APA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.9% | 4.9% | 38% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 3.0% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 4.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.2% | 8.6% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.87 | 1.89 | +1.0% | +5.5% | +5.4% | +9.5% | +17.1% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.14 | 1.38 | +20.9% | -4.7% | -5.4% | +2.4% | +3.9% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.91 | +41.7% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +11.3% | +52.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.79 | 0.93 | +17.6% | +6.6% | +9.1% | +4.4% | +10.6% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.87 | +79.5% | +1.7% | -2.9% | +13.8% | +26.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.82 | 1.06 | +29.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | +17.4% | +19.5% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 0.95 | 0.79 | -16.7% | +0.4% | -1.7% | -15.8% | -3.7% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +1.5% | +0.5% | -11.3% | +3.1% | +1.5% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.91 | 1.17 | +28.6% | +1.9% | +0.5% | -13.4% | -5.9% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.93 | 0.78 | -16.1% | -1.2% | -4.3% | +5.8% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 1.33 | 1.15 | -13.7% | -0.8% | -3.9% | -1.4% | +10.7% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.06 | 1.33 | +25.1% | -1.5% | +0.2% | -8.4% | -9.8% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.72 | 0.85 | +18.9% | +3.6% | +6.8% | +6.0% | +8.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.97 | 1.19 | +22.2% | +3.8% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 1.33 | 1.48 | +11.1% | +5.5% | +3.3% | +2.9% | -11.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.76 | 1.97 | +12.1% | +3.3% | +3.6% | -0.5% | -10.5% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 2.35 | 2.37 | +1.0% | -3.8% | -10.9% | +13.6% | +26.5% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 2.09 | 1.92 | -8.2% | -0.8% | -8.6% | -7.9% | +17.6% |
| 2022-02-21 miss | 1.46 | 1.29 | -11.7% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +22.8% | +32.3% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.9% | +2.6% | +5.2% | +1.1% | -11.1% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.56 | 0.70 | +25.4% | -2.3% | +1.7% | +4.8% | +8.9% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.71 | 0.91 | +28.5% | +0.1% | +2.2% | -4.8% | +9.3% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | -0.13 | -0.05 | +61.1% | +3.3% | -3.3% | +4.2% | -6.7% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.38 | -0.16 | +58.0% | +2.2% | -0.2% | +8.1% | +62.9% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -1.02 | -0.74 | +27.2% | +14.7% | +17.3% | -2.6% | -6.0% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | -0.30 | -0.13 | +56.6% | +0.3% | -1.4% | -7.6% | +38.4% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | -0.05 | 0.08 | +266.9% | -2.5% | +2.6% | -2.9% | -80.6% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | -0.18 | -0.29 | -65.2% | -1.7% | +1.4% | +11.2% | -9.8% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +16.2% | -5.5% | -1.2% | -6.9% | -10.6% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.14 | 0.10 | -30.5% | -2.9% | -6.1% | +4.3% | -9.7% |
| 2019-02-27 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +19.0% | +0.7% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 0.47 | 0.63 | +34.5% | -0.3% | -3.8% | -1.0% | +0.3% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.50 | +27.7% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -1.3% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +11.2% | +0.7% | -6.1% | +8.0% | +1.7% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +32.4% | +2.8% | -6.3% | -1.7% | +6.2% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | -0.02 | 0.04 | +302.1% | -1.4% | -1.3% | +8.5% | +3.7% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | -0.01 | -0.21 | -3884.8% | -1.5% | -8.0% | -3.3% | -10.4% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | 0.15 | 0.08 | -47.9% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +6.6% | -2.4% |
| 2017-02-23 miss | 0.07 | -0.06 | -187.3% | -1.0% | -3.5% | -2.0% | -5.2% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | -0.17 | -0.03 | +82.3% | -1.7% | -6.6% | +5.0% | +19.6% |
| 2016-08-04 miss | -0.19 | -0.26 | -35.5% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | -0.89 | -0.40 | +55.3% | +2.3% | +8.1% | -0.9% | +1.5% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | -0.47 | -0.06 | +87.3% | -1.7% | -2.1% | +19.3% | +28.1% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | -0.36 | -0.05 | +86.2% | -2.1% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -10.2% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | -0.26 | 0.22 | +183.9% | -0.1% | +4.9% | +2.8% | -8.8% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | -0.57 | -0.37 | +34.7% | -1.7% | -3.4% | -3.8% | -10.6% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 0.77 | 1.07 | +39.1% | +1.9% | -0.3% | +2.5% | -7.4% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 1.38 | 1.38 | +0.0% | -2.1% | -0.2% | -4.5% | -23.9% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.7% | +1.8% | +1.4% | -4.0% | -0.8% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 1.63 | 1.78 | +9.1% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +1.0% | +7.5% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 1.78 | 1.57 | -11.6% | -2.2% | -0.4% | +4.4% | -2.0% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 2.14 | 2.32 | +8.3% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +4.0% | +0.4% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 2.01 | 2.01 | -0.1% | +2.0% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +4.9% |
| 2013-05-09 miss | 2.21 | 2.02 | -8.6% | +1.0% | +4.8% | -0.7% | +5.1% |
| 2013-02-13 miss | 2.32 | 2.27 | -2.3% | -0.7% | -4.7% | -6.1% | -5.7% |
| 2012-11-01 miss | 2.27 | 2.16 | -4.8% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -3.6% | -6.7% |
| 2012-08-02 miss | 2.57 | 2.07 | -19.3% | -5.1% | -4.9% | +7.2% | +3.8% |
| 2012-05-03 miss | 3.07 | 3.00 | -2.3% | -1.9% | -3.7% | -4.4% | -13.5% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | 2.86 | 2.94 | +2.8% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +3.7% | +0.9% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 2.84 | 2.95 | +4.0% | +3.9% | +3.3% | -0.1% | -4.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.