APA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -1.6% | 5.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.6% | 4.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +2.2% | +2.5% | 4.2% | 90% |
| 5-day | +3.1% | +5.9% | 12.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.87 | 1.89 | +1.0% | +5.5% | +5.4% | +9.5% | +17.1% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.14 | 1.38 | +20.9% | -4.7% | -5.4% | +2.4% | +3.9% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.91 | +41.7% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +11.3% | +52.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.79 | 0.93 | +17.6% | +6.6% | +9.1% | +4.4% | +10.6% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.87 | +79.5% | +1.7% | -2.9% | +13.8% | +26.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.82 | 1.06 | +29.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | +17.4% | +19.5% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 0.95 | 0.79 | -16.7% | +0.4% | -1.7% | -15.8% | -3.7% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +1.5% | +0.5% | -11.3% | +3.1% | +1.5% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.91 | 1.17 | +28.6% | +1.9% | +0.5% | -13.4% | -5.9% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.93 | 0.78 | -16.1% | -1.2% | -4.3% | +5.8% | +0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.