OZModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.1% median,
79% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 86
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.52 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$98M/day volume
24% volatility
+13% 1-year
-10% from ATH
52-week range · 81% of the way up · -4% from the high
$42.37$53.39
Congressional trades in OZK Full tracker →
3 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $66K–$165K disclosed · latest filing Apr 15, 2019.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, after close, in 82 days) · EPS est. 1.49.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+16.2%
Biggest drop
-26.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +5.0% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +12.3% |
| 2026-07-20 | beat | 1.48 | 1.49 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 1.43 | 1.44 | +0.9% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 2026-01-20 | miss | 1.55 | 1.53 | -1.3% | -2.5% | +0.1% | -2.1% |
| 2025-10-15 | miss | 1.66 | 1.59 | -4.3% | -0.6% | -6.9% | -10.8% |
| 2025-07-17 | beat | 1.53 | 1.58 | +3.4% | +2.1% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2025-04-15 | beat | 1.40 | 1.47 | +4.8% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +8.6% |
| 2025-01-16 | beat | 1.44 | 1.56 | +8.2% | +5.8% | +9.7% | +12.9% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.8% | +0.5% | -4.5% | -6.8% |
| 2024-07-17 | miss | 1.52 | 1.52 | -0.0% | -2.0% | -4.0% | -1.9% |
| 2024-04-17 | beat | 1.46 | 1.51 | +3.3% | +2.1% | +4.7% | +10.0% |
| 2024-01-18 | beat | 1.50 | 1.57 | +5.0% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +6.4% |
| 2023-10-19 | beat | 1.45 | 1.49 | +2.7% | +8.5% | +0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2023-07-20 | beat | 1.43 | 1.47 | +3.0% | +0.4% | -6.3% | -1.8% |
| 2023-04-20 | beat | 1.38 | 1.41 | +1.9% | +2.3% | -4.6% | -3.7% |
| 2023-01-19 | beat | 1.30 | 1.34 | +2.8% | +3.6% | +7.4% | +11.6% |
| 2022-10-20 | miss | 1.17 | 1.08 | -7.5% | -3.3% | -3.1% | +3.9% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 1.02 | 1.10 | +7.8% | -0.8% | -1.8% | +1.6% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 0.95 | 1.02 | +7.8% | -0.1% | -1.8% | -7.4% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 0.97 | 1.17 | +20.3% | +4.6% | +1.9% | -0.1% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.96 | 1.00 | +4.1% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 0.92 | 1.16 | +26.4% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +2.3% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 0.85 | 1.14 | +33.6% | -0.5% | +4.9% | +4.4% |
| 2021-01-21 | beat | 0.78 | 0.93 | +18.9% | +2.9% | +5.5% | +9.0% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.59 | 0.84 | +43.4% | +4.7% | +3.8% | +2.9% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.9% | +1.8% | +0.0% | -1.1% |
| 2020-04-23 | miss | 0.61 | 0.09 | -85.3% | +0.5% | +11.8% | +20.5% |
| 2020-01-16 | beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -10.5% |
| 2019-10-17 | miss | 0.82 | 0.81 | -0.9% | -0.4% | +2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2019-07-18 | beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +0.6% | -3.7% | +2.5% | +8.4% |
| 2019-04-17 | beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.6% | +3.7% | +2.2% | +6.6% |
| 2019-01-17 | beat | 0.83 | 0.90 | +8.3% | +15.0% | +16.2% | +16.4% |
| 2018-10-18 | miss | 0.91 | 0.64 | -29.9% | -27.0% | -26.8% | -27.1% |
| 2018-07-11 | beat | 0.89 | 0.89 | +0.1% | -4.5% | -8.9% | -8.5% |
| 2018-04-12 | beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +0.8% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +1.3% |
| 2018-01-16 | miss | 0.75 | 0.75 | -0.2% | -2.2% | -0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2017-10-11 | beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.4% | -2.2% | -2.7% | -4.2% |
| 2017-07-12 | 0.73 | 0.73 | — | +1.0% | -0.7% | +2.2% | |
| 2017-04-11 | beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.9% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -2.8% |
| 2017-01-17 | beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.0% | -0.9% | -2.5% | +2.2% |
| 2016-10-11 | beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +12.1% | +3.2% | -3.5% | -9.2% |
| 2016-07-11 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.1% | +4.4% | +6.6% | +7.3% |
| 2016-04-11 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.6% | +2.4% | -1.6% | +6.2% |
| 2016-01-14 | beat | 0.55 | 0.71 | +28.4% | +0.1% | -1.4% | -11.3% |
| 2015-10-13 | beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.8% | +0.1% | -5.6% | +3.5% |
| 2015-07-13 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.8% | +1.2% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2015-04-13 | 0.46 | 0.46 | — | +1.0% | +3.5% | +6.1% | |
| 2015-01-15 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.5% | +3.3% | +3.2% | +7.0% |
| 2014-10-14 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +9.9% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +6.2% |
| 2014-07-14 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.9% | +5.5% | +1.9% | -5.1% |
| 2014-04-14 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +1.0% | +0.5% | -3.2% | -0.9% |
| 2014-01-16 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +2.1% | +0.1% | +2.1% | +4.0% |
| 2013-10-10 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +2.7% | -0.5% | +3.0% | +6.5% |
| 2013-07-11 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -0.2% | -1.1% | -1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2013-04-11 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.2% | -1.2% | -1.7% | -1.6% |
| 2013-01-16 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +6.4% | +0.5% | +2.4% | +7.2% |
| 2012-10-11 | 0.28 | 0.28 | — | -0.8% | -4.6% | -4.2% | |
| 2012-07-12 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +5.5% | +3.7% | +8.6% | +9.0% |
| 2012-04-12 | beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.7% | -0.9% | -2.9% | +0.1% |
| 2012-01-17 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -2.7% |
Not investment advice.
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