PGR

The Progressive Corporation $230.18 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
-1.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.5% median, 58% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.50 -1.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$134.8B market cap (#84 US) $573M/day volume 27% volatility +9% 1-year -21% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -4% from the high
$189.20$239.38

Congressional trades in PGR Full tracker →

27 members · 48 buys / 39 sells · $914K–$3.1M disclosed · latest filing Sep 4, 2026.

SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jul 17, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 27, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jun 16, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Apr 27, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Feb 10, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Feb 10, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jan 9, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Jan 16, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Dec 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Nov 13, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY BD Byron Donalds · traded Oct 24, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY BD Byron Donalds · traded Oct 9, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Nov 3, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL SW Sheldon Whitehouse · traded Oct 27, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Sep 23, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL BD Byron Donalds · traded Sep 4, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL SB Sheri Biggs · traded Mar 19, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Jun 6, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Aug 14, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY DT David J. Taylor · traded Jul 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Jul 16, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jul 10, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JS Jefferson Shreve · traded May 12, 2025 $50K–$100K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Apr 7, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 9, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY BD Byron Donalds · traded Mar 20, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JJ Julie Johnson · traded Feb 24, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JJ Julie Johnson · traded Feb 14, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JJ Julie Johnson · traded Jan 24, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ John James · traded May 2, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ John James · traded Apr 10, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY JJ John James · traded Nov 10, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jun 21, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY GS Greg Stanton · traded Sep 26, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL GS Greg Stanton · traded Oct 24, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Sep 8, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jul 12, 2023 $50K–$100K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded May 17, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Mar 22, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Sep 28, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JC John Curtis · traded Mar 9, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY CA Cindy Axne · traded Jan 20, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY CA Cindy Axne · traded Dec 10, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY CA Cindy Axne · traded Jun 25, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY CA Cindy Axne · traded Nov 6, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Sep 1, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Sep 2, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jun 24, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL JC John Curtis · traded Jun 22, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Jun 2, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded May 27, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded May 26, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Mar 24, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Mar 17, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Mar 10, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL RW Robert J. Wittman · traded Feb 18, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY RW Robert J. Wittman · traded Oct 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DP Dean Phillips · traded Jun 8, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DP Dean Phillips · traded May 21, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DP Dean Phillips · traded May 20, 2020 $1K–$15K

Showing the 60 most recent filings of 87 — full tracker.

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-27 (Wednesday, before open, in 90 days) · EPS est. 4.12.

