AXS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +1.4% | 5.1% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.0% | 1.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +2.5% | 7.2% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 3.24 | 2.84 | -12.4% | -17.9% | -11.2% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 3.38 | 3.29 | -2.5% | -1.4% | +2.5% | -1.1% | -4.5% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 3.12 | 3.25 | +4.2% | +3.9% | +0.3% | +2.4% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.92 | 3.25 | +11.5% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +4.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.93 | 3.29 | +12.3% | +0.5% | -3.6% | +1.7% | +5.3% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.69 | 3.17 | +18.0% | +1.8% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +7.5% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 2.58 | 2.97 | +15.0% | -0.5% | +3.1% | +1.5% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.54 | 2.71 | +6.7% | -2.0% | -3.2% | +5.6% | +20.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.60 | 2.93 | +12.7% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -5.2% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.57 | +6.7% | +4.7% | +5.2% | +7.4% | +12.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.