TDG

TransDigm Group Incorporated $1175.91 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +6.3% median, 74% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.76 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$66.0B market cap (#179 US) $384M/day volume 27% volatility -12% 1-year -28% from ATH
52-week range · 27% of the way up · -20% from the high
$1071.25$1463.03

Congressional trades in TDG Full tracker →

14 members · 28 buys / 28 sells · $351K–$1.5M disclosed · latest filing Sep 9, 2026.

SELL AD April McClain Delaney · traded Aug 25, 2026 $100K–$250K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded Jul 28, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 27, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded May 22, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded May 21, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded May 13, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded May 8, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded May 7, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded Apr 16, 2026 $15K–$50K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded Apr 15, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded Apr 17, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded Apr 20, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY AD April McClain Delaney · traded Apr 29, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 25, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 16, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jan 30, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Dec 24, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Nov 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Oct 17, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Sep 23, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Oct 29, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JS Jefferson Shreve · traded May 8, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL JS Jefferson Shreve · traded May 12, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY JS Jefferson Shreve · traded Apr 7, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY JS Jefferson Shreve · traded Mar 5, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Feb 4, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Jan 13, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jan 16, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 17, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 13, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY WK William R. Keating · traded Feb 28, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded May 16, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DP Dean Phillips · traded Dec 18, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DP Dean Phillips · traded Aug 10, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL DE Dwight Evans · traded Jun 8, 2020 $50K–$100K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Apr 29, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DP Dean Phillips sT · traded Apr 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL KL Kelly Loeffler · traded Mar 17, 2020 $50K–$100K
SELL KL Kelly Loeffler · traded Mar 18, 2020 $15K–$50K
SELL DP Dean Phillips sT · traded Aug 13, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded May 15, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 18, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Apr 25, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Mar 5, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Jan 31, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Jan 29, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY DE Dwight Evans · traded Oct 20, 2017 $15K–$50K
BUY DE Dwight Evans · traded Oct 20, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Mar 22, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Dec 9, 2016 $1K–$15K
SELL KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Sep 12, 2016 $1K–$15K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Sep 1, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY LS Lamar Smith · traded Mar 27, 2015 $1K–$15K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded May 27, 2014 $1K–$15K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Apr 7, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY LS Lamar Smith · traded Dec 13, 2013 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. 12.21.