1-day std dev
3.2%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+6.9%
Biggest drop
-9.4%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-13 beat 4.41 4.60 +4.2% +0.3% +1.2% +0.7%
2026-07-15 beat 4.84 4.85 +0.3% -8.2% -9.4% -9.7%
2026-04-15 beat 4.88 4.96 +1.6% +1.3% +2.4% +3.1%
2026-01-28 beat 4.43 4.67 +5.3% -1.0% +2.2% -1.2%
2025-10-15 miss 5.05 4.05 -19.7% -5.9% -5.8% -7.4%
2025-07-16 beat 4.43 4.88 +10.0% +1.2% +1.8% +2.2%
2025-04-16 miss 4.78 4.65 -2.6% +1.8% -0.4% -4.0%
2025-01-28 beat 3.56 4.08 +14.6% -2.7% +0.6% +1.6%
2024-10-15 miss 3.67 3.58 -2.3% +0.8% -0.1% -1.4%
2024-07-16 beat 2.01 2.65 +31.7% +2.5% -3.3% -0.6%
2024-04-12 beat 3.21 3.76 +17.1% +2.8% +0.8% +6.1%
2024-01-24 beat 2.43 2.97 +22.6% +6.6% +4.7% +4.7%
2023-10-31 beat 1.71 2.11 +23.4% +0.0% +1.9% +2.2%
2023-08-01 miss 0.84 0.42 -50.6% +0.3% +1.1% +0.4%
2023-04-13 miss 1.35 0.66 -50.9% -4.9% -6.7% -6.6%
2023-01-25 beat 1.43 1.51 +5.7% -0.5% +4.9% +6.8%
2022-10-13 miss 0.92 0.53 -42.2% -6.5% +0.8% -2.1%
2022-07-15 miss 0.93 0.79 -14.9% +2.6% +3.3% -1.0%
2022-04-14 miss 1.24 1.15 -7.7% -1.4% -1.6% -4.9%
2022-01-26 beat 1.02 1.08 +5.8% +2.3% -1.5% +0.2%
2021-10-14 miss 0.22 0.15 -32.7% -0.6% -0.9% +4.2%
2021-07-15 miss 1.05 0.71 -32.4% -7.6% -2.6% -4.2%
2021-04-15 beat 1.72 1.72 +0.1% +0.6% +3.3% +3.1%
2021-01-27 beat 1.69 1.84 +8.5% -1.0% -5.1% -5.2%
2020-10-14 beat 1.69 1.88 +11.2% +0.3% -0.6% -6.7%
2020-07-15 beat 1.73 1.85 +6.9% +0.6% +1.6% +6.7%
2020-04-15 beat 1.46 1.93 +32.4% -7.7% -1.5% +2.5%
2020-01-29 beat 1.13 1.29 +14.7% +4.9% +5.7% +8.6%
2019-10-16 beat 1.30 1.33 +2.0% -5.3% -2.8% -8.8%
2019-07-17 beat 1.41 1.43 +1.1% -2.5% -4.7% -3.7%
2019-04-16 miss 1.36 1.35 -0.4% +2.8% +6.9% +3.9%
2019-01-23 beat 1.01 1.25 +23.6% -0.6% +2.7% +5.5%
2018-10-16 beat 1.10 1.33 +20.6% +2.8% +6.1% +4.8%
2018-07-17 beat 1.11 1.16 +4.6% +1.0% +1.7% +1.7%
2018-04-17 beat 1.18 1.29 +9.5% +0.9% +2.2% -0.4%
2018-01-24 beat 0.77 0.80 +3.9% +1.0% -3.0% -5.2%
2017-10-17 beat 0.35 0.42 +20.7% +0.0% -0.9% +0.1%
2017-07-18 miss 0.59 0.59 -0.3% -0.4% -0.2% +3.2%
2017-04-18 miss 0.69 0.67 -3.0% -0.9% -1.4% +0.9%
2017-01-25 beat 0.51 0.62 +21.8% +0.4% +3.2% +0.9%
2016-10-13 beat 0.33 0.37 +10.3% +1.7% +2.6% +1.1%
2016-07-14 miss 0.32 0.29 -9.6% +1.1% +0.6% -1.9%
2016-04-14 miss 0.51 0.42 -16.5% -1.8% -3.4% -5.9%
2016-01-27 beat 0.46 0.55 +18.7% +4.0% +3.0% +3.2%
2015-10-16 beat 0.48 0.49 +2.1% +0.9% +2.2% +3.8%
2015-07-17 miss 0.55 0.53 -4.2% +0.1% +3.6% +1.1%
2015-04-15 beat 0.43 0.46 +8.7% +1.4% +1.6% -0.1%
2015-01-28 beat 0.45 0.59 +31.8% +1.5% -0.6% -2.2%
2014-10-10 beat 0.44 0.46 +4.0% -0.1% -1.1% -2.0%
2014-07-10 miss 0.48 0.45 -7.8% -1.7% -2.7% -4.1%
2014-04-09 beat 0.39 0.40 +3.9% +0.5% -0.4% -0.7%
2014-01-22 miss 0.42 0.41 -4.2% -0.3% -2.0% -9.6%
2013-10-09 beat 0.36 0.36 +1.3% -0.2% -0.3% +1.8%
2013-07-11 miss 0.41 0.39 -4.8% -0.2% -1.1% -0.2%
2013-04-10 miss 0.45 0.42 -5.4% -0.6% -1.3% -4.2%
2013-01-18 miss 0.34 0.34 -1.4% -0.2% +0.5% -0.5%
2012-10-10 miss 0.26 0.26 -0.1% +1.4% +1.9% +6.0%
2012-07-12 miss 0.27 0.20 -26.3% -5.1% -5.0% -2.2%
2012-04-11 miss 0.39 0.34 -13.1% -0.6% -0.6% -0.7%
2012-01-19 beat 0.35 0.40 +13.4% +0.5% +4.6% +3.7%
Posted about PGR See all ›
TRACKER - Analyst Ratings long 220.34 Fri, 21 Aug Keefe, Bruyette & Woods upgraded PGR, Market Perform to Outperform with a $250 target, on 20 August 2026. The price shown is where PGR closed that… TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress long 231.67 Mon, 06 Jul Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 16 June 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - David J. Taylor · Congress long 194.00 Fri, 08 May David J. Taylor's trade date was 27 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…

Not investment advice.