ALNY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -0.1% | 7.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 3.4% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 3.5% | 58% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +0.3% | 13.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 2.14 | 1.84 | -14.2% | -21.5% | -28.3% | +5.2% | +15.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.99 | +35.3% | +2.1% | +2.8% | -4.4% | -4.5% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 1.50 | 1.25 | -16.5% | -2.4% | -4.3% | +9.0% | +3.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.75 | 2.90 | +66.1% | -6.6% | -6.7% | -2.0% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.15 | 0.32 | +119.6% | +3.0% | +15.4% | +10.9% | +13.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.37 | -0.01 | +97.3% | -2.3% | -3.1% | +1.3% | +20.0% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | -0.14 | 0.06 | +142.5% | -2.8% | -0.4% | -5.4% | -4.4% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -0.39 | -0.50 | -26.7% | -2.2% | -5.3% | +2.1% | -5.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.69 | 0.56 | +181.1% | +5.3% | +13.1% | +0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.63 | -0.16 | +74.5% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | -0.77 | -0.77 | -0.2% | -8.6% | -10.2% | +6.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.96 | 1.74 | +281.9% | +3.4% | +2.9% | +1.9% | +7.0% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -1.34 | -1.62 | -21.2% | -2.6% | +1.7% | -2.7% | +5.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -1.43 | -1.06 | +25.7% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +0.3% | -6.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | -1.48 | -1.39 | +6.3% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | -1.38 | -1.58 | -14.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% | +11.2% | +7.8% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | -1.36 | -2.03 | -49.4% | -3.5% | +1.1% | +56.1% | +47.0% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -1.46 | -1.49 | -2.1% | -2.9% | -7.6% | -4.5% | -10.8% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | -1.26 | -1.69 | -34.4% | -2.1% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | -1.24 | -1.51 | -21.4% | -11.6% | -15.2% | +14.4% | +11.5% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | -1.28 | -1.30 | -1.2% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +16.2% | +10.2% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | -1.40 | -1.64 | -17.1% | +1.0% | -2.7% | -5.4% | +1.6% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | -1.38 | -1.60 | -15.9% | +1.7% | +0.7% | -6.2% | -11.6% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -1.34 | -1.58 | -18.0% | +2.9% | -1.2% | -3.9% | -8.0% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -1.40 | -1.67 | -19.4% | -1.2% | -4.2% | -4.6% | -14.8% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | -1.51 | -1.52 | -0.9% | +0.0% | +2.9% | -4.0% | -12.2% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | -1.92 | -1.98 | -3.1% | -4.9% | +0.3% | +6.7% | -9.8% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | -1.83 | -1.50 | +18.1% | -2.2% | -0.6% | +5.5% | +36.7% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | -1.85 | -1.83 | +1.2% | -2.0% | +4.2% | +7.6% | +11.8% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | -1.80 | -1.42 | +21.1% | +2.9% | -7.1% | -15.5% | -18.7% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | -1.93 | -1.82 | +5.7% | +1.9% | -3.8% | +7.5% | +13.2% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | -1.79 | -1.56 | +12.9% | -7.8% | -11.9% | -14.4% | +0.8% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | -1.71 | -1.83 | -6.9% | +3.7% | +0.8% | -1.0% | +28.8% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | -1.51 | -1.41 | +6.4% | +0.8% | +4.6% | +9.3% | +9.4% |
| 2018-02-08 miss | -1.36 | -1.48 | -8.7% | +0.8% | -4.7% | +4.7% | +22.1% |
| 2017-11-07 miss | -1.23 | -1.34 | -9.3% | +1.3% | +2.2% | -4.8% | -1.1% |
| 2017-08-09 miss | -1.17 | -1.34 | -14.7% | -2.9% | -5.7% | +5.7% | +3.6% |
| 2017-05-05 miss | -1.24 | -1.25 | -0.5% | -2.6% | +0.4% | +3.1% | +29.4% |
| 2017-02-08 miss | -1.31 | -1.32 | -0.9% | +12.7% | +10.7% | +4.6% | +12.3% |
| 2016-11-02 miss | -1.16 | -1.21 | -4.0% | +0.8% | -12.6% | +45.7% | +31.3% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | -1.27 | -1.05 | +17.4% | +1.5% | +10.4% | -5.5% | -9.0% |
| 2016-05-02 miss | -1.08 | -1.21 | -11.9% | -2.9% | -11.6% | -5.5% | +21.9% |
| 2016-02-11 miss | -0.92 | -1.07 | -16.0% | -8.0% | +4.5% | +5.3% | +3.6% |
| 2015-11-09 miss | -0.90 | -0.91 | -1.5% | -1.6% | +7.2% | -6.9% | -7.6% |
| 2015-08-06 miss | -0.73 | -0.85 | -16.8% | -8.2% | -11.4% | -0.4% | -1.4% |
| 2015-05-07 miss | -0.60 | -0.62 | -2.7% | -1.0% | +5.8% | +6.3% | +13.1% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | -0.57 | -0.28 | +50.9% | +2.3% | +1.8% | +9.0% | +21.7% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | -0.64 | -0.58 | +9.0% | +1.2% | +5.6% | +6.9% | +14.5% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | -0.55 | -0.63 | -15.0% | -3.0% | +3.6% | +15.7% | +13.2% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | -0.54 | -0.39 | +27.4% | -5.1% | +8.1% | +5.5% | +21.8% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | -0.43 | -0.51 | -17.5% | -0.1% | -3.5% | +11.4% | -5.0% |
| 2013-11-06 miss | -0.39 | -0.48 | -22.0% | -0.1% | -7.4% | -0.3% | +20.3% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | -0.33 | -0.29 | +12.5% | +1.9% | +1.8% | +0.1% | +18.6% |
| 2013-05-06 beat | -0.31 | -0.15 | +51.8% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +14.6% | +23.2% |
| 2013-02-07 miss | -0.95 | -1.20 | -26.3% | +2.6% | +4.1% | -2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2012-11-05 miss | -0.32 | -0.38 | -20.2% | +0.0% | -3.1% | +4.5% | +2.5% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | -0.21 | -0.25 | -19.8% | -5.7% | -1.4% | -6.5% | +1.0% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | -0.34 | -0.25 | +27.5% | +1.0% | -5.0% | +9.3% | +9.0% |
| 2012-02-09 miss | -0.33 | -0.33 | -1.3% | -3.4% | -6.9% | +0.4% | -1.2% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | -0.35 | -0.31 | +11.9% | +2.8% | +0.6% | -5.7% | -12.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.