ALGN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.9% | -0.0% | 12.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.5% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.6% | 2.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | -4.6% | -5.4% | 11.7% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.60 | 2.64 | +1.7% | +0.4% | -3.7% | -2.5% | -9.1% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.29 | 2.58 | +12.8% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -4.3% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.97 | 3.29 | +10.8% | +9.2% | +8.9% | +4.7% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.41 | 2.61 | +8.4% | +10.1% | +4.9% | -3.4% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 2.57 | 2.49 | -3.3% | -30.0% | -36.6% | +7.6% | +10.0% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.99 | 2.13 | +7.1% | +9.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.45 | 2.44 | -0.4% | +5.1% | +0.9% | -6.2% | -25.2% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 2.31 | 2.35 | +1.6% | +3.3% | +4.2% | -5.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.30 | 2.41 | +4.6% | -6.8% | -7.7% | +1.0% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.98 | 2.14 | +8.3% | +3.6% | -1.0% | -7.7% | -17.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.