NMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -4.9% median,
44% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 68
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.29%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.57 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$14M/day volume
33% volatility
+93% 1-year
-72% from ATH
52-week range · 85% of the way up · -8% from the high
$45.66$97.00
Congressional trades in NMM Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 3 sells · $665K–$1.4M disclosed · latest filing Apr 10, 2014.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, before open, in 19 days) · EPS est. 4.32.
1-day std dev
7.3%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+16.0%
Biggest drop
-28.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | beat | 4.32 | 4.65 | +7.6% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +5.8% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 2.78 | 3.35 | +20.7% | +3.0% | -0.8% | -7.9% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | 2.13 | 3.40 | +60.0% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +7.1% |
| 2025-11-18 | beat | 2.55 | 2.83 | +11.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 2025-08-21 | beat | 1.77 | 2.15 | +21.5% | +5.8% | +4.4% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 1.42 | 1.58 | +11.7% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +13.5% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | 2.50 | 2.61 | +4.4% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2024-11-05 | miss | 3.67 | 3.15 | -14.1% | -2.2% | +0.2% | -9.2% |
| 2024-08-20 | beat | 2.84 | 3.06 | +7.9% | +8.4% | +16.0% | +11.8% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | 2.01 | 2.32 | +15.4% | -2.4% | -6.6% | +2.2% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 2.62 | 4.32 | +64.7% | +0.2% | -1.2% | +9.8% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 2.81 | 2.68 | -4.5% | +1.4% | +0.0% | -3.4% |
| 2023-08-23 | beat | 2.88 | 3.65 | +26.6% | +1.8% | +2.3% | -0.5% |
| 2023-05-23 | beat | 1.71 | 2.13 | +24.6% | -3.3% | -1.2% | -14.6% |
| 2023-03-24 | miss | 4.25 | 3.66 | -13.9% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -2.3% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | 4.16 | 3.68 | -11.6% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -3.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | 3.98 | 3.83 | -3.7% | +9.3% | +15.6% | +12.8% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 3.49 | 2.78 | -20.3% | -0.6% | -5.0% | -3.0% |
| 2022-02-17 | miss | 4.26 | 4.03 | -5.3% | +0.7% | -1.9% | +6.0% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 4.14 | 4.77 | +15.1% | +0.1% | -7.5% | -17.0% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 2.94 | 4.31 | +46.5% | +0.2% | -8.3% | -5.3% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | 1.73 | 1.01 | -41.6% | -0.6% | -2.7% | -1.1% |
| 2021-03-24 | beat | 1.00 | 1.12 | +11.9% | +5.3% | -4.1% | -4.8% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.58 | 0.78 | +34.5% | +2.1% | +4.7% | +7.1% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | -0.46 | -0.71 | -53.2% | -17.3% | -17.8% | -25.4% |
| 2020-05-13 | miss | -0.18 | -0.35 | -94.4% | -8.4% | -12.0% | -8.9% |
| 2020-02-10 | beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +0.5% | -6.4% | -8.9% | -11.2% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 1.06 | 1.67 | +58.0% | +1.6% | -1.3% | -6.0% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -102.2% | -2.5% | -2.4% | -11.0% |
| 2019-05-03 | beat | -0.33 | -0.15 | +54.5% | +3.1% | +2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2019-01-31 | miss | 0.92 | 0.45 | -51.1% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | 0.64 | 1.35 | +110.7% | +5.0% | -7.2% | -15.8% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.57 | 0.78 | +37.7% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.29 | 0.45 | +57.1% | +1.0% | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| 2018-02-05 | beat | 0.60 | 1.05 | +74.7% | -1.4% | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| 2017-11-14 | beat | 0.23 | 0.60 | +156.4% | +0.5% | -6.1% | -7.5% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.45 | +185.6% | +2.4% | +4.2% | +10.7% |
| 2017-05-22 | beat | -0.40 | 0.04 | +110.2% | +1.7% | -2.8% | -7.2% |
| 2017-02-14 | beat | 0.35 | 1.35 | +282.4% | +14.7% | +15.3% | +9.6% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | 0.23 | 1.05 | +348.8% | +2.8% | +9.2% | +38.3% |
| 2016-08-11 | miss | 0.68 | 0.07 | -89.8% | -0.7% | +3.3% | +9.3% |
| 2016-05-12 | miss | 1.18 | — | -100.0% | -4.9% | -8.3% | -6.9% |
| 2016-02-03 | miss | 2.29 | 1.35 | -40.9% | -37.3% | -28.6% | -53.0% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 2.24 | 1.95 | -12.9% | -19.5% | -18.9% | -30.0% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | 2.56 | 1.95 | -23.9% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -5.2% |
| 2015-05-04 | miss | 2.74 | 1.95 | -28.8% | -1.8% | -4.9% | -14.4% |
| 2015-02-02 | miss | 2.65 | 2.40 | -9.6% | +4.2% | +11.1% | +3.3% |
| 2014-10-27 | miss | 2.58 | 2.40 | -7.0% | +1.0% | -3.0% | +0.9% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 1.68 | 2.24 | +33.0% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +3.0% |
| 2014-04-29 | miss | 2.41 | 2.07 | -14.0% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
| 2014-01-29 | miss | 2.23 | 1.95 | -12.6% | -1.2% | -1.9% | -2.2% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 2.08 | 2.85 | +37.0% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +5.9% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 3.19 | 4.35 | +36.4% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 3.57 | 3.60 | +0.7% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | 4.06 | 4.35 | +7.3% | +2.4% | +0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 4.34 | 5.40 | +24.5% | +1.6% | +0.2% | +2.3% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 4.42 | 4.35 | -1.5% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +8.4% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 4.68 | 4.50 | -3.9% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +0.1% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | 5.09 | 5.25 | +3.1% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +2.9% |
| 2011-10-24 | beat | 4.95 | 5.25 | +6.1% | +2.8% | +0.7% | +2.1% |
Not investment advice.
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