APA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 5.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.5% | +0.8% | 3.3% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +1.6% | 4.9% | 70% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +2.7% | 11.6% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.87 | 1.89 | +1.0% | +5.5% | +5.4% | +9.5% | +17.1% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.14 | 1.38 | +20.9% | -4.7% | -5.4% | +2.4% | +3.9% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.91 | +41.7% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +11.3% | +52.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.79 | 0.93 | +17.6% | +6.6% | +9.1% | +4.4% | +10.6% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.87 | +79.5% | +1.7% | -2.9% | +13.8% | +26.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.82 | 1.06 | +29.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | +17.4% | +19.5% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 0.95 | 0.79 | -16.7% | +0.4% | -1.7% | -15.8% | -3.7% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +1.5% | +0.5% | -11.3% | +3.1% | +1.5% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.91 | 1.17 | +28.6% | +1.9% | +0.5% | -13.4% | -5.9% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.93 | 0.78 | -16.1% | -1.2% | -4.3% | +5.8% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 1.33 | 1.15 | -13.7% | -0.8% | -3.9% | -1.4% | +10.7% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.06 | 1.33 | +25.1% | -1.5% | +0.2% | -8.4% | -9.8% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.72 | 0.85 | +18.9% | +3.6% | +6.8% | +6.0% | +8.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.97 | 1.19 | +22.2% | +3.8% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 1.33 | 1.48 | +11.1% | +5.5% | +3.3% | +2.9% | -11.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.76 | 1.97 | +12.1% | +3.3% | +3.6% | -0.5% | -10.5% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 2.35 | 2.37 | +1.0% | -3.8% | -10.9% | +13.6% | +26.5% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 2.09 | 1.92 | -8.2% | -0.8% | -8.6% | -7.9% | +17.6% |
| 2022-02-21 miss | 1.46 | 1.29 | -11.7% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +22.8% | +32.3% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.9% | +2.6% | +5.2% | +1.1% | -11.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.