1-day std dev
4.9%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+13.7%
Biggest drop
-12.7%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-04 beat 10.28 10.87 +5.7% +5.4% -0.8% -3.4%
2026-05-05 beat 9.71 9.85 +1.5% +6.1% +3.6% +3.6%
2026-02-03 beat 8.04 8.23 +2.4% -4.0% -9.3% -8.6%
2025-11-12 beat 10.05 10.82 +7.6% -1.1% +1.1% +3.6%
2025-08-05 miss 9.90 9.60 -3.0% -9.6% -11.9% -12.3%
2025-05-06 beat 8.95 9.11 +1.8% -3.8% -5.5% -3.9%
2025-02-04 beat 7.74 7.83 +1.1% -7.3% -3.3% +0.6%
2024-11-07 beat 9.28 9.83 +5.9% -2.6% -3.8% -8.0%
2024-08-06 beat 8.51 9.00 +5.8% +1.0% +2.3% +2.8%
2024-05-07 beat 7.41 7.99 +7.8% -4.7% +0.7% -2.0%
2024-02-08 beat 6.40 7.16 +11.9% +0.5% -1.6% +0.9%
2023-11-09 beat 7.63 8.03 +5.2% +5.6% +8.7% +10.2%
2023-08-08 beat 6.40 7.25 +13.2% +1.5% -2.8% -5.9%
2023-05-09 beat 5.46 5.98 +9.4% +1.0% +4.7% +4.5%
2023-02-07 beat 4.29 4.58 +6.7% +2.5% +3.1% +4.9%
2022-11-10 beat 5.23 5.50 +5.1% +6.4% +9.8% +3.3%
2022-08-09 beat 4.43 4.85 +9.4% +0.9% +0.4% +5.6%
2022-05-10 beat 3.69 3.86 +4.5% +3.4% +3.8% +2.0%
2022-02-08 miss 3.17 3.00 -5.3% -3.8% +2.0% +3.6%
2021-11-16 beat 3.71 4.25 +14.5% +0.5% -1.0% -4.4%
2021-08-10 beat 2.99 3.33 +11.5% +0.5% -1.2% -4.0%
2021-05-11 beat 2.54 2.58 +1.6% -0.3% -0.2% -1.8%
2021-02-09 miss 2.01 1.97 -2.2% -0.5% -2.8% -3.4%
2020-11-12 beat 1.95 2.89 +47.9% -2.8% -0.8% +5.3%
2020-08-04 beat 0.90 1.54 +71.4% -0.1% +2.9% +12.4%
2020-05-05 beat 4.43 5.10 +15.2% +2.6% -5.2% -3.8%
2020-02-04 beat 4.59 4.93 +7.4% +2.0% -1.7% -0.3%
2019-11-19 beat 5.28 5.62 +6.5% -3.3% +0.1% +1.0%
2019-08-06 beat 4.32 4.95 +14.5% +9.7% +13.7% +18.8%
2019-05-07 beat 3.95 4.21 +6.5% -1.0% -1.3% -1.6%
2019-02-05 beat 3.43 3.85 +12.2% +6.5% +3.8% +7.1%
2018-11-06 beat 4.29 4.44 +3.5% +0.2% +2.3% -0.4%
2018-08-07 miss 4.07 4.01 -1.4% -4.0% -3.3% -3.4%
2018-05-01 beat 3.67 3.79 +3.4% +0.4% -1.9% +3.5%
2018-02-06 miss 2.80 2.62 -6.3% -6.7% -2.1% -3.7%
2017-11-09 beat 3.43 3.48 +1.5% -7.3% -6.8% -5.8%
2017-08-08 beat 3.17 3.30 +4.2% +0.2% +0.5% -1.9%
2017-05-09 beat 3.01 3.02 +0.2% -3.7% -4.9% -2.4%
2017-02-07 beat 2.49 2.57 +3.4% +3.5% +6.5% +8.3%
2016-11-14 beat 3.20 3.29 +2.8% +0.4% -7.1% -7.7%
2016-08-09 beat 2.81 3.09 +10.0% +0.4% +2.9% +1.6%
2016-05-10 beat 2.61 2.86 +9.5% +4.8% +10.6% +10.3%
2016-02-09 miss 2.32 2.27 -2.1% -8.2% -12.7% -3.4%
2015-11-12 beat 2.56 2.83 +10.4% +3.2% +4.9% +7.8%
2015-08-04 miss 2.27 2.26 -0.2% -5.7% -0.4% +3.6%
2015-05-05 beat 2.01 2.11 +5.0% -0.8% -2.4% +1.4%
2015-01-27 miss 1.86 1.80 -3.4% -3.0% -2.4% -0.4%
2014-11-13 beat 2.02 2.21 +9.1% +1.4% +2.9% +3.1%
2014-08-05 beat 1.98 2.02 +2.0% -0.5% +3.0% +2.2%
2014-05-06 miss 1.91 1.87 -2.3% -1.8% -2.5% +0.3%
2014-02-04 beat 1.56 1.66 +6.4% +5.1% +4.2% +5.0%
2013-11-14 beat 1.71 1.75 +2.6% +0.3% -2.2% -2.7%
2013-08-06 beat 1.83 1.89 +3.2% -1.5% -2.0% -5.7%
2013-05-07 beat 1.74 1.74 +0.1% +0.5% -0.1% -0.1%
2013-02-04 beat 1.49 1.51 +1.5% -0.3% +1.0% +6.4%
2012-11-15 miss 1.77 1.72 -2.8% -6.8% -4.4% +0.8%
2012-08-07 beat 1.71 1.88 +10.0% +6.1% +2.0% +4.0%
2012-05-08 beat 1.46 1.65 +12.9% +4.1% +0.8% -3.0%
2012-02-07 beat 1.26 1.42 +12.3% +5.0% +6.0% +8.4%
2011-11-17 beat 1.24 1.45 +16.5% +0.5% -3.7% -6.1%

Not investment advice.