility
+20% 1-year
-1% from ATH
52-week range · 97% of the way up · -1% from the high
$1023.05$1722.76
Congressional trades in MTD Full tracker →
7 members · 8 buys / 7 sells · $29K–$260K disclosed · latest filing Jan 13, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. 12.09.
1-day std dev
4.7%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+17.0%
Biggest drop
-14.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 10.80 | 11.46 | +6.1% | +6.1% | +2.6% | +3.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 8.71 | 8.91 | +2.3% | -9.6% | -14.8% | -21.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 12.81 | 13.36 | +4.3% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 10.66 | 11.15 | +4.6% | -1.3% | +0.0% | -2.5% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 9.60 | 10.09 | +5.1% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +1.8% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 7.88 | 8.19 | +3.9% | +1.7% | +4.1% | +2.3% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 11.72 | 12.41 | +5.8% | +6.0% | +2.4% | -6.3% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 10.01 | 10.21 | +1.9% | -4.9% | -7.2% | -16.4% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 9.05 | 9.65 | +6.7% | -3.4% | -4.9% | -7.8% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 7.65 | 8.89 | +16.1% | +7.7% | +17.0% | +18.0% |
| 2024-02-08 | miss | 9.54 | 9.40 | -1.4% | +1.3% | -4.1% | -3.1% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 9.87 | 9.80 | -0.7% | -2.0% | +1.9% | +2.4% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 9.98 | 10.19 | +2.1% | -4.8% | -1.2% | -4.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 8.61 | 8.69 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -3.4% | -6.2% |
| 2023-02-09 | beat | 11.68 | 12.10 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 9.83 | 10.18 | +3.5% | -1.0% | +4.8% | +19.5% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 8.77 | 9.39 | +7.0% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +3.8% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 7.28 | 7.87 | +8.1% | -1.1% | +0.3% | -4.3% |
| 2022-02-10 | beat | 10.11 | 10.53 | +4.2% | -1.4% | -6.0% | -7.4% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 8.28 | 8.72 | +5.3% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 7.62 | 8.10 | +6.3% | -1.0% | -2.5% | +0.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 5.61 | 6.56 | +16.9% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -1.8% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 8.76 | 9.26 | +5.8% | -1.3% | -1.8% | +0.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 5.99 | 7.02 | +17.1% | +9.2% | +7.0% | +7.0% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 4.22 | 5.29 | +25.4% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +5.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 3.83 | 4.00 | +4.5% | +1.3% | -1.8% | -4.6% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 7.70 | 7.78 | +1.0% | -0.1% | +1.1% | -2.0% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 5.72 | 5.77 | +0.9% | -5.7% | -1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 5.08 | 5.16 | +1.6% | -4.0% | -5.6% | -7.7% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 4.06 | 4.10 | +0.9% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -2.1% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 6.75 | 6.85 | +1.5% | +2.8% | +2.2% | +3.2% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 5.00 | 5.12 | +2.4% | +2.9% | +2.1% | +0.7% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 4.58 | 4.65 | +1.5% | -1.0% | -4.5% | -5.1% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 3.74 | 3.74 | +0.1% | +0.9% | -3.8% | -1.9% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 5.93 | 5.97 | +0.6% | +2.2% | -0.1% | +5.6% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 4.34 | 4.36 | +0.5% | -3.3% | -3.8% | -7.3% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 3.89 | 3.92 | +0.8% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -3.1% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 3.09 | 3.34 | +8.1% | +5.9% | +4.8% | +7.1% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 5.12 | 5.28 | +3.2% | +3.3% | +6.7% | +7.3% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 3.67 | 3.89 | +6.1% | +4.3% | +5.7% | +6.1% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 3.13 | 3.22 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +0.3% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 2.44 | 2.46 | +0.8% | -0.4% | -1.9% | +1.1% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 4.61 | 4.65 | +0.9% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 3.18 | 3.26 | +2.4% | +4.0% | +4.9% | +5.1% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 2.78 | 2.80 | +0.6% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -3.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 2.17 | 2.25 | +3.8% | +5.1% | +1.4% | +1.2% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 4.15 | 4.24 | +2.1% | +5.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 2.86 | 2.95 | +3.0% | +3.2% | +5.3% | +9.4% |
| 2014-07-24 | miss | 2.57 | 2.57 | -0.0% | -1.6% | +1.4% | -1.6% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | 1.98 | 2.00 | +1.3% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +4.0% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | 3.74 | 3.82 | +2.1% | +2.7% | +7.7% | +6.8% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 2.59 | 2.60 | +0.6% | -3.6% | -2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 2.34 | 2.35 | +0.6% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +1.9% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 1.80 | 1.84 | +2.0% | +1.6% | +6.2% | +11.8% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 3.20 | 3.47 | +8.5% | +0.5% | +2.3% | +0.6% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 2.25 | 2.40 | +6.6% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 2.14 | 2.15 | +0.6% | -5.2% | +0.5% | +2.7% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 1.63 | 1.66 | +2.1% | -8.3% | -7.8% | -9.0% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | 2.79 | 2.88 | +3.3% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 1.92 | 2.01 | +4.6% | -0.4% | +6.2% | +4.9% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google