TAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.0% median,
60% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 42
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.60 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$52M/day volume
45% volatility
-17% 1-year
52-week range · 28% of the way up · -24% from the high
$8.88$13.37
Congressional trades in TAL Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $17K–$80K disclosed · latest filing Jul 8, 2014.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
8.5%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+21.2%
Biggest drop
-18.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 0.24 | — | — | -2.6% | +0.8% | — | |
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.29 | 0.75 | +161.6% | +14.5% | +13.3% | +14.4% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 0.16 | 0.45 | +186.4% | -7.7% | -9.3% | -7.6% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 0.08 | 0.25 | +229.2% | +10.2% | +18.0% | +8.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.16 | 0.24 | +49.4% | +11.1% | +7.3% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +113.4% | +13.0% | +8.4% | +14.0% |
| 2025-04-24 | miss | 0.09 | 0.01 | -89.3% | -14.8% | -18.7% | -20.5% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +14.0% | +17.7% | +21.2% | +37.5% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +26.0% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +8.9% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +612.3% | -7.2% | -9.4% | -9.2% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +303.2% | +3.3% | +8.9% | +4.4% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -0.9% | +5.7% | -3.2% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +29.0% | -2.1% | -5.2% | -16.0% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +6.0% | -3.2% | -2.6% | +15.9% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | — | -0.02 | -605.0% | +0.7% | -5.9% | -12.0% |
| 2023-01-19 | miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -294.6% | -4.6% | -2.3% | -4.9% |
| 2022-10-28 | beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +532.9% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +37.0% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | 0.05 | -0.07 | -247.2% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +37.0% |
| 2022-07-29 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.8% | -7.3% | -7.7% | -12.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | — | 0.09 | +4861.9% | -7.3% | -7.7% | -12.8% |
| 2022-04-29 | miss | 0.15 | -0.17 | -215.0% | +6.9% | +11.9% | +20.5% |
| 2022-02-21 | miss | 0.07 | -0.09 | -229.5% | +5.1% | +9.5% | -19.6% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | -0.20 | -0.14 | +31.5% | +4.8% | -2.2% | -6.9% |
| 2021-01-21 | miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -73.7% | +0.5% | +15.2% | +10.9% |
| 2020-10-22 | miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -27.9% | -2.6% | -11.5% | -10.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.07 | 0.18 | +156.4% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +3.6% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | 0.08 | -0.10 | -229.2% | +5.3% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| 2020-01-21 | miss | 0.17 | 0.09 | -47.5% | -8.4% | -3.8% | -7.5% |
| 2019-10-24 | miss | 0.15 | 0.02 | -86.4% | +8.1% | +13.0% | +13.3% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.15 | 0.03 | -79.7% | -8.7% | -11.4% | -13.6% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +32.0% | +0.6% | +5.1% | +13.5% |
| 2019-01-24 | beat | 0.10 | 0.24 | +130.6% | -0.8% | -4.5% | -0.6% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +16.3% | +5.1% | +14.2% | +32.8% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +38.9% | -16.3% | -12.1% | -19.2% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +26.6% | +3.0% | +3.5% | +5.1% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +28.7% | +12.0% | +17.7% | +12.9% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -8.2% | -13.3% | -14.3% | -15.4% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +12.0% | +3.9% | -0.5% | +5.9% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +11.8% | +3.8% | +2.8% | +4.5% |
| 2017-01-19 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +17.1% | +3.6% | +7.4% | +7.1% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +32.7% | +5.4% | +4.7% | -1.5% |
| 2016-07-26 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -19.4% | +2.0% | -0.8% | -9.1% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +1.1% | -0.7% | +3.5% | -2.0% |
| 2016-01-27 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +35.8% | +3.4% | +2.6% | +12.6% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +92.6% | +3.7% | -1.9% | +4.3% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +12.0% | +1.5% | +1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +8.5% | +5.7% | +6.2% | +2.3% |
| 2015-01-22 | beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +8.6% | +1.8% | +6.7% | +14.6% |
| 2014-10-21 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +12.5% | -5.0% | -7.9% | -5.0% |
| 2014-07-21 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +29.4% | -1.9% | -1.5% | -0.5% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +44.0% | +2.0% | -0.5% | -2.9% |
| 2014-01-22 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +63.7% | +4.7% | +2.8% | -4.2% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +8.8% | +8.1% | +10.4% | +20.6% |
| 2013-07-22 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +79.4% | +2.6% | +2.1% | +8.1% |
| 2013-04-23 | beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +15.8% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +4.1% |
| 2013-01-22 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +135.4% | -0.4% | -4.9% | -7.9% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +46.0% | +0.8% | +3.3% | +2.8% |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +80.1% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -4.2% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +33.3% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -1.6% |
| 2012-01-19 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +20.0% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -0.9% |
Not investment advice.
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