ADP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.5% | 3.8% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.5% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.5% | 5.0% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.60 | 2.64 | +1.6% | +0.3% | +3.5% | -1.2% | +4.1% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 3.30 | 3.37 | +2.3% | +4.3% | +8.0% | -3.7% | +3.2% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 2.57 | 2.62 | +2.0% | -1.9% | -1.5% | -6.4% | -14.5% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.44 | 2.49 | +1.9% | -3.0% | -6.6% | -0.6% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.23 | 2.26 | +1.5% | -3.0% | +0.7% | -3.0% | -2.2% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.97 | 3.06 | +2.9% | -1.7% | +1.6% | +1.5% | +8.3% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 2.30 | 2.35 | +2.4% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +4.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.21 | 2.33 | +5.3% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +4.2% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.06 | 2.09 | +1.4% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.78 | 2.88 | +3.5% | +3.2% | +2.2% | -1.8% | -1.0% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 2.10 | 2.13 | +1.4% | +3.3% | +3.0% | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 2.02 | 2.08 | +2.8% | -4.5% | -9.2% | -3.6% | +5.6% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.83 | 1.89 | +3.2% | +1.5% | +5.4% | -2.4% | -1.4% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 2.45 | 2.52 | +2.7% | -4.0% | -0.4% | +2.4% | -0.2% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 1.94 | 1.96 | +1.1% | -2.0% | -4.7% | -0.6% | -2.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.79 | 1.86 | +3.9% | +3.5% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +12.3% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.47 | 1.50 | +2.4% | +0.9% | +7.4% | +4.4% | +10.3% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.08 | 2.21 | +6.4% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +0.4% | -4.3% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.63 | 1.65 | +1.2% | -5.3% | -9.0% | +5.3% | +3.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.49 | 1.65 | +11.0% | +2.0% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 1.14 | 1.20 | +5.4% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +2.5% | +0.1% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 1.78 | 1.89 | +5.9% | -2.4% | -4.7% | +3.8% | +5.7% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 1.29 | 1.52 | +18.1% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +5.0% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.41 | +44.4% | +6.3% | +6.2% | +6.1% | +13.0% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.96 | 1.14 | +18.2% | -4.6% | -6.5% | -1.7% | +2.8% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 1.89 | 1.92 | +1.5% | +2.6% | +2.0% | -0.9% | +0.4% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.2% | -3.6% | -4.1% | +4.4% | -9.5% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.33 | 1.34 | +0.7% | -2.5% | +0.8% | -2.7% | +4.0% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.13 | 1.14 | +0.7% | +4.2% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +1.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 1.69 | 1.77 | +5.0% | -2.1% | -4.2% | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 1.18 | 1.34 | +13.3% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +4.4% | +10.4% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 1.11 | 1.20 | +8.2% | +3.0% | +5.0% | +2.9% | +2.3% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +2.6% | -3.5% | -1.8% | +3.9% | +9.7% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.3% | +3.5% | +2.7% | +4.1% | +8.7% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +10.5% | -0.4% | +2.3% | -8.1% | -8.1% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.85 | 0.91 | +7.2% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -2.1% | +0.4% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 0.67 | 0.66 | -0.8% | -2.3% | +9.1% | -3.3% | -9.5% |
| 2017-05-03 beat | 1.23 | 1.31 | +6.5% | -4.9% | -6.2% | -0.9% | +3.6% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 0.81 | 0.87 | +6.9% | -4.9% | -5.7% | +1.4% | +9.7% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.76 | 0.86 | +13.3% | +1.4% | +3.5% | +1.0% | +5.8% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.0% | -2.0% | -3.4% | -3.6% | -2.1% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 1.18 | 1.17 | -0.5% | -2.5% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -1.2% |
| 2016-02-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.72 | +0.5% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +4.9% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +4.2% | -2.2% | -2.7% | -1.1% | -1.4% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.59 | 0.55 | -7.0% | -2.8% | -2.7% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 1.02 | 1.04 | +2.1% | -0.2% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 2015-02-04 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +3.2% | +2.3% | +1.7% | +0.3% | -0.7% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.2% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +8.2% | +9.9% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.2% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +2.7% |
| 2014-04-30 miss | 1.07 | 1.06 | -1.4% | -1.2% | +1.3% | -0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2014-02-05 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.5% | +1.8% | -1.9% | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +3.2% | -0.6% | -2.7% | +2.1% | +7.7% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 0.57 | 0.55 | -4.0% | -2.2% | -0.3% | +0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2013-05-03 beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.6% | +1.7% | +2.7% | +1.2% | -0.4% |
| 2013-02-05 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.4% | +0.5% | +2.8% | -1.4% | +3.4% |
| 2012-11-01 miss | 0.62 | 0.62 | -0.3% | +1.6% | +2.7% | -6.7% | -5.0% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.4% | +0.3% | -1.2% | +2.9% | +3.7% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.1% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -2.8% | -5.5% |
| 2012-01-25 beat | 0.68 | 0.68 | +0.5% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -3.5% | -5.4% |
| 2011-10-26 beat | 0.61 | 0.61 | +0.7% | +1.1% | -2.4% | +0.3% | -5.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.