ALGN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 14.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.5% | 3.2% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.6% | 57% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | +0.0% | 14.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.60 | 2.64 | +1.7% | +0.4% | -3.7% | -2.5% | -9.1% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.29 | 2.58 | +12.8% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -4.3% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.97 | 3.29 | +10.8% | +9.2% | +8.9% | +4.7% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.41 | 2.61 | +8.4% | +10.1% | +4.9% | -3.4% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 2.57 | 2.49 | -3.3% | -30.0% | -36.6% | +7.6% | +10.0% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.99 | 2.13 | +7.1% | +9.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.45 | 2.44 | -0.4% | +5.1% | +0.9% | -6.2% | -25.2% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 2.31 | 2.35 | +1.6% | +3.3% | +4.2% | -5.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.30 | 2.41 | +4.6% | -6.8% | -7.7% | +1.0% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.98 | 2.14 | +8.3% | +3.6% | -1.0% | -7.7% | -17.7% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 2.18 | 2.42 | +11.2% | +13.3% | +2.3% | +7.9% | +12.7% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 2.26 | 2.14 | -5.5% | -22.4% | -24.9% | +0.9% | +13.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 2.04 | 2.22 | +9.1% | +18.8% | +13.4% | -4.9% | -7.5% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.69 | 1.82 | +7.4% | -9.2% | -10.4% | -4.3% | -10.2% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 1.53 | 1.73 | +12.7% | +19.1% | +27.4% | -10.7% | -6.7% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 2.17 | 1.36 | -37.3% | -14.8% | -18.1% | -3.1% | +4.5% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 2.23 | 2.00 | -10.2% | +3.0% | +7.5% | +4.1% | -10.6% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 2.23 | 2.13 | -4.3% | -21.8% | -15.5% | -6.9% | -6.6% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 2.73 | 2.83 | +3.8% | -5.0% | -0.5% | +5.8% | -13.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 2.59 | 2.87 | +10.7% | +8.9% | +4.5% | +7.5% | +0.4% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 2.53 | 3.04 | +20.0% | +2.0% | +8.9% | +3.3% | +3.7% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 2.01 | 2.49 | +24.0% | +4.9% | -1.5% | -3.2% | -2.3% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 2.14 | 2.61 | +22.2% | +11.2% | +12.6% | -2.6% | -19.4% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.73 | 2.25 | +206.8% | +26.4% | +35.0% | -3.7% | -1.5% |
| 2020-07-22 miss | -0.05 | -0.35 | -615.9% | -3.9% | -6.0% | -1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.88 | 0.73 | -17.3% | -2.5% | -2.6% | -0.6% | +16.6% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.5% | -4.9% | +0.5% | +1.5% | -12.4% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +6.4% | +9.1% | +14.7% | +1.1% | +10.0% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 1.39 | 1.33 | -4.1% | -20.3% | -27.0% | +0.7% | -12.9% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.83 | 1.17 | +40.3% | -1.0% | -0.1% | +9.8% | +5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.