ALGN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.9% | +3.2% | 13.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 2.3% | 48% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +4.2% | 13.2% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.60 | 2.64 | +1.7% | +0.4% | -3.7% | -2.5% | -9.1% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.29 | 2.58 | +12.8% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -4.3% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.97 | 3.29 | +10.8% | +9.2% | +8.9% | +4.7% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.41 | 2.61 | +8.4% | +10.1% | +4.9% | -3.4% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 2.57 | 2.49 | -3.3% | -30.0% | -36.6% | +7.6% | +10.0% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.99 | 2.13 | +7.1% | +9.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.45 | 2.44 | -0.4% | +5.1% | +0.9% | -6.2% | -25.2% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 2.31 | 2.35 | +1.6% | +3.3% | +4.2% | -5.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.30 | 2.41 | +4.6% | -6.8% | -7.7% | +1.0% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.98 | 2.14 | +8.3% | +3.6% | -1.0% | -7.7% | -17.7% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 2.18 | 2.42 | +11.2% | +13.3% | +2.3% | +7.9% | +12.7% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 2.26 | 2.14 | -5.5% | -22.4% | -24.9% | +0.9% | +13.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 2.04 | 2.22 | +9.1% | +18.8% | +13.4% | -4.9% | -7.5% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.69 | 1.82 | +7.4% | -9.2% | -10.4% | -4.3% | -10.2% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 1.53 | 1.73 | +12.7% | +19.1% | +27.4% | -10.7% | -6.7% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 2.17 | 1.36 | -37.3% | -14.8% | -18.1% | -3.1% | +4.5% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 2.23 | 2.00 | -10.2% | +3.0% | +7.5% | +4.1% | -10.6% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 2.23 | 2.13 | -4.3% | -21.8% | -15.5% | -6.9% | -6.6% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 2.73 | 2.83 | +3.8% | -5.0% | -0.5% | +5.8% | -13.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 2.59 | 2.87 | +10.7% | +8.9% | +4.5% | +7.5% | +0.4% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 2.53 | 3.04 | +20.0% | +2.0% | +8.9% | +3.3% | +3.7% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 2.01 | 2.49 | +24.0% | +4.9% | -1.5% | -3.2% | -2.3% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 2.14 | 2.61 | +22.2% | +11.2% | +12.6% | -2.6% | -19.4% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.73 | 2.25 | +206.8% | +26.4% | +35.0% | -3.7% | -1.5% |
| 2020-07-22 miss | -0.05 | -0.35 | -615.9% | -3.9% | -6.0% | -1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.88 | 0.73 | -17.3% | -2.5% | -2.6% | -0.6% | +16.6% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.5% | -4.9% | +0.5% | +1.5% | -12.4% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +6.4% | +9.1% | +14.7% | +1.1% | +10.0% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 1.39 | 1.33 | -4.1% | -20.3% | -27.0% | +0.7% | -12.9% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.83 | 1.17 | +40.3% | -1.0% | -0.1% | +9.8% | +5.0% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 1.15 | 1.20 | +4.0% | -6.0% | +4.9% | +4.8% | +13.1% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 1.19 | 1.24 | +4.1% | -20.5% | -20.2% | -0.5% | -3.7% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.09 | 1.30 | +19.6% | -1.1% | -4.9% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 0.97 | 1.17 | +20.0% | +6.7% | +5.8% | -1.8% | +22.6% |
| 2018-01-30 beat | 0.96 | 1.19 | +24.0% | -3.4% | -3.0% | -10.6% | -3.2% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.81 | 1.01 | +24.2% | +11.2% | +16.2% | +2.3% | +12.0% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.85 | +16.9% | +6.9% | +10.0% | -2.2% | +1.2% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.67 | 0.85 | +27.4% | +16.4% | +12.1% | +2.5% | +6.5% |
| 2017-01-31 miss | 0.66 | 0.59 | -11.0% | +5.8% | +6.1% | -3.2% | +7.0% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.63 | +22.8% | +2.3% | +1.1% | +5.8% | +11.8% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.48 | 0.62 | +30.5% | +0.0% | +4.5% | +3.0% | +4.8% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.41 | 0.50 | +21.7% | +1.8% | -2.0% | +3.5% | +9.2% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.60 | +9.5% | +8.4% | +11.1% | -0.4% | +2.6% |
| 2015-10-22 | 0.34 | 0.34 | — | +6.1% | +11.8% | -3.7% | -1.1% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.0% | -3.2% | -7.9% | +3.8% | -9.7% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 0.31 | 0.38 | +20.9% | +8.8% | +5.7% | +0.0% | +0.2% |
| 2015-01-29 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -1.7% | -10.0% | -9.6% | +3.0% | +7.4% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.2% | +5.9% | +5.0% | +2.2% | +10.6% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.0% | +4.8% | +5.9% | -5.2% | -2.0% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.7% | -0.4% | -3.1% | +0.4% | +6.6% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.8% | -2.1% | +1.6% | -7.4% | -7.2% |
| 2013-10-17 beat | 0.30 | 0.42 | +39.5% | +15.8% | +26.2% | -3.4% | -6.9% |
| 2013-07-18 beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +28.6% | +10.4% | +8.3% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +12.2% | -1.9% | +4.5% | +2.7% | +20.0% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +20.4% | +11.4% | +7.1% | +2.8% | -1.2% |
| 2012-10-17 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.7% | -22.0% | -20.4% | -6.0% | -5.2% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +21.1% | -1.5% | +7.8% | +4.8% | -0.6% |
| 2012-04-23 beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +26.9% | +19.8% | +15.7% | +1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2012-01-30 beat | 0.22 | 0.28 | +28.3% | -5.1% | -7.2% | +10.0% | +11.1% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.19 | 0.27 | +39.2% | +20.7% | +32.8% | -4.6% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.