AES chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 5.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.4% | 2.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.3% | 8.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.77 | +108.3% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +33.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.1% | +0.3% | +5.8% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.40 | 0.51 | +29.0% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.8% | +1.5% | +2.3% | +9.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-02-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.54 | +56.5% | +6.5% | +11.7% | -2.9% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.1% | -2.4% | -10.8% | -7.5% | -11.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.8% | -3.4% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.34 | 0.50 | +46.5% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +6.8% | +9.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.