ASML chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -2.0% | 5.8% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +1.1% | 2.9% | 63% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -1.1% | 9.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 beat | 6.95 | 7.58 | +9.1% | +3.6% | +2.9% | +1.5% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 6.62 | 7.15 | +8.0% | -2.9% | -2.4% | -2.6% | +6.9% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 7.55 | 7.34 | -2.7% | +2.6% | -2.2% | -5.9% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 5.37 | 5.49 | +2.1% | +4.8% | +2.7% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 5.25 | 5.90 | +12.4% | -8.3% | -8.3% | -5.0% | +0.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 5.79 | 6.00 | +3.7% | -5.3% | -7.1% | +6.3% | +17.8% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 6.73 | 6.84 | +1.6% | +6.4% | +4.3% | +4.2% | -0.5% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 4.86 | 5.28 | +8.6% | -0.6% | -16.3% | -1.3% | -7.8% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 3.69 | 4.01 | +8.5% | -8.4% | -12.7% | -6.4% | -0.4% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 2.79 | 3.11 | +11.6% | -3.5% | -7.1% | -1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 4.78 | 5.20 | +8.9% | +6.2% | +8.9% | +2.7% | +10.1% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 4.63 | 4.81 | +3.9% | -4.4% | -4.2% | +0.0% | +16.7% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 4.61 | 4.93 | +6.9% | -2.4% | -5.4% | -4.4% | -10.0% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 4.16 | 4.95 | +19.1% | -2.9% | -3.1% | -2.3% | +11.6% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 4.33 | 4.60 | +6.2% | -1.9% | +1.7% | -0.4% | -9.3% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 3.46 | 4.29 | +23.9% | +4.2% | +6.3% | +14.2% | +38.9% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 3.52 | 3.54 | +0.6% | -1.1% | +3.2% | +6.2% | +9.1% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 1.68 | 1.73 | +2.8% | +5.4% | +2.7% | -12.2% | -17.0% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | 3.76 | 3.93 | +4.6% | +3.0% | -2.3% | -6.5% | -6.9% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 4.01 | 4.26 | +6.2% | -2.3% | -4.2% | +4.3% | +14.5% |
| 2021-07-21 miss | 2.52 | 2.52 | -0.1% | +3.2% | +5.4% | +5.4% | +8.4% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 2.61 | 3.20 | +22.6% | +3.4% | +6.2% | +1.5% | -1.0% |
| 2021-01-20 beat | 2.46 | 3.23 | +31.4% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -4.5% | +8.2% |
| 2020-10-14 beat | 2.26 | 2.53 | +11.9% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -3.8% | +3.7% |
| 2020-07-15 miss | 2.06 | 1.79 | -13.2% | -2.4% | -5.4% | +4.6% | -0.2% |
| 2020-04-15 miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -0.8% | -4.2% | -2.2% | +4.4% | +7.1% |
| 2020-01-22 miss | 2.71 | 2.69 | -0.7% | +0.7% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +3.3% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 1.44 | 1.49 | +3.4% | -2.7% | -4.9% | +1.3% | +6.0% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 0.95 | 1.13 | +18.9% | +6.2% | +6.2% | +7.5% | -3.6% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 0.48 | 0.84 | +73.3% | +2.3% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.