USModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.6% median,
55% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 48
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.90 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$3M/day volume
54% volatility
-30% 1-year
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -39% from the high
$12.57$23.59
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.11.
1-day std dev
12.0%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+36.1%
Biggest drop
-34.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | 0.43 | -0.07 | -116.3% | -19.9% | -34.2% | -40.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.44 | 0.61 | +38.6% | +3.8% | +3.9% | -8.6% |
| 2026-02-17 | beat | 0.41 | 0.60 | +46.3% | +9.0% | -8.0% | +2.9% |
| 2025-10-22 | -0.15 | -0.15 | — | -8.7% | -1.3% | -5.6% | |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 0.54 | 0.74 | +37.0% | +17.3% | +12.4% | -6.4% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.3% | +5.2% | +4.9% | +15.9% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 0.49 | 0.64 | +30.6% | +11.6% | +3.9% | -3.4% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 0.49 | 0.56 | +15.5% | -0.3% | +6.1% | +6.6% |
| 2024-07-23 | miss | 0.65 | 0.54 | -16.9% | -11.9% | -3.2% | -3.0% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.86 | +24.6% | +7.6% | +9.7% | +8.4% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.52 | 0.87 | +68.9% | +9.0% | +4.0% | +2.6% |
| 2023-10-24 | miss | 0.64 | 0.59 | -7.1% | -9.8% | -18.0% | -19.8% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.70 | 0.89 | +28.1% | +2.4% | +7.1% | +2.1% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 0.77 | 0.95 | +23.4% | +4.1% | +8.4% | +7.7% |
| 2023-02-07 | beat | 0.35 | 0.66 | +88.6% | -0.1% | +3.0% | +4.4% |
| 2022-10-25 | miss | 0.89 | 0.78 | -12.4% | -5.5% | -2.4% | -12.1% |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | 1.05 | 1.00 | -4.8% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +2.7% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 1.14 | 1.15 | +0.9% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2022-02-08 | miss | 1.28 | 1.03 | -19.5% | -6.7% | -9.6% | -4.1% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | 1.35 | 1.36 | +0.7% | -0.4% | -7.3% | +1.9% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.78 | 1.87 | +5.1% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -5.7% |
| 2021-04-27 | miss | 1.57 | 1.45 | -7.6% | -4.0% | -6.8% | -0.7% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 1.39 | 1.87 | +35.0% | +10.0% | +13.0% | +3.8% |
| 2020-10-20 | beat | 1.29 | 1.44 | +11.6% | +3.4% | +5.0% | +3.7% |
| 2020-07-21 | beat | 1.19 | 1.32 | +10.9% | -1.6% | -3.7% | -8.2% |
| 2020-04-21 | beat | 0.57 | 1.23 | +115.8% | +10.0% | +14.2% | +27.2% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.98 | 1.41 | +43.9% | +24.3% | +19.7% | +22.1% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 0.87 | 1.09 | +25.3% | +2.6% | +7.3% | +3.7% |
| 2019-07-23 | miss | 0.93 | 0.91 | -1.6% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +7.9% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.99 | 1.01 | +2.0% | +3.6% | +9.4% | +2.9% |
| 2019-02-05 | beat | 1.29 | 1.32 | +2.7% | -10.8% | -12.3% | -7.0% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 1.10 | 1.24 | +12.7% | +6.0% | +3.8% | +11.0% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 1.11 | 1.36 | +22.5% | +13.2% | +24.8% | +16.5% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 1.05 | 1.19 | +13.9% | +4.2% | +11.2% | +10.0% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 1.00 | 1.11 | +11.0% | +8.8% | +6.1% | +7.1% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.91 | 1.02 | +12.7% | +5.7% | +10.9% | +5.4% |
| 2017-07-25 | miss | 1.06 | 0.98 | -7.5% | -11.9% | -11.3% | -12.2% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 0.92 | 0.86 | -6.5% | -0.8% | +5.5% | +16.0% |
| 2017-02-07 | miss | 0.95 | 0.87 | -7.9% | -13.2% | -11.6% | -5.2% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.5% | -8.5% | -6.2% | -12.4% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 1.02 | 1.03 | +1.5% | +3.4% | +13.5% | +9.6% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | 0.91 | 0.89 | -2.4% | -0.9% | +8.0% | +5.5% |
| 2016-02-09 | miss | 1.00 | 0.92 | -8.0% | -18.4% | -20.7% | -12.1% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +9.4% | +1.9% | -11.7% | +0.3% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.80 | 0.96 | +20.0% | +20.7% | +36.1% | +24.1% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +15.7% | +3.3% | +20.0% | +4.8% |
| 2015-02-10 | miss | 0.96 | 0.83 | -14.2% | -4.0% | -8.5% | -6.3% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +7.6% | +2.4% | +22.4% | +28.0% |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 0.75 | 0.68 | -9.5% | -0.3% | -6.3% | -0.7% |
| 2014-04-29 | miss | 0.65 | 0.57 | -11.8% | -9.0% | -15.7% | -13.7% |
| 2014-02-04 | beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +15.1% | +10.7% | +17.4% | +25.9% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.1% | -10.3% | -13.7% | -20.8% |
| 2013-07-23 | beat | 0.66 | 0.86 | +29.7% | +0.5% | -8.1% | +2.6% |
| 2013-04-23 | beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +10.2% | -1.2% | +6.3% | +9.2% |
| 2013-02-05 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.0% | +0.8% | -2.0% | +9.5% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +11.5% | +5.3% | -0.6% | -8.9% |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +20.6% | +6.9% | +4.2% | +9.0% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 0.35 | 0.45 | +29.7% | +8.7% | +11.4% | +2.5% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +0.7% | -2.3% | +3.3% | +3.5% |
| 2011-10-25 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.3% | +2.1% | +7.7% | +9.2% |
Not investment advice.
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