AXS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 3.4% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.4% | 4.4% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 3.24 | 2.84 | -12.4% | -17.9% | -11.2% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 3.38 | 3.29 | -2.5% | -1.4% | +2.5% | -1.1% | -4.5% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 3.12 | 3.25 | +4.2% | +3.9% | +0.3% | +2.4% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.92 | 3.25 | +11.5% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +4.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.93 | 3.29 | +12.3% | +0.5% | -3.6% | +1.7% | +5.3% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.69 | 3.17 | +18.0% | +1.8% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +7.5% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 2.58 | 2.97 | +15.0% | -0.5% | +3.1% | +1.5% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.54 | 2.71 | +6.7% | -2.0% | -3.2% | +5.6% | +20.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.60 | 2.93 | +12.7% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -5.2% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.57 | +6.7% | +4.7% | +5.2% | +7.4% | +12.2% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | -0.58 | 2.94 | +603.1% | -1.4% | -4.0% | +2.9% | +5.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.96 | 2.34 | +19.4% | -0.3% | -6.8% | -1.2% | +4.9% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.94 | 2.23 | +15.0% | +4.1% | +2.1% | -2.9% | -2.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.97 | 2.33 | +18.2% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 1.78 | 1.95 | +9.8% | +1.5% | +7.3% | -4.6% | -4.4% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -57.0% | -2.0% | -2.3% | +7.5% | +12.3% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.53 | 1.74 | +13.4% | -2.0% | -3.2% | -3.9% | +3.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.67 | 2.09 | +25.4% | -0.7% | +1.2% | +3.4% | +1.2% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.51 | 2.13 | +41.2% | +0.1% | -2.5% | +4.0% | +0.3% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | -0.60 | 0.01 | +101.7% | +9.1% | +4.0% | -3.4% | -5.3% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.44 | 2.00 | +38.9% | +1.2% | -2.6% | +4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.97 | +52.1% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +2.7% | -3.8% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | -0.28 | -0.20 | +28.7% | +0.6% | -5.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | -0.93 | -0.77 | +17.2% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +12.6% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.84 | +133.1% | +4.7% | +2.2% | +3.0% | +13.6% |
| 2020-05-04 miss | -1.56 | -1.94 | -24.7% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +2.9% | +11.6% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | 0.18 | 0.05 | -72.6% | +1.3% | +5.3% | -0.7% | -10.7% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.18 | -0.39 | -317.4% | -3.6% | -4.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.31 | 1.62 | +23.5% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +0.5% | -1.8% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 1.39 | 1.24 | -11.1% | -3.0% | -1.3% | -0.4% | +5.6% |
| 2019-01-30 miss | -1.30 | -1.77 | -36.6% | -4.5% | -3.4% | +3.3% | +6.6% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 0.76 | 0.96 | +26.8% | +1.7% | +6.1% | -1.1% | -5.3% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.15 | 1.27 | +10.7% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -2.8% | +0.3% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 1.15 | 1.46 | +26.6% | +1.5% | +5.8% | -5.9% | -4.3% |
| 2018-02-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -7.0% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +10.3% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | -5.43 | -5.35 | +1.5% | -1.3% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -3.8% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 1.16 | 1.31 | +12.9% | +0.1% | -2.1% | +2.2% | -1.2% |
| 2017-04-26 miss | 0.85 | 0.59 | -30.4% | -2.7% | -0.8% | -2.8% | -3.8% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 0.94 | 1.14 | +21.2% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +1.3% | +3.0% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 1.04 | 1.78 | +70.3% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +2.5% | +9.1% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 0.32 | 0.51 | +60.3% | +2.3% | +3.5% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2016-04-26 miss | 1.08 | 1.07 | -1.0% | -2.3% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +2.6% |
| 2016-02-02 beat | 1.13 | 1.23 | +8.5% | -3.1% | -1.9% | +0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2015-10-27 miss | 0.72 | 0.51 | -29.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +2.1% |
| 2015-07-28 miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -0.6% | -0.8% | +0.1% | +3.3% | -0.5% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 1.23 | 1.35 | +9.5% | -0.7% | +0.4% | +3.8% | +5.5% |
| 2015-02-03 beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +0.8% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 1.21 | 1.27 | +5.4% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +3.9% | +5.2% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 1.19 | 1.63 | +36.6% | +3.2% | -0.5% | +2.5% | +9.9% |
| 2014-04-29 miss | 1.33 | 1.24 | -7.0% | -2.9% | -2.5% | -0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2014-02-04 miss | 1.47 | 1.41 | -4.3% | -3.2% | -4.4% | +0.7% | +5.4% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 1.21 | 1.74 | +43.6% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -12.0% | -1.6% | -3.9% | -2.9% | -1.9% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 1.19 | 1.92 | +61.8% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +2.3% | -0.6% |
| 2013-02-04 beat | -1.18 | -0.23 | +80.6% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +4.0% | +5.2% |
| 2012-10-31 beat | 1.04 | 1.63 | +57.0% | +6.5% | +0.9% | -3.2% | -2.0% |
| 2012-07-31 miss | 0.96 | 0.90 | -5.8% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +4.0% | +2.5% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 1.11 | 1.07 | -3.2% | -1.1% | -4.2% | +3.1% | +1.1% |
| 2012-02-07 beat | 0.41 | 0.53 | +28.7% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2011-11-01 miss | 0.78 | 0.74 | -5.4% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.