OCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.1% median,
72% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.55 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.8%
$21M/day volume
26% volatility
-5% 1-year
-42% from ATH
52-week range · 44% of the way up · -14% from the high
$15.60$20.61
Congressional trades in OCFC Full tracker →
3 members · 6 buys / 2 sells · $22K–$155K disclosed · latest filing May 15, 2024.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, after close, in 90 days) · EPS est. 0.49.
1-day std dev
2.9%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+7.8%
Biggest drop
-7.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +18.7% | +3.0% | +6.1% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.3% | -3.1% | -1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +9.8% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +12.3% | +1.9% | -3.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +1.1% | +0.9% | -5.9% | -4.3% |
| 2025-07-24 | miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -7.0% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -8.6% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.4% | -2.1% | +0.3% | +4.3% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.7% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.2% | -2.6% | -1.8% | -9.1% |
| 2024-07-18 | miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -8.1% | -6.5% | -4.8% | +1.6% |
| 2024-04-18 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.3% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +5.3% |
| 2024-01-18 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.7% | +3.1% | +6.2% | +9.7% |
| 2023-10-19 | miss | 0.35 | 0.32 | -9.3% | +1.4% | -3.5% | -10.0% |
| 2023-07-20 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.1% | +0.0% | -3.2% | +4.9% |
| 2023-04-20 | miss | 0.64 | 0.55 | -13.9% | -9.2% | -7.5% | -9.0% |
| 2023-01-19 | beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +7.8% | +9.4% | +7.8% | +12.2% |
| 2022-10-24 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.4% | -1.7% | +0.9% | +5.4% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.0% | +0.9% | -0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +6.2% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.4% | +4.7% | +2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.7% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +13.7% | +3.2% | -1.6% | +8.6% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +9.0% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -3.8% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +1.1% | +1.7% | -3.8% | -0.2% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | 0.41 | — | -100.0% | -3.0% | -6.4% | -10.9% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +7.1% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -7.4% |
| 2020-04-23 | beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +19.2% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +4.2% |
| 2020-01-27 | miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -3.0% | +0.8% | -2.0% | -5.0% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +5.9% | +2.5% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -6.2% | -2.8% | +0.4% | -8.7% |
| 2019-04-25 | miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.2% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +5.2% |
| 2019-01-24 | miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -3.6% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2018-10-25 | miss | 0.55 | 0.53 | -3.9% | -3.0% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.3% | -2.6% | -1.0% | -5.2% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.7% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +1.5% |
| 2018-01-25 | miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -1.8% | +6.2% | +0.1% | -1.5% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -2.2% | +0.1% | +3.6% | -3.9% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -0.8% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -0.4% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.3% | +1.4% | -2.3% | -0.7% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +1.3% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -1.7% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.3% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +7.5% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.5% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2016-04-21 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -3.0% | +1.6% | +0.1% | +5.9% |
| 2016-01-21 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +1.0% | +4.2% | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2015-10-22 | 0.32 | 0.32 | — | -0.5% | +1.7% | +2.0% | |
| 2015-07-23 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.1% | -2.9% | +0.3% | -1.1% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.7% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -0.9% |
| 2015-01-22 | miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -3.2% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -5.8% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.1% | +1.1% | -1.4% | +3.5% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.3% | -12.9% | +1.6% | +1.1% |
| 2014-04-24 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.7% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -4.6% |
| 2014-01-23 | miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -3.2% | -0.2% | +0.6% | -1.5% |
| 2013-10-17 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +3.6% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +1.9% |
| 2013-07-18 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +5.5% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +5.0% |
| 2013-04-18 | miss | 0.29 | 0.26 | -10.3% | -4.1% | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2013-01-23 | beat | 0.23 | 0.29 | +28.9% | -0.5% | +2.6% | +6.5% |
| 2012-10-18 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +6.9% | -0.4% | -1.2% | +1.4% |
| 2012-07-19 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.6% | +0.9% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 0.31 | 0.31 | +1.6% | +5.2% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2012-01-19 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.9% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +1.2% |
Not investment advice.
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