AAL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | +0.5% | 5.1% | 51% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 3.4% | 41% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 2.7% | 49% |
| 5-day | -1.6% | -1.1% | 8.0% | 39% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.05 | 0.15 | +227.6% | -5.4% | -8.3% | +13.8% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | -0.46 | -0.40 | +13.0% | +2.1% | +2.4% | -0.6% | +17.6% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 0.35 | 0.16 | -54.6% | +0.1% | -7.0% | +3.4% | +2.9% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | -0.28 | -0.17 | +38.2% | +5.4% | +5.6% | +0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.95 | +22.7% | -7.0% | -9.6% | +0.3% | +18.2% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | -0.67 | -0.59 | +12.1% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +16.4% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.66 | 0.86 | +30.1% | -7.3% | -8.7% | -0.8% | -10.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.17 | 0.30 | +80.8% | +2.7% | -0.4% | +4.9% | +12.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +4.0% | -2.5% | +4.2% | -4.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | -0.29 | -0.34 | -16.8% | +2.1% | +1.5% | -1.9% | -2.1% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.08 | 0.29 | +265.6% | +4.7% | +10.3% | -6.6% | -0.5% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.25 | 0.38 | +50.5% | -0.1% | +0.8% | -2.6% | +7.3% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 1.59 | 1.92 | +20.4% | -2.4% | -6.2% | -5.0% | -13.8% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +80.7% | +1.8% | +1.1% | +4.9% | +11.4% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.08 | 1.17 | +8.6% | +1.7% | +2.2% | +2.7% | -5.9% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.56 | 0.69 | +22.5% | -0.3% | -3.8% | +3.8% | +4.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.4% | -3.6% | -7.4% | -2.3% | +0.6% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | -2.41 | -2.32 | +3.5% | +9.1% | +3.8% | -3.9% | -19.6% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | -1.48 | -1.42 | +4.0% | +1.8% | -3.2% | -5.8% | +6.6% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | -1.03 | -0.95 | +7.8% | +0.5% | +1.9% | -3.5% | -3.1% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | -1.73 | -1.69 | +2.3% | -1.6% | -1.1% | +0.0% | -12.6% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -4.33 | -4.32 | +0.3% | +2.7% | -4.5% | +6.1% | +12.5% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | -4.12 | -3.86 | +6.3% | +22.8% | +9.3% | -3.9% | +17.0% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | -5.75 | -5.54 | +3.7% | -1.2% | +3.1% | -15.1% | -4.7% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -7.90 | -7.82 | +1.0% | -0.8% | +3.6% | -5.0% | +3.3% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | -2.36 | -2.65 | -12.5% | -5.6% | -4.9% | -20.6% | -7.5% |
| 2020-01-23 miss | 1.16 | 1.15 | -0.5% | +0.3% | +5.4% | -3.8% | -11.6% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.6% | +3.5% | +4.0% | +2.2% | -2.5% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.79 | 1.82 | +1.8% | -0.1% | -8.4% | -5.8% | -19.7% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +4.0% | -3.8% | -1.0% | +5.2% | -13.1% |
| 2019-01-24 beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +3.4% | +8.2% | +6.4% | +6.3% | +6.7% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.13 | 1.13 | +0.4% | +2.8% | +6.7% | +12.4% | +17.7% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.59 | 1.63 | +2.5% | -0.9% | +4.8% | -5.2% | -3.0% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.6% | -3.9% | -6.4% | -0.6% | +6.0% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.92 | 0.95 | +3.3% | -1.4% | -3.2% | +1.6% | +3.7% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.6% | +1.9% | -4.7% | -2.6% | -0.4% |
| 2017-07-28 beat | 1.86 | 1.92 | +3.0% | -2.0% | +1.0% | +0.6% | -11.0% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.6% | -5.4% | -5.2% | -0.2% | +10.8% |
| 2017-01-27 beat | 0.92 | 0.92 | +0.0% | +0.8% | -5.3% | -5.9% | -1.3% |
| 2016-10-20 beat | 1.69 | 1.76 | +4.4% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -1.7% | +14.0% |
| 2016-07-22 beat | 1.68 | 1.77 | +5.5% | +4.3% | +4.0% | -2.4% | -1.0% |
| 2016-04-22 beat | 1.19 | 1.25 | +5.4% | -5.8% | -4.5% | -9.2% | -17.0% |
| 2016-01-29 beat | 1.97 | 2.00 | +1.8% | -1.6% | +2.2% | -5.7% | +7.3% |
| 2015-10-23 beat | 2.72 | 2.77 | +1.8% | +0.8% | -0.7% | +1.2% | -7.4% |
| 2015-07-24 beat | 2.60 | 2.62 | +0.9% | +0.9% | -7.0% | +1.2% | -5.1% |
| 2015-04-24 beat | 1.70 | 1.73 | +1.5% | +1.0% | +2.4% | -6.3% | -21.2% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 1.51 | 1.52 | +0.5% | -2.6% | -5.0% | -9.9% | -6.4% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 1.64 | 1.66 | +1.5% | +1.1% | +3.9% | +4.7% | +12.6% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 1.95 | 1.98 | +1.6% | -1.9% | -2.7% | -7.9% | -5.5% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +11.4% | +2.0% | +0.5% | -2.3% | +5.0% |
| 2014-01-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.2% | +0.5% | +5.9% | +6.5% | +14.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.