AES chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 4.5% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.0% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -0.1% | 5.9% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.77 | +108.3% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +33.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.1% | +0.3% | +5.8% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.40 | 0.51 | +29.0% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.8% | +1.5% | +2.3% | +9.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-02-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.54 | +56.5% | +6.5% | +11.7% | -2.9% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.1% | -2.4% | -10.8% | -7.5% | -11.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.8% | -3.4% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.34 | 0.50 | +46.5% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +6.8% | +9.7% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +9.2% | +1.5% | -2.9% | +7.0% | +14.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.1% | +3.2% | +8.3% | -6.5% | +6.8% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.6% | +0.2% | -4.9% | -0.9% | -11.2% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.7% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -2.5% | -11.2% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +5.6% | +1.5% | -1.7% | +0.5% | -7.8% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 0.53 | 0.63 | +18.0% | +3.1% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +6.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.5% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +2.8% | +7.6% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.27 | 0.21 | -21.4% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -3.3% | +8.4% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.9% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +16.8% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +15.4% | +2.2% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.3% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.7% | -1.9% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -0.5% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.7% | -1.1% | -5.9% | -1.8% | -0.1% |
| 2020-11-06 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.3% | -0.3% | -2.7% | +2.3% | +3.8% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.5% | -0.3% | +7.5% | +7.5% | +6.2% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.9% | +0.0% | -3.3% | -2.5% | +23.5% |
| 2020-02-28 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.9% | -12.5% | -8.5% | +0.5% | -18.4% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +19.4% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +5.9% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -7.8% | -1.9% | -3.8% | -3.4% | -1.7% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | -2.7% | +2.6% |
| 2019-02-27 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +7.1% | -1.3% | -0.8% | +2.4% | +5.5% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +16.4% | -1.5% | +6.2% | -3.7% | -3.0% |
| 2018-08-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.25 | -10.4% | -4.0% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -2.6% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +14.2% | -1.8% | -5.2% | +4.9% | +8.4% |
| 2018-02-27 beat | 0.36 | 0.43 | +20.7% | +2.9% | +7.4% | -2.6% | +0.1% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -18.0% | +0.5% | +2.1% | -4.5% | -0.2% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +20.2% | -0.8% | +2.5% | -2.5% | -2.0% |
| 2017-05-08 miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -16.9% | -2.1% | -0.1% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2017-02-27 miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -1.0% | -1.8% | -6.6% | +3.4% | +1.5% |
| 2016-11-04 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.6% | -2.0% | +3.1% | -7.0% | -6.4% |
| 2016-08-05 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +9.0% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2016-05-09 miss | 0.20 | 0.13 | -36.2% | -1.2% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +2.4% |
| 2016-02-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +4.7% | -0.8% | +4.7% | +2.5% | +15.4% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.9% | -3.1% | -8.7% | -1.5% | -6.8% |
| 2015-08-10 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.6% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +1.5% | -10.9% |
| 2015-05-11 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +1.2% | -2.7% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2015-02-26 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +13.0% | +1.0% | +5.2% | +0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.5% | -2.9% | -6.4% | +4.8% | +4.1% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.1% | -2.4% | +0.2% | +3.6% | +3.8% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -10.7% | -3.2% | -2.7% | +0.9% | +2.2% |
| 2014-02-26 miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -1.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +13.1% | +0.3% | -2.5% | +10.9% | +7.4% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +13.7% | +0.2% | +2.0% | -2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2013-05-09 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -12.2% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -2.7% | -7.3% |
| 2013-02-27 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +6.2% | +8.0% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.6% | +0.7% | -3.9% | -2.9% | +7.8% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | 0.27 | 0.18 | -33.0% | -2.2% | -4.4% | +1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2012-05-04 beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +34.6% | +4.1% | -1.1% | +2.3% | -0.5% |
| 2012-02-27 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -2.8% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -3.9% |
| 2011-11-04 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -2.6% | +3.4% | +2.8% | -1.1% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.