PEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +4.3% median,
58% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.00 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$44M/day volume
53% volatility
-12% 1-year
52-week range · 34% of the way up · -31% from the high
$11.65$22.36
Congressional trades in PENN Full tracker →
2 members · 4 buys / 0 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Dec 21, 2021.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.12.
1-day std dev
7.7%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+16.9%
Biggest drop
-21.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.26 | 0.44 | +66.9% | +2.0% | +2.6% | -3.9% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | -0.01 | 0.11 | +1303.5% | +4.9% | +16.9% | +18.2% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -0.16 | 0.07 | +143.8% | +7.7% | +16.7% | +23.4% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -0.03 | -0.22 | -633.3% | +9.4% | -10.4% | -9.5% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.01 | 0.10 | +1399.2% | +1.3% | -0.6% | +5.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.13 | -0.25 | -92.3% | -0.7% | -2.7% | +0.6% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.37 | -0.44 | -17.6% | -2.5% | -0.1% | -5.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.22 | -0.25 | -11.9% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +8.9% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.25 | -0.18 | +28.7% | +3.0% | +8.5% | +11.6% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -0.52 | -0.79 | -51.2% | -2.5% | -8.8% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-15 | miss | -0.46 | -1.75 | -280.9% | -9.8% | -13.8% | -24.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.35 | 1.21 | +245.7% | +8.0% | +14.0% | +15.4% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +6.5% | +16.8% | +9.1% | -6.4% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.5% | -5.8% | -13.6% | -16.8% |
| 2023-02-02 | miss | 0.36 | 0.17 | -51.2% | -3.9% | -5.4% | -10.4% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.49 | 1.32 | +168.2% | +0.6% | -5.1% | +5.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 0.50 | 0.15 | -70.1% | -1.6% | -4.0% | -2.7% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.45 | 0.29 | -35.6% | +1.0% | -5.6% | -25.0% |
| 2022-02-03 | miss | 0.52 | 0.22 | -58.0% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +9.8% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | 0.91 | 0.53 | -41.8% | -4.6% | -21.1% | -20.0% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.89 | 1.10 | +23.1% | -5.0% | +9.1% | +10.5% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.29 | 0.64 | +121.1% | -3.9% | -8.2% | -16.8% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +15.8% | +5.9% | +8.5% | +3.2% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.56 | 1.16 | +107.9% | +4.6% | -1.5% | +15.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -2.21 | -1.74 | +21.4% | +0.5% | +14.2% | +39.0% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.08 | -0.74 | -823.0% | -1.8% | +15.4% | +12.4% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.35 | 0.55 | +57.1% | -0.6% | +8.1% | +18.6% |
| 2019-10-31 | miss | 0.42 | 0.38 | -8.8% | -3.7% | -2.4% | +0.2% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +15.7% | +7.6% | -2.2% | -5.2% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.38 | 0.35 | -6.8% | +2.2% | -4.8% | -4.0% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | -0.40 | -0.15 | +63.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -5.3% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -12.0% | -7.3% | -1.6% | -10.7% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 0.50 | 0.45 | -9.2% | +0.8% | -4.9% | -7.4% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.39 | 0.49 | +25.6% | +14.2% | +12.9% | +16.1% |
| 2018-02-08 | miss | 0.17 | -0.03 | -117.5% | -2.6% | -7.9% | -4.3% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.22 | 8.69 | +3808.8% | -0.3% | -2.8% | +2.6% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -9.2% | -3.0% | -2.7% | -4.7% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +71.2% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -1.5% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | -0.15 | 0.05 | +134.2% | +5.3% | +5.2% | +4.6% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.28 | 0.51 | +82.3% | +3.4% | -1.3% | -9.2% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.28 | 0.37 | +32.4% | +4.0% | +5.5% | +0.3% |
| 2016-04-28 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.3% | +0.5% | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| 2016-03-15 | miss | 0.08 | -0.11 | -239.4% | -0.6% | +2.4% | +3.9% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +51.6% | +1.5% | +4.5% | +6.5% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +40.2% | +4.2% | -1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +6.9% | +1.6% | +1.5% | -2.2% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | -0.03 | 0.04 | +227.3% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +4.7% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -6.5% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +10.0% |
| 2014-07-24 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -40.5% | +1.1% | -3.6% | -7.7% |
| 2014-04-24 | miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -56.5% | -7.3% | -9.7% | -13.9% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.08 | 3.16 | +4002.3% | -0.4% | +6.3% | +4.8% |
| 2013-10-17 | miss | 0.47 | 0.43 | -7.7% | -0.2% | +1.5% | +4.3% |
| 2013-07-23 | beat | 0.62 | 0.80 | +28.0% | -7.4% | -7.4% | -9.2% |
| 2013-04-18 | beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.2% | -1.7% | +2.2% | +4.2% |
| 2013-01-31 | miss | 0.47 | 0.28 | -40.0% | -1.9% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
| 2012-10-18 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +2.3% | +3.1% | +3.1% | -2.7% |
| 2012-07-24 | miss | 0.63 | 0.63 | -0.3% | +3.0% | -1.7% | -3.8% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 0.59 | 0.73 | +23.0% | +6.2% | +2.9% | +5.3% |
| 2012-02-02 | miss | 0.49 | 0.41 | -16.5% | -2.8% | -3.2% | +0.6% |
| 2011-10-20 | beat | 0.57 | 0.77 | +35.3% | +4.1% | -5.7% | -5.8% |
Not investment advice.
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