AES chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 4.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -0.1% | 7.0% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.77 | +108.3% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +33.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.1% | +0.3% | +5.8% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.40 | 0.51 | +29.0% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.8% | +1.5% | +2.3% | +9.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-02-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.54 | +56.5% | +6.5% | +11.7% | -2.9% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.1% | -2.4% | -10.8% | -7.5% | -11.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.8% | -3.4% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.34 | 0.50 | +46.5% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +6.8% | +9.7% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +9.2% | +1.5% | -2.9% | +7.0% | +14.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.1% | +3.2% | +8.3% | -6.5% | +6.8% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.6% | +0.2% | -4.9% | -0.9% | -11.2% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.7% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -2.5% | -11.2% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +5.6% | +1.5% | -1.7% | +0.5% | -7.8% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 0.53 | 0.63 | +18.0% | +3.1% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +6.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.5% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +2.8% | +7.6% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.27 | 0.21 | -21.4% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -3.3% | +8.4% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.9% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +16.8% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +15.4% | +2.2% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.3% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.7% | -1.9% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -0.5% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.7% | -1.1% | -5.9% | -1.8% | -0.1% |
| 2020-11-06 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.3% | -0.3% | -2.7% | +2.3% | +3.8% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.5% | -0.3% | +7.5% | +7.5% | +6.2% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.9% | +0.0% | -3.3% | -2.5% | +23.5% |
| 2020-02-28 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.9% | -12.5% | -8.5% | +0.5% | -18.4% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +19.4% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +5.9% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -7.8% | -1.9% | -3.8% | -3.4% | -1.7% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | -2.7% | +2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.