SPCE (Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

+0.2%

Next 1 week

+3.4%

Next 1 month

+6.2%

Seasonality

No real seasonal tilt

Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -0.1% median, 50% of the last 8 years finished up.

Mean reversion

Neutral — RSI(2) at 75

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.47%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 2.41 +6.3% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%

$15M/day volume 108% volatility -36% 1-year

52-week range · 8% of the way up · -70% from the high

$2.13$8.90

Congressional trades in SPCE Full tracker →

3 members · 3 buys / 21 sells · $29K–$218K disclosed · latest filing Apr 23, 2025.

SELL	GW George Whitesides · traded Mar 24, 2025	$1K–$15K
SELL	BM Brian Mast · traded Apr 18, 2022	$1K–$15K
BUY	BM Brian Mast · traded Jul 19, 2021	$15K–$50K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded May 11, 2021	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 4, 2021	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Jan 27, 2021	$238
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Jan 27, 2021	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Jan 25, 2021	$430
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Jan 25, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Jun 3, 2020	$418
BUY	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Jun 3, 2020	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Mar 13, 2020	$117
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Mar 11, 2020	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Mar 6, 2020	$879
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 20, 2020	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 18, 2020	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Mar 6, 2020	$43
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Mar 6, 2020	$43
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 20, 2020	$160
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 20, 2020	$160
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 18, 2020	$190
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 18, 2020	$190
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 10, 2020	$1K–$15K
SELL	AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Feb 10, 2020	$184

Next report 2026-11-16 (Monday, after close, in 18 days) · EPS est. -0.46.

1-day std dev

13.1%

Finished up

48%

Biggest pop

+43.3%

Biggest drop

-17.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 27 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-08-12	beat	-0.65	-0.58	+9.9%	-13.6%	-4.8%	-6.7%
2026-05-14	beat	-0.94	-0.81	+13.8%	-6.2%	-2.4%	+12.5%
2026-03-30	beat	-1.07	-0.93	+12.3%	+11.5%	+12.0%	+36.9%
2025-11-13	beat	-1.48	-1.10	+25.9%	-1.5%	+10.9%	+2.1%
2025-08-06	beat	-2.22	-1.41	+36.3%	+0.5%	-9.5%	-20.1%
2025-05-15	beat	-2.55	-2.38	+6.8%	+11.6%	+43.3%	+11.0%
2025-02-26	beat	-3.00	-2.53	+15.6%	+8.6%	-0.3%	-12.5%
2024-11-06	beat	-4.13	-2.66	+35.6%	-12.2%	-11.8%	-7.6%
2024-08-07	beat	-4.88	-4.36	+10.7%	+10.1%	+14.0%	+30.0%
2024-05-07	beat	-5.90	-5.00	+15.2%	-4.1%	-1.5%	+5.0%
2024-02-27	beat	-6.17	-4.98	+19.3%	-4.7%	-7.9%	-14.2%
2023-11-08	beat	-8.80	-5.60	+36.4%	+16.0%	+19.2%	+33.3%
2023-08-01	beat	-10.45	-9.20	+12.0%	-5.1%	-4.3%	-18.4%
2023-05-09	miss	-10.57	-11.40	-7.8%	-2.4%	+2.0%	+10.0%
2023-02-28	miss	-10.42	-11.00	-5.5%	-3.3%	-17.6%	-5.7%
2022-11-03	miss	-8.17	-11.00	-34.6%	+4.8%	+7.4%	+20.1%
2022-08-04	miss	-7.20	-8.60	-19.4%	-17.6%	-17.5%	-13.1%
2022-05-05	miss	-6.44	-7.20	-11.8%	-5.6%	-9.3%	-12.8%
2022-02-22	beat	-7.10	-6.20	+12.7%	+2.9%	+3.5%	+20.5%
2021-11-08	beat	-5.66	-3.80	+32.9%	+0.0%	+5.1%	-7.9%
2021-08-05	miss	-6.31	-7.80	-23.7%	+0.8%	+5.8%	-19.5%
2021-05-10	miss	-5.53	-11.00	-98.8%	-19.1%	+0.9%	-3.9%
2021-02-25	beat	-6.52	-6.20	+5.0%	-15.4%	-11.9%	-35.4%
2020-11-05	miss	-5.51	-6.80	-23.4%	+4.3%	-0.7%	+16.2%
2020-08-03	miss	-5.28	-6.00	-13.6%	-9.5%	-13.7%	-23.9%
2020-05-05	miss	-3.60	-6.00	-66.7%	+6.8%	+11.3%	-0.5%
2020-02-28	miss	-4.16	-6.04	-45.2%	-9.1%	+12.0%	-1.4%