ALNY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | -0.5% | 7.8% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.4% | 3.6% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | -1.6% | 14.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 2.14 | 1.84 | -14.2% | -21.5% | -28.3% | +5.2% | +15.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.99 | +35.3% | +2.1% | +2.8% | -4.4% | -4.5% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 1.50 | 1.25 | -16.5% | -2.4% | -4.3% | +9.0% | +3.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.75 | 2.90 | +66.1% | -6.6% | -6.7% | -2.0% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.15 | 0.32 | +119.6% | +3.0% | +15.4% | +10.9% | +13.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.37 | -0.01 | +97.3% | -2.3% | -3.1% | +1.3% | +20.0% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | -0.14 | 0.06 | +142.5% | -2.8% | -0.4% | -5.4% | -4.4% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -0.39 | -0.50 | -26.7% | -2.2% | -5.3% | +2.1% | -5.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.69 | 0.56 | +181.1% | +5.3% | +13.1% | +0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.63 | -0.16 | +74.5% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | -0.77 | -0.77 | -0.2% | -8.6% | -10.2% | +6.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.96 | 1.74 | +281.9% | +3.4% | +2.9% | +1.9% | +7.0% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -1.34 | -1.62 | -21.2% | -2.6% | +1.7% | -2.7% | +5.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -1.43 | -1.06 | +25.7% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +0.3% | -6.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | -1.48 | -1.39 | +6.3% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | -1.38 | -1.58 | -14.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% | +11.2% | +7.8% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | -1.36 | -2.03 | -49.4% | -3.5% | +1.1% | +56.1% | +47.0% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -1.46 | -1.49 | -2.1% | -2.9% | -7.6% | -4.5% | -10.8% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | -1.26 | -1.69 | -34.4% | -2.1% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | -1.24 | -1.51 | -21.4% | -11.6% | -15.2% | +14.4% | +11.5% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | -1.28 | -1.30 | -1.2% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +16.2% | +10.2% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | -1.40 | -1.64 | -17.1% | +1.0% | -2.7% | -5.4% | +1.6% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | -1.38 | -1.60 | -15.9% | +1.7% | +0.7% | -6.2% | -11.6% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -1.34 | -1.58 | -18.0% | +2.9% | -1.2% | -3.9% | -8.0% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -1.40 | -1.67 | -19.4% | -1.2% | -4.2% | -4.6% | -14.8% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | -1.51 | -1.52 | -0.9% | +0.0% | +2.9% | -4.0% | -12.2% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | -1.92 | -1.98 | -3.1% | -4.9% | +0.3% | +6.7% | -9.8% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | -1.83 | -1.50 | +18.1% | -2.2% | -0.6% | +5.5% | +36.7% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | -1.85 | -1.83 | +1.2% | -2.0% | +4.2% | +7.6% | +11.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | -1.80 | -1.42 | +21.1% | +2.9% | -7.1% | -15.5% | -18.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.