NBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +5.7% median,
55% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 65
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.62 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$14.7B market cap (#764 US)
$183M/day volume
34% volatility
-2% 1-year
-22% from ATH
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -22% from the high
$122.14$186.12
Congressional trades in NBIX Full tracker →
3 members · 2 buys / 3 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 2.76.
1-day std dev
7.3%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+19.4%
Biggest drop
-18.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.96 | 2.85 | +45.4% | -0.6% | -10.1% | -11.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 1.70 | 1.94 | +14.4% | +10.3% | +8.9% | +19.4% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 2.30 | 1.88 | -18.1% | -3.7% | -10.4% | -6.4% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 2.07 | 2.17 | +4.9% | -5.0% | -6.4% | +4.3% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 1.50 | 1.65 | +9.6% | +0.2% | -6.2% | -8.2% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | 1.09 | 0.70 | -36.0% | +12.1% | +8.4% | +6.5% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 1.93 | 1.69 | -12.4% | -16.3% | -18.5% | -23.6% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 1.82 | 1.81 | -0.4% | +8.8% | +7.0% | +7.8% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.53 | 1.63 | +6.8% | +6.1% | +8.2% | +3.6% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 1.29 | 1.20 | -6.8% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +1.1% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 1.51 | 1.54 | +1.7% | -5.6% | -4.7% | -7.8% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 1.33 | 1.54 | +15.8% | -0.6% | +3.6% | +8.9% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 1.12 | 1.25 | +11.7% | +0.6% | +1.5% | -0.7% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.74 | -0.51 | -169.4% | +3.4% | -4.7% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-06 | miss | 1.44 | 1.24 | -14.1% | -5.2% | -4.6% | -5.9% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | 1.12 | 1.08 | -3.7% | -0.1% | +3.7% | +7.6% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 0.89 | 0.84 | -5.7% | -0.6% | +8.5% | +10.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.59 | 0.30 | -49.2% | +2.7% | -0.3% | -7.7% |
| 2022-02-11 | miss | 0.88 | 0.04 | -95.5% | +1.0% | +7.4% | +7.2% |
| 2021-11-01 | miss | 0.80 | 0.64 | -19.6% | -8.2% | -10.0% | -13.3% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.76 | 0.63 | -16.8% | +3.1% | -4.6% | -11.8% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.72 | 0.49 | -31.8% | +0.5% | -2.4% | +0.4% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.1% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -0.4% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | 1.25 | 0.97 | -22.3% | -12.3% | -14.8% | -10.8% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 1.02 | 1.42 | +39.1% | +2.6% | -2.3% | -8.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.64 | 0.82 | +28.9% | +1.5% | +5.3% | +7.9% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 0.75 | 0.35 | -53.3% | -2.6% | -0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 0.64 | 0.56 | -12.9% | +1.5% | +0.0% | +8.8% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.25 | 0.54 | +112.5% | +5.5% | +10.3% | +9.2% |
| 2019-04-29 | miss | -0.89 | -1.12 | -26.0% | -4.0% | -5.9% | +1.8% |
| 2019-02-05 | miss | 0.19 | 0.19 | -0.5% | +0.0% | -3.9% | -4.4% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +5.4% | -7.7% | -3.6% | -10.0% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | -0.18 | -0.07 | +60.4% | +5.7% | +13.0% | +16.3% |
| 2018-04-30 | miss | -0.30 | -0.47 | -56.7% | +0.8% | +4.1% | +2.4% |
| 2018-02-13 | miss | 0.16 | 0.07 | -56.7% | -7.8% | +2.0% | +2.1% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | -0.53 | -0.13 | +75.3% | +16.6% | +19.4% | +23.8% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | -0.65 | -0.68 | -4.8% | +2.4% | +9.5% | +10.7% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.72 | -0.90 | -25.3% | -0.4% | +1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2017-02-14 | beat | -0.55 | -0.51 | +7.5% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +3.7% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | -0.57 | -0.43 | +24.2% | +5.0% | -5.6% | +24.5% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.49 | -0.46 | +6.7% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -4.3% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -0.31 | -0.22 | +28.6% | -2.3% | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| 2016-02-11 | beat | -0.35 | -0.34 | +3.5% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +6.1% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | -0.32 | -0.40 | -24.4% | -4.9% | -1.8% | +7.0% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | -0.29 | -0.28 | +4.4% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -7.0% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -0.30 | -0.01 | +96.7% | -2.1% | -8.2% | +0.8% |
| 2015-02-09 | miss | -0.24 | -0.26 | -7.6% | +0.7% | +6.8% | +9.0% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | -0.20 | -0.21 | -2.8% | +0.0% | -2.9% | +5.8% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | -0.18 | -0.18 | +1.0% | +0.8% | -3.5% | +10.9% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | -0.19 | -0.17 | +11.4% | +0.4% | -4.7% | -6.3% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +5.9% | -0.6% | +5.1% | +3.8% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +16.3% | -0.2% | -7.9% | -17.9% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | -0.19 | -0.18 | +7.7% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +5.6% |
| 2013-05-02 | miss | -0.18 | -0.18 | -1.6% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +11.3% |
| 2013-02-08 | beat | -0.07 | 0.14 | +290.3% | +3.7% | +6.0% | +7.7% |
| 2012-10-31 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -19.6% | -0.3% | +1.4% | -3.1% |
| 2012-07-31 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +60.1% | +1.4% | -7.9% | -7.0% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | — | -0.01 | -167.4% | +0.1% | -5.2% | -5.6% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +14.3% | -9.3% | -8.8% | -5.2% |
| 2011-10-31 | beat | 0.20 | 0.56 | +182.8% | +7.7% | +16.3% | +17.1% |
Not investment advice.
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