NIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.2%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.1% median,
50% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 98
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.13 +0.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$20.9B market cap (#632 US)
$239M/day volume
18% volatility
+3% 1-year
-9% from ATH
52-week range · 59% of the way up · -9% from the high
$38.42$49.21
Congressional trades in NI Full tracker →
5 members · 5 buys / 8 sells · $125K–$400K disclosed · latest filing Jun 22, 2025.
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-10 (Wednesday, before open, in 103 days) · EPS est. 0.61.
1-day std dev
2.0%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+3.5%
Biggest drop
-6.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +16.9% | +0.0% | +0.6% | — |
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +1.5% | -3.5% | -3.6% | -5.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.4% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -2.4% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.9% | +1.1% | -0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -3.2% | +2.6% | -2.1% | -1.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +7.1% | +0.4% | -2.5% | -0.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.90 | 0.98 | +8.7% | -1.7% | +2.8% | -3.8% |
| 2025-02-12 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.3% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +4.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +24.4% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +26.7% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.7% | -1.3% | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.9% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -0.7% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +27.5% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.0% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.0% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.6% | +0.9% | +2.4% | -0.4% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -4.3% | -0.9% | -5.9% | -0.5% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.4% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.2% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.5% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +14.7% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -0.9% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.77 | 0.77 | -0.6% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.1% | +1.1% | +1.3% | -0.9% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +173.6% | +1.1% | +2.1% | +5.0% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +67.8% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +2.5% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.81 | 0.76 | -5.7% | +0.4% | -6.6% | -8.6% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.3% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +6.8% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.05 | — | -100.0% | -1.2% | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -13.4% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -6.6% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.77 | 0.82 | +6.5% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.1% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.2% | -0.5% | -2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +59.8% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -20.7% | -2.0% | -1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.2% | +0.9% | +3.5% | +0.5% |
| 2018-02-20 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +2.3% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -0.7% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +0.3% | +2.4% | +0.8% | +4.4% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -0.5% | -1.3% | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.5% | +0.3% | -0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2017-02-22 | miss | 0.33 | 0.33 | -1.4% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +4.0% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -16.7% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +12.4% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -3.6% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +4.4% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +2.5% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +3.1% | -0.5% | +2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +106.6% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2015-08-03 | miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -14.9% | -4.9% | -2.2% | -3.3% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +5.1% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -2.2% |
| 2015-02-18 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.1% | +0.2% | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -11.8% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +1.7% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -5.0% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +4.0% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +2.2% |
| 2014-02-18 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.6% | +2.3% | +0.4% | +0.6% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +5.9% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | 0.23 | 0.23 | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.2% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.4% | +0.6% | +1.8% | +1.4% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +7.8% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -4.5% |
| 2012-07-31 | beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +18.0% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +2.8% | +0.6% | +2.8% | +0.8% |
| 2012-02-01 | miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -11.7% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +3.6% |
Posted about NI
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Tue, 06 Oct
ARK bought 389,509 shares of VCYT for ARKG. The trade: 0.75% of that fund, on 6 October 2026 — roughly $17.4m at that day’s close. The entry: VCYT's…
Not investment advice.
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